{"id":6062,"date":"2025-08-23T05:31:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T05:31:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6062"},"modified":"2025-08-23T05:31:28","modified_gmt":"2025-08-23T05:31:28","slug":"trump-putin-ve-siyasal-gerceklik-trump-putin-and-political-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/trump-putin-ve-siyasal-gerceklik-trump-putin-and-political-reality\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump, Putin ve siyasal ger\u00e7eklik \/ Trump, Putin and political reality"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;23.08.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet, sizinle ayn\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncedeyim&#8230; Sa\u00e7ma bir ba\u015fl\u0131k&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019dan uluslararas\u0131 politikada makul, rasyonel, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir politikalar beklenip beklenemeyece\u011fine dair tahminlerden ziyade, son sekiz ayl\u0131k iktidar\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ortaya koydu\u011fu politikalar bize, kafi derecede bir veri sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir ele\u015ftirinin sebebi, Rusya devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019le Alaska\u2019da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme sonras\u0131 arzu etti\u011fi geli\u015fmenin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131 \u00fczerine Rusya\u2019y\u0131, yeniden hedef tahtas\u0131na koymas\u0131na dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bar\u0131\u015f gelmiyor!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Beklenti, Alaska sonras\u0131nda Rusya devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Putin ile Ukrayna devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Volodymyr Zelenksy\u2019nin zirvede bir araya gelmesi ve bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n tesisini d\u00fcnyaya ilan etmeleriydi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00f6yle bir \u015fey olmad\u0131&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ba\u015fkan Putin\u2019den, Alaska\u2019ya referansla ABD ve de dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Trump\u2019la olan yak\u0131n ili\u015fki olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yan g\u00fcll\u00fck g\u00fclistanl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131klamaya kar\u015f\u0131n, Rusya d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Sergei Lavrov, b\u00f6ylesi bir zirve i\u00e7in \u015fartlar\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oysa, Alaska s\u00fcreci gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k, bu \u015fartlar\u0131n tesisi anlam\u0131na geliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, Putin\u2019le Alaska\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme \u015fart\u0131 olarak Rusya\u2019dan bar\u0131\u015fa dair somut bir ad\u0131m at\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyordu&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aksi halde, Putin\u2019le g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyecekti&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, Putin\u2019le Alaska\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc&#8230; Olumlu foto\u011fraflar yay\u0131nland\u0131&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alaska s\u00fcrecine dair kaleme alan yazarlardan Sidney Blumenthal, Trump\u2019\u0131n herhangi bir d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131&#8230; Ve, ya\u015fananlar\u0131 abs\u00fcrd olarak nitelemi\u015fti&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet, Alaska s\u00fcreci tastamam bu anlama geliyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daha a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, Trump politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, Trump, ABD ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance\u2019n mi, d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio\u2019nun mu yoksa Putin\u2019le Moskova\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00fczerine g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi emlak\u00e7\u0131 oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenen Steve Witkoff\u2019un mu kurban\u0131 oldu?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunlardan hangisi, daha \u00e7ok abs\u00fcrd g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Can simidi: yapt\u0131r\u0131m<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n belki de, Putin\u2019in kendisine verdi\u011fi s\u00f6z\u00fcn yerine getirilmemesi \u00fczerine ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk de\u011fil&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, i\u015fi oluruna b\u0131rakan tavr\u0131yla Trump, Rusya\u2019y\u0131 yeniden yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla anmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kategorik olarak ortaya konuyor&#8230; Mesela, ilki, Rus resmi ve i\u015f \u00e7evrelerine y\u00f6nelik uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkilerde yapt\u0131r\u0131m karar\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130kincisi, Rus mallar\u0131na y\u00fcksek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi karar\u0131&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, ABD\u2019de yap\u0131lacak 2026 d\u00fcnya kupas\u0131na Putin\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 daveti geri \u00e7evirmek ve Rusya\u2019y\u0131 turnuvadan elemek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n bir de d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc se\u00e7ene\u011fi daha. O da, \u201cne halin varsa g\u00f6r! Bu bizim sava\u015f\u0131m\u0131z de\u011fil.\u201d Herhalde Trump\u2019\u0131n bir s\u00fcre sonra etkisini g\u00f6sterecek olan olsa olsa \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc meddeler olabilir&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Niyet ve irrasyonalite<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n i\u015fgali \u00fczerine Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda geli\u015fen sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme niyetine kar\u015f\u0131n, bug\u00fcne kadar bunu bir iradeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrememe konusundaki becerisini alk\u0131\u015flamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump politikalar\u0131yla ilgili her yaz\u0131mda herhalde, \u2018en son \u00f6rnek\u2019 diye sergilemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m anlams\u0131zl\u0131klara her yeni yaz\u0131da, bir yenisini eklemek gayet s\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 bir durum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, k\u00fcresel politikalar\u0131 g\u00fcd\u00fcmleyen bir g\u00fcc\u00fc temsil eden bir siyasiyi izlemek ve s\u00f6ylemlerini, eylemlerini anlamland\u0131rmaya, analiz etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak bunu biraz da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son yaz\u0131mda&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even son yaz\u0131mda, yani 20 A\u011fustos g\u00fcnl\u00fc yaz\u0131da, Rusya devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019le Alaska\u2019da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme sonras\u0131nda, Ukrayna politikas\u0131nda ve de bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinde, 180 derecelik de\u011fi\u015fimi ortaya koyan Trump\u2019\u0131n acaba bir sonraki politikas\u0131 ne olacak demi\u015f ve yaz\u0131y\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde bitirmi\u015ftim:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cUkrayna i\u00e7in s\u00fcrecin bitti\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kan\u0131mca hay\u0131r&#8230; Durup Trump\u2019\u0131n bir sonraki hamlesini bekleyelim&#8230;\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet, sadece birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn sonra yani, 22 A\u011fustos\u2019da, Trump\u2019\u0131n yine ba\u015f\u0131na yeni bir \u015fapka takarak Ukrayna sorununa, daha do\u011frusu Avrupa\u2019daki sava\u015fa dair politikas\u0131nda bir di\u011fer geri ad\u0131m\u0131 atarak, Rusya\u2019ya ambargo\u2019ya d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yani, Avrupal\u0131 liderlerin Alaska \u00f6ncesi s\u00fcre\u00e7te Trump\u2019\u0131 iknaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 politikaya&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fini tahmin ediyordum&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, yine bir \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131da Trump\u2019\u0131n demecine at\u0131fla, \u201c&#8230; Putin\u2019in, bir anlamda sava\u015f yorgunu oldu\u011funu ve karar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde verece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor\u201d demi\u015ftim&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, kendi s\u00f6ylemini yalanlayarak, c\u00fcmlelerinin i\u00e7inde bolca \u201c<em>massive<\/em>\u201d (a\u011f\u0131r) s\u0131fat\u0131na yer vererek, Putin\u2019e birka\u00e7 haftal\u0131k zaman tan\u0131madan toplar\u0131 yeniden Moskova\u2019ya d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Trump ve ergenle\u015fememek<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu anlamda, s\u00fcrekli politika de\u011fi\u015ftiren ya da politikas\u0131nay\u00f6n vermesi beklenen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini de\u011fi\u015ftiren Trump, hi\u00e7bir \u015feyden tatmin olmayan, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini psikolojisine, psikolojisini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesine eviremeyen, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce k\u0131s\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve de psikolojik dengesizli\u011fini akranlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda egemenlik kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ergenlik \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki bir gencin h\u0131p\u0131rt\u0131l\u0131 halini yans\u0131t\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na yak\u0131ndan g\u00f6z att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ifadelerinden biri \u2018<em>I am not happy<\/em>\u2019 (mutsuzlu\u011fu)&#8230; S\u00fcrekli bir mutsuzluk hali var Trump\u2019da.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak ulusal\u0131 ve uluslararas\u0131 ba\u011flam\u0131nda siyaset, mutluluk ve mutsuzlukla de\u011fil, makul, anla\u015f\u0131labilir, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, de\u011ferleri olan politikalarla y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcr. Mutlu olmak veya olmamakla de\u011fil&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ve Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri\u2019ni, s\u00fcrekli \u2018mutsuzluk\u2019 hali ya\u015f\u0131yan b\u00f6ylesi bir lider y\u00f6netiyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Modelsizlik \u00f6rne\u011fi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, bununla da kalm\u0131yor, d\u00fcnyaya yeni bir nizam verme arzu ve \u015fevkini \u00f6n\u00fcnde hi\u00e7bir engel tan\u0131madan ortaya koyma c\u00fcretini sergiliyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u00fcresel g\u00fcc\u00fc temsil eden bir \u00fclkenin ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ortaya iyi bir model koymad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gayet belirgin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, ortada maalesef Trump\u2019\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 ve yanl\u0131\u015f modelli\u011fine son verebilecek bir mekanizma da bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n liberal demokrasi g\u00fc\u00e7leri ile zaman zaman ekonomi-politikte g\u00fcndeme gelen s\u00f6yleme ra\u011fmen, Bat\u0131 \u00f6zellikle de Avrupa, yani Avrupa Birli\u011fi veya Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fclkelerinin liderleri bu anlamda t\u0131kanm\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yar\u0131m-yamalak s\u00f6ylemler dizmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Ukrayna s\u00fcreci sona ermi\u015f de\u011fil&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nihayetinde, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131l kampanya s\u00fcrecinde ABD kamuoyuna verdi\u011fi s\u00f6zlerden birini bu olu\u015fturuyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 politikada ve \u00f6zellikle de, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda s\u00fcren sava\u015fa dair bug\u00fcne de\u011fin ortaya koydu\u011fu performansdaki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k onun yak\u0131n zamanda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir performans ortaya koymayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019a biraz daha zaman tan\u0131makta yarar var&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;23.08.2025 Evet, sizinle ayn\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncedeyim&#8230; Sa\u00e7ma bir ba\u015fl\u0131k&#8230; Trump\u2019dan uluslararas\u0131 politikada makul, rasyonel, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir politikalar beklenip beklenemeyece\u011fine dair tahminlerden ziyade, son sekiz ayl\u0131k iktidar\u0131 d\u00f6neminde ortaya koydu\u011fu politikalar bize, kafi derecede bir veri sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Trump\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir ele\u015ftirinin sebebi, Rusya devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019le Alaska\u2019da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme sonras\u0131 arzu etti\u011fi geli\u015fmenin ortaya [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6063,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6062","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6062"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6062\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6064,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6062\/revisions\/6064"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6063"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6062"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6062"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6062"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}