{"id":5086,"date":"2024-02-15T02:01:05","date_gmt":"2024-02-15T02:01:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5086"},"modified":"2024-02-15T02:29:28","modified_gmt":"2024-02-15T02:29:28","slug":"endonezyada-secimleri-jokowi-kazandi-jokowi-won-the-elections-in-indonesia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/endonezyada-secimleri-jokowi-kazandi-jokowi-won-the-elections-in-indonesia\/","title":{"rendered":"Endonezya\u2019da se\u00e7imleri Jokowi kazand\u0131! \/ Jokowi won the elections in Indonesia!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 14.02.2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Evet \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmad\u0131n\u0131z, Endonezya\u2019da yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini Jokowi kazand\u0131!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2014 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana \u00fclkede devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 s\u0131fat\u0131yla siyasal ya\u015famda yer alan Joko Widodo, -yayg\u0131n ad\u0131yla bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere Jokowi-, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fcrpriz yaparak se\u00e7imlere sadece birka\u00e7 ay kala yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemli baz\u0131 hamlelerle bug\u00fcn yani, 14 \u015eubat g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck pay sahibi oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anayasa\u2019daki iki d\u00f6nem \u015fart\u0131 nedeniyle, Jokowi, her ne kadar kendisi se\u00e7imlere gir\/e\/mese de, Endonezya siyasetinde bir ilke imza atarak, tabiri caizle gider ayak, ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00f6nemli kesimlerce \u2018\u00e7eli\u015fkili\u2019 olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan kararlar\u0131yla, t\u00fcm siyasi partileri ve kamuoyunu \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prabowo Subianto\u2019nun ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nde bitirmesi, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, bu isme i\u015faret etmesi nedeniyle Jokowi se\u00e7imin as\u0131l galibi olarak kabul edilmeyi hak ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Burada bir itirafta bulunarak, en son yaz\u0131mda dile getirdi\u011fim ve se\u00e7imlerin ikinci tura kalabilece\u011fine dair tahminimin tutmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemeliyim\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prabowo-Gibran ikilisi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bug\u00fcn yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imleri, Jokowi\u2019nin ikinci d\u00f6nem kabinesinde Savunma Bakan\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rev yapan Prabowo Subianto ile yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Jokowi\u2019nin Solo belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcten o\u011flu Gibran Rakabuming Raka, ald\u0131klar\u0131 -resmi olmayan sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re-, y\u00fczde altm\u0131\u015fa varan oyla se\u00e7im yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 en \u00f6nde bitirdiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Endonezya\u2019da se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na dair, bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n hemen ba\u015f\u0131nda, Prabowo ismi yerine Jokowi ismini anman\u0131n gayet \u00f6nemli nedenleri bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Herhangi bir partinin ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmeyen, bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, ulusal siyaset dengeleri i\u00e7erisinde kayda de\u011fer bir yeri de bulunmayan Jokowi\u2019nin, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinde Prabowo-Gibran ikilisinin rakipleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck oy fark\u0131yla \u00f6nde kapatmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan siyasi tavr\u0131n\u0131n, Endonezya ulusal siyasetinde yepyeni bir olgu olarak de\u011ferlendirilecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kan\u0131mca bu husus, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara konu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve etkisini belki de, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda da devam ettirece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek kehanet olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>PDI-P ve hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokowi, kendisini \u00f6nce Solo belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda Jakarta Valili\u011fi\u2019ne ta\u015f\u0131yan ve 2014 ve 2019 devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde aday olarak g\u00f6steren,<a> <\/a>\u2018Endonezya M\u00fccadeleci Milliyet\u00e7i Partisi\u2019 (<em>Partai Demokrasi Indopenia-Perjuangan<\/em>-PDI-P) ve partinin k\u0131demli ba\u015fkan\u0131 Megawati\u2019ye \u00f6nemli bir siyasal \u00e7al\u0131m att\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Jokowi\u2019nin herhangi bir siyasi parti ile de i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, do\u011fal olarak kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za, \u201cJokowi bu g\u00fcc\u00fc nereden buldu?\u201d sorusu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. En olas\u0131 cevap \u2018halk deste\u011fi\u2019 gayet makul&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, bu cevap bile, ba\u015fka sorular\u0131 kendi i\u00e7inde bar\u0131nd\u0131rmas\u0131yla baz\u0131 \u015f\u00fcpheleri g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor. Evet, Jokowi\u2019yi buralara getiren, PDI-P\u2019nin aday g\u00f6stermesi kadar, halk\u0131n bizatihi Jokowi\u2019ye besledi\u011fi g\u00fcvendi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu nedenledir ki, PDI-I Jokowi\u2019yi bir siyasi lider olarak de\u011fil, ancak bir siyaset\u00e7i olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131nda, halk\u0131n bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan sezmi\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131 da hesaba katmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jokowi ve halk<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Geni\u015f toplum kesimlerinin parti politikalar\u0131ndan ziyade, herhangi bir siyasi partinin veya hareketin ba\u015fkan\u0131 dahi olmayan devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jokowi\u2019nin, \u2018siyasi i\u015faretine\u2019 iltifat etti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kimileri, \u201cPrabowo\u2019nun bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te hi\u00e7 mi rol\u00fc yok?\u201d diye bir soruyu hakl\u0131 olarak g\u00fcndeme getirebilir&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unutmayal\u0131m ki, Prabowo\u2019nun siyasi talihi, ne 2014 ve ne de 2019\u2019daki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda kendisine g\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Her iki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinde rakibinin Joko Widodo oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131mzda, bug\u00fcn yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlere Prabowo\u2019nun aday olarak girmesinde ve yan\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 olarak o\u011flu Gibran\u2019\u0131 \u2018atayan\u2019 Jokowi\u2019nin rol\u00fcn\u00fcn Prabowo\u2019dan \u00e7ok daha belirleyici oldu\u011fu ortada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yaz\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u2018se\u00e7imin galibi Jokowi\u2019 ifadesinin rasyonalitesini i\u015fte bu durum olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan partiler<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna il\u00e2ve olarak, bir di\u011fer destek arg\u00fcman\u0131, Prabowo\u2019nun kurucusu ve ba\u015fkan\u0131 oldu\u011fu B\u00fcy\u00fck Endonezya Partisi\u2019nin (<em>Gerinda<\/em>), bug\u00fcnk\u00fc se\u00e7imlerde birinci parti olamamas\u0131nda bulabiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kesin sonu\u00e7lar a\u00e7\u0131klanmam\u0131\u015f olsa da, \u015fu ana kadar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan veriler PDI-P\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 17.5\u2019luk oranla ilk s\u0131rada oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Gerindra\u2019n\u0131n oy oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 12\u2019nin alt\u0131nda&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Partiler baz\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu farkl\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n se\u00e7menin devlet ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131 ile yerel ve ulusal meclislerdeki adaylara partilere g\u00f6re farkl\u0131 bir de\u011ferlendirmeye tabi tutu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Di\u011fer adaylar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adayl\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde \u00fcmitvar olarak g\u00f6z\u00fcken Anies Baswedan ve Ganjar Pranowo umduklar\u0131n\u0131 bulamad\u0131lar. Anies Baswedan y\u00fczde 25 civar\u0131nda, Ganjar Pranowo ise y\u00fczde 16 civar\u0131nda oy alabildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Endonezya siyasetinde partilerin ve g\u00fc\u00e7 odaklar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yeni ve beklenmedik bir etki ile yeni bir olgunun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na tan\u0131k olduk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te belirleyici akt\u00f6r\u00fcn son iki d\u00f6nem \u00fclkeyi y\u00f6netin Jokowi olmas\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki be\u015f y\u0131lda hem ba\u015fkan Prabowo\u2019nun hem de ulusal siyasetin di\u011fer odaklar\u0131nda yeni bir sorgulaman\u0131n ve yap\u0131lanman\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, Jokowi\u2019nin bir yandan, ba\u015fkan Prabowo\u2019nun ve ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 o\u011flu Gibran vas\u0131tas\u0131yla ulusal siyasetin perde arkas\u0131nda belirleyici bir g\u00fc\u00e7 olup olamayaca\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 bug\u00fcnden ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na dair de\u011ferlendirmelerime devam edece\u011fim&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Endonezya, ba\u015fkan Prabowo ile yeni bir be\u015f y\u0131la merhaba diyor&#8230; Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n Endonezya\u2019ya hay\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 diliyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 14.02.2024 Evet \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmad\u0131n\u0131z, Endonezya\u2019da yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini Jokowi kazand\u0131! 2014 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana \u00fclkede devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 s\u0131fat\u0131yla siyasal ya\u015famda yer alan Joko Widodo, -yayg\u0131n ad\u0131yla bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere Jokowi-, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fcrpriz yaparak se\u00e7imlere sadece birka\u00e7 ay kala yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemli baz\u0131 hamlelerle bug\u00fcn yani, 14 \u015eubat g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131nda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5087,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,6,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-endonezya","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5086","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5086"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5086\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5088,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5086\/revisions\/5088"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5087"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}