{"id":5678,"date":"2025-02-05T12:15:07","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T12:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5678"},"modified":"2025-02-05T12:20:20","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T12:20:20","slug":"meksika-pes-etmeyecek-mexico-will-not-surrender","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/meksika-pes-etmeyecek-mexico-will-not-surrender\/","title":{"rendered":"Meksika pes etmeyecek! \/ Mexico will not surrender!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                         05.02.2025<\/strong><br>ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, kom\u015fu \u00fclke Meksika\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi s\u00f6ylemi ve prati\u011finin, Meksika\u2019da nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu\u011fu konusu \u00f6nemli.<br>G\u00f6zlerin, ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nacak olursa, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ne yap\u0131p yap\/a\/mayaca\u011f\u0131 belki, pek \u00e7oklar\u0131 nezdinde \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131mayabilir.<br>Ancak, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n Latin Amerika\u2019n\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminin 467 milyar Dolar\u2019\u0131 bulmas\u0131, bu \u00fclke ile Meksika ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n dikkatle izlenmesini gerektiriyor.<br>Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Meksika ba\u015fkan\u0131 Claudia Sheinbaum\u2019un, al\u0131nacak tedbirler ve rakibi konumundaki Trump\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde ortaya koydu\u011fu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n, dikkatle incelenmesinde yarar var.<br><strong>Ni\u00e7in Meksika?<\/strong><br>Trump\u2019\u0131n, ni\u00e7in Meksiya\u2019y\u0131 hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n cevab\u0131, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaretinde ihracat pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 80\u2019ini ABD\u2019ye ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<br>Bu oran\u0131n parasal kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, 467 milyar Dolar\u2019a yakla\u015fmas\u0131, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n, Trump taraf\u0131ndan hazmedilemeyece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<br>Trump\u2019\u0131n, g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisinde art\u0131\u015fa gitmesini ve bunu bir tehdit olarak ortaya koymas\u0131 temelde buna dayan\u0131yor.<br>Ancak, Meksika\u2019da devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 62 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki enerji m\u00fchendisi Claudia Sheinbaum\u2019un ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin, ABD\u2019den gelen tarif sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pes etmedi\u011fi aksine, gayet aktif ve dinamik bir politika takip etmeye meyilli oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<br>Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Meksika\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi yapt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n nedenleri aras\u0131nda, Meksika\u2019daki \u00c7in yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131 ile Meksika y\u00f6netiminin ortaya koyaca\u011f\u0131 tepkiler ve tedbirler bir anlamda, ilerleyen s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00c7in y\u00f6netiminden ne t\u00fcr olas\u0131 tepkilerin gelebilece\u011fini de g\u00f6stermesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir.<br><strong>Halk deste\u011fi<\/strong><br>Trump\u2019\u0131n ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, Meksika y\u00f6netiminin kar\u015f\u0131 siyasal tutumu Meksika vatanda\u015flar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan, ba\u015fkan ve h\u00fck\u00fcmete kar\u015f\u0131 pozitif bir e\u011filimin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<br>S\u00f6z konusu g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifi s\u00f6ylem ve \u00f6zellikle de prati\u011finin, ilgili \u00fclkelerde \u2018milliyet\u00e7ilik\u2019 olgunu art\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir e\u011filim sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015ftim.<br>Bug\u00fcnlerde, bunun \u00f6rneklerini Meksika\u2019da g\u00f6rmek \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil\u2026<br>\u00d6yle ki, telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi sonras\u0131nda Meksika kamuoyunda, ba\u015fkan Sheinbaum\u2019a deste\u011fin y\u00fczde 80\u2019ler d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, al\u0131nan siyasi kararlar\u0131n rasyonelli\u011finin de bir g\u00f6stergesi kabul etmek gerekir.<br><strong>ABD ne istiyor?<\/strong><br>\u00d6ncelikle, ABD\u2019nin Meksika\u2019dan ne istedi\u011fine k\u0131saca bakmakta yarar var. ABD\u2019nin talep listesi be\u015f maddeden olu\u015fuyor.<br>S\u0131n\u0131r\u2019dan yasad\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7men ge\u00e7i\u015flerine mani olunmas\u0131; s\u0131n\u0131r\u2019dan uyu\u015fturucu tra\u011finin engellenmesi; ABD\u2019den ihra\u00e7 edilecek Meksika vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kabul edilmesi\u2026 Talepler bunlarla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil\u2026 \u00c7in\u2019le ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 yanlar\u0131 da var.<br>Trump, Meksika\u2019daki \u00c7in yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ve de \u00c7in ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n girmesinin durdurulmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor\u2026<br><strong>Ulusal g\u00fcvenlik<\/strong><br>Trump, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 doz uyu\u015fturucudan hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybeden y\u00fczbinlerce Amerikal\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan durumu, \u2018ulusal g\u00fcvenlik\u2019 olarak de\u011ferlendirirken, Meksika\u2019daki uyu\u015fturucu kartellerini \u2018ter\u00f6rist\u2019 il\u0203n etmekle kalm\u0131yor.<br>Ayn\u0131 zamanda, bu kartellerin Meksika h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle kol kola oldu\u011funu ifade eden yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, Meksika h\u00fck\u00fcmetini de gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k benzeri bir \u2018ter\u00f6r\u2019 eyleminin akt\u00f6r\u00fc konumuna getiriyor.<br>Bunun, gayet \u00f6nemli a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ancak \u015fimdilik, ABD\u2019nin bunun \u00fczerine pek gitmedi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<br>\u00d6te yandan, ba\u015fkan Sheimbaum, bu iddiay\u0131 \u201ciftira\u201d olarak kabul ederken, s\u00f6z konusu kartellere kar\u015f\u0131 ABD\u2019nin Meksika topraklar\u0131na olas\u0131 bir askeri giri\u015fimine izin vermeyeceklerini de vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<br><strong>Meksika taraf\u0131<\/strong><br>Meksika y\u00f6netimi, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131nan sorunu iki alanda de\u011ferlendiriyor: \u0130lki, g\u00fcvenlik ve ikincisi de g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri.<br>G\u00fcvenlik de kendi i\u00e7inde iki alana ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor: Birincisi, yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7menler. \u0130kincisi ise, uyu\u015fturucu trafi\u011fi.<br>Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Meksika y\u00f6netiminin verdi\u011fi ilk olumlu tepki, s\u0131n\u0131ra on bin asker g\u00f6ndermek oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<br>Asl\u0131nda zaten, 2021\u2019den bu yana g\u00fcndemde olan \u2018s\u0131n\u0131ra asker g\u00f6nderme\u2019 s\u00fcreci b\u00f6ylece kesin bir karara ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015f oldu\u2026<br>Bu karar\u0131n, salt Trump\u2019\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131yla olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, al\u0131nan acil karardan anlamak ve \u00e7\u0131karmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br>Kald\u0131 ki, \u00e7e\u015fitli kaynaklar, ba\u015fkan Sheinbaum\u2019un ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturdu\u011fu 1 Ekim 2024 tarihinden bu yana, -aradan pek fazla zaman ge\u00e7memi\u015f olmamakla birlikte, ilgili s\u0131n\u0131r sorunlar\u0131yla ilgili \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor.<br>Yani, s\u0131n\u0131ra asker g\u00f6nderme karar\u0131n\u0131n zaten, Meksika h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin g\u00fcndeminde oldu\u011funu tahmin etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br>\u0130\u015fin ilgin\u00e7 yan\u0131, 1. Trump d\u00f6neminde, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda Trump taraf\u0131ndan, y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifi tehdidi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, d\u00f6nemin Meksika devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andres Manuel Lopez\u2019in ABD y\u00f6netimiyle anla\u015farak s\u0131n\u0131ra asker g\u00f6nderme karar\u0131 almas\u0131, sanki s\u00fcrecin bitti\u011fi yerden ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<br><strong>Misilleme\u2026<\/strong><br>Sorun g\u00fcvenlik oldu\u011funda, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n da ABD\u2019ye s\u00f6yleyece\u011fi s\u00f6zler oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<br>Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde Meksika ba\u015fkan\u0131 Sheinbaum\u2019un Trump\u2019a, ABD\u2019den Meksika\u2019ya sokulan \u00fcst d\u00fczey ate\u015fli silahlar\u0131n engellenmesi konusunda, ABD taraf\u0131n\u0131n hem fikir olmas\u0131n\u0131 ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pes olunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 arg\u00fcman\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren bir olgu olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir.<br>Bunlar\u0131n ilkini, ABD mallar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 bir tarif misillemesi olu\u015fturuyor. Bu tutumun, ABD gibi dev bir ekonomi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tutunulabilecek bir dal olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131labilir.<br>Ancak, bu misillemenin Beyaz Saray\u2019dan \u00f6te, ABD\u2019deki \u00fcretici kesimi hedef alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br>\u00d6yle ki, Meksika\u2019dan gelecek tarif misillemesinin, ABD\u2019nin ilgili \u00fclkelere uygulamayaca\u011f\u0131 tariflerle b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ihtimalle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenen enflasyona etkisi ile bu enflasyon neticesinde, Amerikan vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n tepkilerini art\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik olaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131labilir.<br><strong>NAFTA tehlikede mi?<\/strong><br>Bununla birlikte, Kuzey Amerika \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda yani, Kanada, ABD ve Meksika aras\u0131nda 1994\u2019den bu yana fiiliyatta olan NAFTA\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn ABD i\u00e7in bir sorun haline, ABD-Meksika d\u0131\u015f ticaret ili\u015fkilerinin temelini olu\u015fturmas\u0131 bir anlamda \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131.<br>Ya da, daha do\u011fru bir s\u00f6ylemle, ABD\u2019nin 1990\u2019larda \u00f6ng\u00f6remedi\u011fi bir d\u0131\u015f ticaret s\u00fcrecinin, Meksika ile ili\u015fkilerinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br>Bu nedenledir ki, Trump, se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 d\u00f6neminden ba\u015flayarak \u201c\u2026 gerekirse ABD \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uymayan bu anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6pe atar\u0131z\u201d s\u00f6ylemini ortaya koyuyor.<br>Bununla birlikte, Trump\u2019\u0131n, Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc il\u0203n etti\u011fi Meksika\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik tarif uygulama karar\u0131 ile hemen ertesinde, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc bu uygulamay\u0131 bir ayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na erteleme karar\u0131n\u0131n arka pl\u0203n\u0131nda, ba\u015fka nedenlerin oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<br>\u00d6rne\u011fin, Meksika taraf\u0131 -ilgili yay\u0131n organlar\u0131nda dile getirildi\u011fi \u00fczere- Trump y\u00f6netiminin tarife konu olacak emtialar\u0131 belirtmemesine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<br>Yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekilen be\u015f temel maddenin ikisinin \u00c7in\u2019in Meksika\u2019daki ve Meksika\u2019yla olan ekonomik ili\u015fkisiyle irtibatl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 yabana atmamak gerekir.<br>Unutmayal\u0131n, Trump\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck rakibi olarak \u00c7in\u2019i g\u00f6r\u00fcyor\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay 05.02.2025ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, kom\u015fu \u00fclke Meksika\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi s\u00f6ylemi ve prati\u011finin, Meksika\u2019da nas\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu\u011fu konusu \u00f6nemli.G\u00f6zlerin, ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nacak olursa, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ne yap\u0131p yap\/a\/mayaca\u011f\u0131 belki, pek \u00e7oklar\u0131 nezdinde \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131mayabilir.Ancak, Meksika\u2019n\u0131n Latin Amerika\u2019n\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacminin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5679,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5678"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5678\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5681,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5678\/revisions\/5681"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}