{"id":6036,"date":"2025-08-08T15:08:30","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T15:08:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6036"},"modified":"2025-08-08T15:10:38","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T15:10:38","slug":"hindistan-ve-cin-yakinlasmasi-kuresel-dengeler-raproachment-between-india-and-china-global-balance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/hindistan-ve-cin-yakinlasmasi-kuresel-dengeler-raproachment-between-india-and-china-global-balance\/","title":{"rendered":"Hindistan ve \u00c7in yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131: k\u00fcresel dengeler \/ Rapprochement between India and China: global balance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                  08.08.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z d\u00f6nem, uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler alan\u0131nda \u00f6nemli k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131 kadar, yeni ve s\u00fcrpriz a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlarla da farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu s\u00f6ylemi ortaya koymam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131yan geli\u015fmelerden sonuncusu, Hindiistan ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Narendra Modi\u2019nin, bu ay\u0131n sonunda \u00c7in\u2019e yapmas\u0131 beklenen ziyaretidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Modi\u2019nin ziyaretinin, 31 A\u011fustos-1 Eyl\u00fcl g\u00fcnlerinde \u00c7in\u2019in kuzeyinde Tianjin\u2019de yap\u0131lacak olan, \u015eangay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Organizasyonu (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation<\/em>-SCO) zirvesi vesilesiyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131yla dikkat \u00e7eken iki \u00fclkenin, bug\u00fcn birbirine yak\u0131nla\u015fma emares g\u00f6stermesini, iki \u00fclke ili\u015fkilerinin 75. y\u0131l\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, bu ziyareti ve kuvvetle muhtemel Narendra Modi-\u015ei Chinping g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini -veya olas\u0131 mini zirvesini- daha geni\u015f ve k\u00fcresel bir perspektiften ele almak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durumda, kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda son birka\u00e7 haftad\u0131r, yine k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndemin ilk s\u0131ralar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fgal eden Hindistan-ABD s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fmesini g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifleri ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemezlikler<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hindistan ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Modi\u2019nin bu ay\u0131n sonunda \u00c7in\u2019e yapaca\u011f\u0131 ziyareti, gerginli\u011fin veya bunun neden oldu\u011fu ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat olaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Modi\u2019nin kuvvetle muhmelen ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenen \u00c7in ziyaretini, ABD-Hindistan aras\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fclke Rusya \u00fczerinden geli\u015fen ve ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump taraf\u0131ndan, do\u011frudan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisine yans\u0131t\u0131lan gerginli\u011fin ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan sonra, Hindistan-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerinde yeni bir evreye girildi\u011fini g\u00f6steren bir geli\u015fme olarak yorumlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n, Hindistan\u2019a uygulama karar\u0131 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 25 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi 27 A\u011fustos\u2019da ba\u015flarken, Modi\u2019nin \u00c7in ziyareti 31 A\u011fustos\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu ziyaetin maddi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde, yedi y\u0131l sonra Modi\u2019nin ilk kez \u00c7in\u2019e resmi ziyarette bulunacak olmas\u0131 yer al\u0131yor…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD-Hindistan geriliminin, Hindistan ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin yumu\u015famas\u0131na yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131labilirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu geli\u015fmeden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana, heyetler aras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 biliniyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak buna ra\u011fmen, Hindistan-\u00c7in yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak yorumlanmaya elverecek bir lider ziyaretinin bu denli h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fece\u011fi kimsenin akl\u0131na gelmezdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu nedenle, Hindistan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Narendra Modi\u2019nin, \u00c7in\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 resmi ziyareti sadece, iki \u00fclke ili\u015fkileri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 a\u015fmak<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hindistan ve \u00c7in\u2019in, ABD\u2019den ve Trump yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak, iki \u00fclkenin Himalayalar\u2019daki s\u0131n\u0131r b\u00f6lgesinde zaman zaman ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma boyutlar\u0131na varan geli\u015fmeler ortadayken, bug\u00fcn ba\u015fbakan Narendra Modi\u2019nin Pekin\u2019de, \u015ei Cinping\u2019le g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli kabul etmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sonuncusuna 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda tan\u0131k olunmu\u015ftu…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00f6z konusu bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, iki \u00fclkeyi \u00e7e\u015fitli alanlarda ili\u015fkileri dondurma veya asgari d\u00fczeye indirme gibi se\u00e7eneklerle birbirinden uzakla\u015fmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uzmanlar\u0131n dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi \u00fczere, iki \u00fclke yetkililerinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda Kazan\u2019da yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131larda yeni bir s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatma kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bug\u00fcnlerde ya\u015fanan, ABD-Hindistan gerilimiyle daha da elveri\u015fli bir evreye y\u00f6neldi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Benzerlikler ve yak\u0131nla\u015fma<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yukarda dile getirilen jeo-politik geli\u015fmelerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, iki \u00fclkeyi birbirine yakla\u015ft\u0131ran nedir sorusunu y\u00f6neltmek ve cevab\u0131n\u0131 vermek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6ncelikle iki \u00fclke, kalk\u0131nma ve\/ya kalk\u0131nm\u0131\u015f \u00fclke seviyesine ula\u015fma konusunda yap\u0131sal kararl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, hem n\u00fcfus hem co\u011frafi b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck gibi temel ve maddi unsurlarda da kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kan benzerliklerin g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz k\u00fcresel ekonomisinin gereklilikleri olarak kabul edilebilecek, \u00fcretim ve t\u00fcketim s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde her iki \u00fclkenini birbirine ihtiya\u00e7 duymas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, \u2018kalk\u0131nma\u2019 ortak paydas\u0131nda bulu\u015fan iki \u00fclkenin, birbiriyle yak\u0131nla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n uzakla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha rasyonel ve olumlu sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ki \u00fclkenin k\u00fcresel belirleyicilikleri noktas\u0131nda, birbirine benzer olgular\u0131 da b\u00fcnyelerinde ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, geni\u015f tar\u0131m arazilerinden ba\u015flayarak, \u00f6nemli suyollar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki egemenliklerine de\u011fin iki \u00fclkenin hem, b\u00f6lgesel hem de, k\u00fcresel anlamda akt\u00f6rl\u00fckleri veya masada ellerini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131lacak stratejik unsurlara sahipler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n Rusya nedeniyle Hindistan\u2019a y\u00fckledi\u011fi y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisinin ABD\u2019ye ne t\u00fcr bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, Hindistan\u2019\u0131n Hint-Pasifik\/Asya-Pasifik ba\u011flam\u0131na de\u011finmi\u015f ve ABD\u2019nin bu geni\u015f jeo-politik ve jeo-ekonomik b\u00f6lgede \u00c7in\u2019i k\u0131skaca alma \u00e7abas\u0131nda, -Avustralya ve Japonya\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra- yan\u0131nda g\u00f6rmek istedi\u011fi Hindistan\u2019\u0131 do\u011fru de\u011ferlendiremedi\u011fini gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k ileri s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bug\u00fcn, ayn\u0131 Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019le yak\u0131nla\u015fma s\u00fcrecine ve iki \u00fclke liderleri aras\u0131nda bir zirveye do\u011fru gidildi\u011fine tan\u0131k olmak kan\u0131mca, -Trump bir yana- ABD\u2019li uzmanlar taraf\u0131ndan dikkatle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmesi gereken bir olgu olsa gerek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                  08.08.2025 Ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z d\u00f6nem, uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler alan\u0131nda \u00f6nemli k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131 kadar, yeni ve s\u00fcrpriz a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlarla da farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor. Bu s\u00f6ylemi ortaya koymam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131yan geli\u015fmelerden sonuncusu, Hindiistan ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Narendra Modi\u2019nin, bu ay\u0131n sonunda \u00c7in\u2019e yapmas\u0131 beklenen ziyaretidir. Modi\u2019nin ziyaretinin, 31 A\u011fustos-1 Eyl\u00fcl g\u00fcnlerinde \u00c7in\u2019in kuzeyinde Tianjin\u2019de yap\u0131lacak olan, \u015eangay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Organizasyonu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6037,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6036"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6036\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6039,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6036\/revisions\/6039"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}