{"id":5921,"date":"2025-06-22T12:45:40","date_gmt":"2025-06-22T12:45:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5921"},"modified":"2025-06-23T05:23:36","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T05:23:36","slug":"degisen-dunya-ve-iranin-ikilemi-changing-world-and-irans-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/degisen-dunya-ve-iranin-ikilemi-changing-world-and-irans-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"De\u011fi\u015fen d\u00fcnya ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ikilemi \/ Changing world and Iran\u2019s dilemma"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                  22.06.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, ne t\u00fcr bir a\u00e7mazla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 meselesi, sadece bu ulus-devletle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan boyutlara sahiptir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD\u2019nin, ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n deme\u00e7leriyle gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k il\u00e2n etti\u011fi, \u201cbak geliyorum\u201d diyen sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, konuyu takip eden herkes, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yap\u0131lacak NATO toplant\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda bekliyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tarih yazan Trump<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD, ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki n\u00fckleer tesisleri \u201cbombalama emri\u201d ile devir kapat\u0131p devir a\u00e7an g\u00f6z\u00fc kara bir k\u00fcresel siyaset\u00e7i oldu\u011funu d\u00fcnya aleme il\u00e2n etmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump muhtemelen, NATO toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda k\u00fcresel medyan\u0131n ve Avrupa liderlerinin daha da \u00e7ok merkezinde yer alma ad\u0131na olsa gerek, beklenen sald\u0131r\u0131 emrini bug\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ya da bir ba\u015fka a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131lacak olursa, kendisini k\u00fcresel liderlik konumuna \u00e7oktan oturtmu\u015f olan Trump\u2019\u0131n, NATO gibi ABD\u2019nin k\u00fcresel g\u00fcvenlik \u015femsiyesinin i\u00e7inde yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurumun ve de bu kurumun \u00f6nemli \u00fcyelerinin onay\u0131 ve deste\u011fini alma gere\u011fi duymadan \u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump, \u201ctarih yazan adam\u201d olma konusunda \u0131srarl\u0131 ve bu konuda \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kan t\u00fcm f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 veya bunu sa\u011flayacak f\u0131rsatlar\u0131, m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca yaratmada mahir oldu\u011funu bir kez daha kan\u0131tlam\u0131\u015f durumda…  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teknoloji<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc merkezlere y\u00f6nelik bu askeri sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n, yine ABD \u00f6nderli\u011finde ba\u015flat\u0131lan ve  NATO\u2019nun da i\u00e7inde yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla, 1991 K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131, Irak \u0130\u015fgali, Afganistan \u0130\u015fgali gibi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerden gayet farkl\u0131 bir nitelik ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, Bat\u0131\u2019da ba\u015fta askeri olmak \u00fczere ileti\u015fim teknolojilerindeki geli\u015fmi\u015fli\u011fin bir ifadesi olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6nce \u0130srail\u2019in Filistin, L\u00fcbnan ve \u0130ran\u2019da \u00e7e\u015fitli liderlere y\u00f6nelik olarak d\u00fczenledi\u011fi \u2018nokta at\u0131\u015f\u0131\u2019 tabiri ile tan\u0131mlanacak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan, ABD\u2019nin kara ve deniz g\u00fc\u00e7lerini kullanmadan tek at\u0131\u015fl\u0131k konumlarla sergiledi\u011fi sald\u0131r\u0131lar, sava\u015f ve ileti\u015fim teknolojisinde yeni bir boyuta girildi\u011finin apa\u00e7\u0131k kan\u0131t\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, bu sald\u0131r\u0131 ile ABD dosta d\u00fc\u015fmana k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta neyi ve nas\u0131l yapabilece\u011fini ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknolojik donan\u0131m, siyasi irade ve kararl\u0131l\u0131k ile g\u00f6stermi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130\u015fin askeri-ileti\u015fim teknolojik boyutuna ku\u015fku olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda elini bir kez daha kana bulayan ABD\u2019nin, d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n taraflar\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi gerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini ilerletemedi\u011finin de, yeniden tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na olanak tan\u0131mas\u0131 anlam\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fmeyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel nizam<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130srail\u2019in ABD\u2019nin gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k onay\u0131yla ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan, ABD\u2019nin aktif olarak yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sadece, tarihi bir vak\u0131a olarak anla\u015f\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zellikle, bu iki \u00fclkenin siyasi liderlerinin deme\u00e7leri ve siyasi g\u00f6zlemcilerin yorumlar\u0131 ba\u015fta, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da olmak \u00fczere, genel anlam\u0131yla k\u00fcresel d\u00fczenin bir \u015fekilde yeniden kurulmakta oldu\u011funa g\u00f6nderme yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha \u00f6nceki pek \u00e7ok yaz\u0131da dile getirdi\u011fim \u00fczere, Trump, bu konuda mesajlar\u0131n\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k kampanya s\u00fcrecinden beri veriyor ve ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa resmen oturdu\u011fu 20 Ocak\u2019tan bu yana da, bu konuda ne kadar ciddi oldu\u011funu -\u00e7eli\u015fkilerle de dolu olsa- her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn ortaya koydu\u011fu politikalarla sergiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel d\u00fczenin yeniden tesisi konusu kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za, Rusya-\u00c7in gibi her an, ABD\u2019nin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fman saf\u0131nda yer alabilecek veya hali haz\u0131rda d\u00fc\u015fman pozisyonunda yer alan \u00fclkeleri de i\u00e7ine alan bir boyuta sahip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel nizam\u0131 yeniden tesis meselesinde, ABD\u2019nin ana hedeflerinden biri bug\u00fcn i\u00e7in \u0130ran ise, bunun yan\u0131nda ve \u00f6tesinde bir di\u011fer ana hedef, \u0130ran\u2019la yak\u0131n siyasi ve ticari ili\u015fkileri olan Kuzey Kore ve \u00c7in gibi \u00fclkelerdir…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel d\u00fczenin yeniden tasar\u0131m\u0131nda, ABD siyasi eliti ve teknokratlar\u0131n\u0131n temelde hedeflerinde \u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n belirli b\u00f6lgeleri \u00fczerinde belki de, gelecek onlarca y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7ine alan bir belirlenimcilikle hareket ettiklerini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu yeniden tasar\u0131m\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar sonras\u0131nda \u0130srail ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Netanyahu olan bitenin ard\u0131ndan, \u201cOrtado\u011fu ve \u00f6tesine m\u00fcreffeh ve bar\u0131\u015f dolu bir gelece\u011fin hakim olaca\u011f\u0131\u201d s\u00f6ylemini, kurulmas\u0131 arzu edilen yeni d\u00fczenin bir ifadesi kabul edebilir miyiz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6nceki s\u00fcre\u00e7ler bir yana, \u0130ran\u2019a bug\u00fcn yap\u0131lan sald\u0131r\u0131lar s\u00fcrecine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, geni\u015f Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun kilit \u00fclkelerinin sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n bir \u015fekilde bir yan\u0131nda yer ald\u0131klar\u0131na dair dola\u015fan haberleri ilk elden kabul edilemeyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, bununla birlikte, halk\u0131n\u0131n kahir ekseriyetini M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ulus-devletlerin -baz\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 s\u00f6ylemlere ra\u011fmen, genel itibar\u0131yla sessizli\u011fe hakim oldu\u011fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, acaba bu \u00fclkeler de Netanyahu\u2019nun beklentisini payla\u015farak gelecekte b\u00f6lgede m\u00fcreffeh bir nizam ve bar\u0131\u015f ortam\u0131 te\u015fkil edece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde olabilirler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eayet ortada, \u201cm\u00fcreffehlik\u201d ve \u201cbar\u0131\u015f\u201d olacaksa buna, M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n topyek\u00fcn evet demeleri ve i\u015ftirak etmeleri gerekmez mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ortal\u0131kta gayet ak\u0131l kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131mlar dola\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan emin olmal\u0131y\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ikilemi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran devleti, kendisine yap\u0131lan sald\u0131r\u0131lar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda caymam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fckse de, bunun psikolojik sava\u015f y\u00f6ntemlerinden biri oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek, bir an i\u00e7in pratikte kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, daha bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar \u00f6ncesinde \u0130srail\u2019in, Filistin\u2019le sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran uzant\u0131lar\u0131yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 giri\u015fimlerle zaten, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n siyasi ve askeri moralitesine \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zayiat vermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unutmayal\u0131m, \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n peki\u015fmesinde ve s\u00fcrecin \u0130ran\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131nda, \u0130srail\u2019den daha \u00e7ok ABD\u2019nin siyasi ve askeri cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 niyetinin \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasal ger\u00e7ekli\u011fi tekil bir durum, kendini \u2018\u0130slam Cumhuriyeti\u2019 olarak tan\u0131mlayan bir ulus-devlet ve de halk\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc M\u00fcsl\u00fcman olan bir ulusun sorunu olarak g\u00f6rmemek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm teolojik ayr\u0131\u015fmalara ra\u011fmen, \u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde kabul edilen varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, bug\u00fcn \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunun, g\u00f6r\u00fcnenin \u00f6tesinde ne denli b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu noktada, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n iki temel ikilemle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunu s\u00f6ylerken, halk\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu M\u00fcsl\u00fcman olan di\u011fer ulus-devletlerden sorumlulu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm anla\u015f\u0131lmamal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ikilemlerden ilki, bizatihi kendi halk\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 olan sorumlulu\u011fudur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buradaki \u00e7eli\u015fki hem, \u0130slami siyasal rejim hem de, Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc s\u00f6yleme tekab\u00fcl edecek \u015fekilde, \u2018Cumhuriyet\u00e7i\u2019 yap\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, tipik bir sorun oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6yle ki, demografik ve istatistik olarak halk\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun kararlar\u0131yla belirlenen ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrde ve pratikte ad\u0131na demokrasi denilen siyasal sistem yani, Cumhuriyet \u0130ran\u2019da, 1979\u2019dan bu yana ya\u015fanan tecr\u00fcbeyle olgun bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme kavu\u015famam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, bize k\u00fcresel anlamda \u00f6zellikle de, Bat\u0131\u2019daki Cumhuriyet\u00e7i sistemlerde var olan sorunlar nedeniyle, \u0130ran\u2019da olan biteni hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kartacak bir duruma evrilmemelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kincisi, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, derin teolojik s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar ve ayr\u0131\u015fmalar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, kendine yak\u0131n, kom\u015fu hissedebilece\u011fi \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda halk\u0131n\u0131n kahir ekseriyeti M\u00fcsl\u00fcman olan toplumlardan ziyade, d\u00fcn\u00fcn kom\u00fcnist a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00fczerinde ta\u015f\u0131yan Rusya, 1949\u2019dan bu yana Rus kom\u00fcnizminden ayr\u0131\u015fan ve kendine gayet \u00f6zel bir yol \u00e7izen bununla birlikte, insan, toplum, siyaset, d\u00fcnya, evren alg\u0131s\u0131 noktas\u0131nda M\u00fcsl\u00fcman d\u00fcnyadan ve hatta, \u2018ehl-i kitap\u2019 d\u00fcnyadan olduk\u00e7a uzak bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm arz eden \u00c7in gibi bir devletle yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Temelde uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler noktas\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, s\u00f6z konusu bu iki devletle yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131nda sorun olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul edebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak bu ili\u015fkinin, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 halk\u0131n\u0131n kahir ekseriyeti M\u00fcsl\u00fcman olan toplumlardan ayr\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve kopar\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fczerine bina edilmesi halinde, ortada gayet \u00f6nemli bir siyasal epistemolojik sorunun oldu\u011funu ifade etmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bug\u00fcn olan bitenlerden a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a anla\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r ki, ne Rusya ne de \u00c7in \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen sald\u0131r\u0131lar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda k\u0131nama veya bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimlerinde bulunma gibi standart politik \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flardan ba\u015fka bir destek sunabilmi\u015flerdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sadece \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer kapasitesini de\u011fil, rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini ve bunun uzant\u0131lar\u0131yla Ortado\u011fu\u2019yu yeniden dizayn etmeye y\u00f6nelik giri\u015fimin, bug\u00fcn ya\u015fananlarla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek yanl\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kendini b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel akt\u00f6r olarak adland\u0131rlan ulus-devletlerin, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te alacaklar\u0131 rol hem kendi b\u00f6lgelerindeki geleceklerini hem de, k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmelere y\u00f6nelimlerini belirleyecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                  22.06.2025 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, ne t\u00fcr bir a\u00e7mazla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 meselesi, sadece bu ulus-devletle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan boyutlara sahiptir. ABD\u2019nin, ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n deme\u00e7leriyle gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k il\u00e2n etti\u011fi, \u201cbak geliyorum\u201d diyen sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, konuyu takip eden herkes, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta yap\u0131lacak NATO toplant\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda bekliyordu. Tarih yazan Trump ABD, ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019daki n\u00fckleer tesisleri \u201cbombalama emri\u201d ile […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5922,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5921","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-ortadogumiddle-east"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5921","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5921"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5921\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5925,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5921\/revisions\/5925"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5922"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}