{"id":6107,"date":"2025-09-17T14:13:20","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T14:13:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6107"},"modified":"2025-09-17T14:13:22","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T14:13:22","slug":"yalnizlasan-amerikami-genisleyen-cin-mi-is-it-an-isolated-america-or-an-expanding-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/yalnizlasan-amerikami-genisleyen-cin-mi-is-it-an-isolated-america-or-an-expanding-china\/","title":{"rendered":"Yaln\u0131zla\u015fan Amerika\u2019m\u0131, geni\u015fleyen \u00c7in mi? Is it an isolated America or an expanding China?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;17.09.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u00fcresel ili\u015fkilerde son aylarda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler bize, iki s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 yani, ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki rekabetin giderek kesif bir h\u00e2l ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131nda sadece birka\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6nce G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi ve Tayvan konusunda ya\u015fanan gerilim, ve bu gerilimde neredeyse, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesindeki t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin, gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k ABD\u2019nin yan\u0131nda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmelere bug\u00fcn pek tan\u0131k olunmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun yerini, ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131nda ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan ve daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri \u00fczerinde ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin alm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, ABD ile m\u00fcttefikleri ile \u00c7in\u2019in eksenindeki \u00fclkeler listesinde de\u011fi\u015fimlerin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eksen kaymas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bug\u00fcnlerde G\u00fcney Kore ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki yak\u0131nla\u015fma emarelerini bu s\u00fcrecin \u00f6nemli bir a\u015famas\u0131 ve \u00f6rne\u011fi kabul etmek i\u00e7in elimizde yeterli neden bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcney Kore d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Cho Hyun\u2019un Pekin\u2019e yapmakta oldu\u011fu resmi ziyaret, iki kom\u015fu \u00fclke ili\u015fkilerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ve \u00f6tesinde bir anlam ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcrecin siyasi boyutu kadar, iki \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve ekonomi ili\u015fkilerinde \u00f6zellikle de, tedarik zincirleri konusunda yeni anla\u015fmalar\u0131n g\u00fcndemde olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019nin G\u00fcney Kore\u2019ye g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamasn\u0131n do\u011frudan bir sonucu oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fcney Kore d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Cho, d\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cBug\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD, ge\u00e7mi\u015fti ittifak ortaklar\u0131 ve dostlar\u0131 olan \u00fclkelerle i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapan ABD de\u011fil\u201d mesaj\u0131 \u00fczerinde dikkatle durulmay\u0131 hak ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cho, bug\u00fcn Pekin ziyareti vesilesiyle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te ise, \u201c\u00c7in, \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir kom\u015fumuz\u201d ifadesini nezaket ifadesi olarak anlamamak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun \u00f6tesinde, bu ziyaret ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n sadece, G\u00fcney Kore\u2019yle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, aksine, 3 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 80. y\u0131l kutlamalar\u0131yla somut bir \u015fekilde g\u00fcndeme geldi\u011fi \u00fczere, \u00c7in etraf\u0131nda olu\u015fan yeni eksenin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6nderme yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yaln\u0131zla\u015fan Amerika, geni\u015fleyen \u00c7in<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu durum, \u201cyaln\u0131zla\u015fan bir Amerika\u2019yla m\u0131?\u201d yoksa, \u201cgeni\u015fleyen bir \u00c7in\u2019le mi kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z?\u201d sorusunu g\u00fcndeme getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ve bu husus, sadece bu iki \u00fclke ile ilintili olmay\u0131p, k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015fla yak\u0131ndan ve do\u011frudan ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ya\u015fanan \u2018t\u00fcm belirsizlikler\u2019 ortada, kesin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131yla olu\u015fmu\u015f bir blokla\u015fman\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asl\u0131nda, t\u00fcm bu belirsizlik, ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z d\u00f6nemin bir \u00f6zelli\u011fi olarak dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar bir yandan belirsizli\u011fi do\u011fururken, belirsizlik ortam\u0131 ulus-devletleri ikili ili\u015fkiler (<em>bilateral relations<\/em>) ve uluslararas\u0131 politikalarda (<em>international politics<\/em>) alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n, d\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde g\u00fcndeme getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tekil Amerikanc\u0131 merkez<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu noktada, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri sorununu salt, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ekonomi politikalar\u0131na ve bu politikalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi\u011fi, \u2018Yeniden B\u00fcy\u00fck Amerika\u2019 s\u00f6ylemi ve slogan\u0131na indirgemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturdu\u011fu, 20 Ocak 2025 tarihinden \u00f6nce de yani, 2020-2024 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda iktidardaki Demokrat Parti d\u00f6neminde de, ya\u015fanan g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri sorunu bulunuyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019de son iki d\u00f6nemde iktidar olan Demokratlar ve Cumuriyet\u00e7iler benzer bir sorun veya durumla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmakla birlikte, soruna yakla\u015f\u0131m ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Trump\u2019\u0131n farkl\u0131 psikolojik ve siyasal nedenleri de bulunan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki agresiflik oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok. Ancak, bu husus \u00fczerinde durmayaca\u011f\u0131m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n 20 Ocak\u2019tan bu yana uygulamakta oldu\u011fu ve 2 Nisan\u2019da neredeyse, t\u00fcm ulus-devletleri hedefe alan g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifelerinde farkl\u0131 oranlarda art\u0131\u015f uygulamas\u0131, ABD ile geleneksel ve tarihsel ittifak ili\u015fkilerine sahip \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda da gerilimli bir s\u00fcrecin do\u011fmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n giri\u015finde verdi\u011fim G\u00fcney Kore \u00f6rne\u011fi, bunun gayet a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u00f6rne\u011fidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, bu durumu Trump yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k ortaya koymu\u015f ve \u201c&#8230; En \u00e7ok dost oldu\u011fumuz \u00fclkelerde \u00e7ekiyoruz&#8230;\u201d anlam\u0131na gelen bir a\u00e7\u0131klama ile, ABD\u2019nin ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha \u00e7ok, ittifak \u00fclkeleriyle ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131na vurgu yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamayla Trump \u00f6ncelikle, ABD\u2019nin hemen yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki Meksika, Kanada ile Asya-Pasifik\u2019teki en \u00f6nemli m\u00fcttefiki Japonya\u2019y\u0131 hedef al\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, Trump y\u00f6netiminin, iktidara geli\u015finden bu yana hedefe koydu\u011fu \u00fclkenin \u00c7in oldu\u011funa s\u00fcrekli dikkat \u00e7ekiyorum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet, do\u011fru&#8230; &nbsp;ABD, yukar\u0131da zikredilen ve zikredilmeyen ittifak halindeki \u00fclkelerle \u00f6nemli ticaret a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bununla birlikte, bu \u00fclkelerin hi\u00e7biri, bug\u00fcne kadar ortaya koyduklar\u0131 tepkilerde, \u00c7in\u2019le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilir bir noktada bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD y\u00f6netimi, Washington\u2019da s\u0131raya giren \u00fclkelerle ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 yeniler ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifelerini kendi talepleri do\u011frultusunda ve de ilgili \u00fclkelerin yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak yeniden d\u00fczenlerken, tarif konusu bug\u00fcn k\u00fcresel ekonomide belirleyici bir olgu haline gelmi\u015ftir. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerle var\u0131lan anla\u015fmalara ra\u011fmen, \u2018k\u00fcresel belirsizlik\u2019 s\u00f6ylemi devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yabanc\u0131la\u015fan ABD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunda temel etken, ABD\u2019nin ya da Trump politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, -yukar\u0131da k\u0131saca zikretti\u011fim G\u00fcney Kore \u00f6rneklerinde oldu\u011fu \u00fczere-, geleneksel ittifak ili\u015fkilerine sahip oldu\u011fu \u00fclkelerce dahi irrasyonel olarak alg\u0131lanmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Her ne kadar, G\u00fcney Kore gibi \u00fclkeler ABD ile g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi konusunda anla\u015fm\u0131\u015f ya da anla\u015fmak \u00fczere olsalar da, bu s\u00fcrecin bug\u00fcne kadar ki y\u00f6nelimi dahi, belirsizlik olgusunun varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yeterli bir nedeni olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Geni\u015fleyen \u00c7in<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>20 Ocak ve \u00f6zellikle de, 2 Nisan s\u00fcrecinden itibaren, ABD ile ittifak i\u00e7erisinde oldu\u011fu kabul edilen \u00fclkelerin ikili ili\u015fkilerde ve k\u00fcresel ekonomi y\u00f6neti\u015fiminde kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ald\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fclkenin \u00c7in olmas\u0131, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z d\u00f6nemin en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerinden biri kabul edilmeye adayd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in y\u00f6netimi, sadece ABD ile ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 vermiyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, belki de \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir ekonomik strateji olarak, d\u00fcne kadar rakibi olan \u00f6rne\u011fin G\u00fcney Kore gibi d\u00fcne kadar rakibi olan \u00fclkelerle yak\u0131nla\u015fma ve aralar\u0131nda var olan ikili ticaret ili\u015fkilerini yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rma yoluna gidiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu geli\u015fmeyi s\u0131radan bir alternatif aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak kabul etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kam\u0131nca buna, \u015fu an itibar\u0131yla \u201cevet\u201d veya \u201chay\u0131r\u201d diyebilmek bu ortamda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bir s\u00fcre daha bekleyip, geli\u015fmelerin ne y\u00f6ne evrilece\u011fini g\u00f6rmek gerekiyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD y\u00f6netiminin, k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmeleri Washington-merkezli \u015fekillendirme \u00e7abas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr bir ba\u015far\u0131 bahsedilebilir veya en az\u0131ndan, ABD\u2019deki s\u00f6ylemlere bak\u0131larak s\u00fcrecin bu y\u00f6ne evrildi\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilirse de, k\u00fcresel ortam s\u00fcrprizlere a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011fu unutmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in ve \u00c7in\u2019le yan yana siyaset yapmay\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ktan tercih eden veya bu y\u00f6nde geri bildirimlerde bulunan \u00fclkelerin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru de\u011ferlendirmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;17.09.2025 K\u00fcresel ili\u015fkilerde son aylarda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler bize, iki s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 yani, ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki rekabetin giderek kesif bir h\u00e2l ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131nda sadece birka\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6nce G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi ve Tayvan konusunda ya\u015fanan gerilim, ve bu gerilimde neredeyse, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesindeki t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin, gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k ABD\u2019nin yan\u0131nda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 geli\u015fmelere [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6108,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6107","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6107"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6107\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6109,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6107\/revisions\/6109"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6108"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6107"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6107"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6107"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}