{"id":5055,"date":"2024-01-27T11:05:28","date_gmt":"2024-01-27T11:05:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5055"},"modified":"2024-01-27T11:09:03","modified_gmt":"2024-01-27T11:09:03","slug":"trump-gumbur-gumbur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/trump-gumbur-gumbur\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump yeniden iktidara gelece\u011finden emin … \/ \u00a0Trump sure to regain power …"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                            27.01.2024<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri\u2019nde (ABD), Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti aday adaylar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki rekabetin ikinci \u00f6nemli randevusu New Hampshire\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aday adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde kritik bir \u00f6neme sahip olarak de\u011ferlendirilen, 1.3 milyon n\u00fcfuslu News Hampshire\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imi, sab\u0131k Ba\u015fkan Donad Trump\u2019\u0131n, rakibi ve G\u00fcney Caroline eski valisi ve ABD\u2019nin Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler eski el\u00e7isi Nikki Haley kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir avantaj sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019ye kay\u0131tl\u0131 se\u00e7menler ile ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z se\u00e7menin kat\u0131labildi\u011fi se\u00e7imlerde, sand\u0131\u011fa gidenlerin 176.004\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn (y\u00fczde 54.3) oyunu alan Trump, 12 delege \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131rken; 140.096 se\u00e7menin (y\u00fczde 43.2) oyunu alan Haley ise, 9 delege \u00e7\u0131kartabildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iowa ve New Hamshire se\u00e7imlerine toplam sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Trump 32, Haley 17 ve yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilen Ron DeSantis 9, Vivek Ramaswamy ise 3 delege elde ettiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu sonu\u00e7, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti aday adaylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in 77 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki Trump\u2019\u0131n liderli\u011fini peki\u015ftirmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131m say\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DeSantis fakt\u00f6r\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, Iowa se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131nda Ron DeSantis ve Ramaswamy\u2019\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fc performanslar\u0131 sonucu ve demokratik gelene\u011fe uygun olarak yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilmeleri ve Trump\u2019\u0131 desteklemeleriyle daha da \u00f6nem kazanm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler i\u00e7erisinde ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l adayl\u0131k belirlenmesi s\u00fcrecinde g\u00f6zde olarak de\u011ferlendirilen Florida eski valisi Ron DeSantis\u2019in Iowa\u2019daki hezimetinin ard\u0131ndan, siyasi deste\u011fini Trump\u2019a verdi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki deste\u011fi dikkatle izlemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, New Hampshire se\u00e7imlerinde DeSantis destek\u00e7ilerinin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisinin Trump\u2019\u0131 desteklemesi, parti i\u00e7inde \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131\u201d addedilen Haley\u2019\u0131n \u015fans\u0131n\u0131n giderek azalmas\u0131ndaki ba\u015fat fakt\u00f6rlerden say\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DeSantis\u2019in New Hampshire se\u00e7imlerinden hemen \u00f6nce Trump\u2019\u0131 destekledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ve Trump\u2019\u0131n DeSantis\u2019e y\u00f6nelik \u00f6vg\u00fc dola a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, Trump ba\u015fkan, DeSantis ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 form\u00fcl\u00fcne haz\u0131rl\u0131k oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

New Hampshire\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nemi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

New Hampshire se\u00e7imlerinin \u00f6nemini art\u0131ran birka\u00e7 husus var. Bunlardan ilki, t\u0131pk\u0131 IOWA se\u00e7imlerinde oldu\u011fu \u00fczere, y\u00fcksek kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uzmanlar\u0131n, \u201cson y\u0131llarda g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f\u201d \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirdikleri ve y\u00fczde 70\u2019i bulan kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan se\u00e7menlerin ilgisini iyi de\u011ferlendirmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, yakla\u015f\u0131k bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan parti i\u00e7i aday adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrecinde g\u00f6zlemler, anketler gibi ara\u00e7larla elde edilen \u2018tahminler\u2019in yerinin, se\u00e7menin bizatihi sand\u0131k ba\u015f\u0131na giderek g\u00f6stermesinin ne denli \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kincisi ise, ABD\u2019de demokrasi gelene\u011finin yerle\u015fik oldu\u011funa g\u00f6nderme yapan bir husus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O da, IOWA ve News Hampshire gibi aday adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinin yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 birka\u00e7 eyalette al\u0131nan sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re kaybedenlerin, gencilmence \u00e7ekilmeleri y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki sosyal talep veya bask\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buna, demokratik bask\u0131 demek yerinde olur diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Bunun temel sebebi de, adaylar\u0131n kampanya s\u00fcre\u00e7lerindeki harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n bizzat se\u00e7menden, -ya da se\u00e7men gruplar\u0131 aras\u0131nda yer alan sermayedarlardan- gelmesi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, s\u00f6z konusu birka\u00e7 se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinde kaybeden aday, fon sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yar\u0131\u015fa devam etmelerinin kritik e\u015fi\u011fin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

IOWA ve New Hampshire se\u00e7imlerine atfedilen bu \u00f6nem, bu iki se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesini \u00fclke genelinde \u00f6rneklem haline getirmesi, uzun bir politik tarihi ge\u00e7mi\u015f ve tecr\u00fcbenin \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc olmas\u0131na dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yani, olu\u015fan bu karar mekanizmas\u0131nda ABD\u2019de, neredeyse her alanda kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131kan emprik verilerin g\u00fcvenilirli\u011fi esas al\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yeniden Trump (m\u0131?)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dclke genelindeki Cumhuriyet\u00e7i se\u00e7meni temsil noktas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli veriler sa\u011flayan Iowa ve New Hampshire se\u00e7imleri, Trump\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcmb\u00fcr g\u00fcmb\u00fcr ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa do\u011fru geldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, Demokrat Parti\u2019de kampanya s\u00fcrecini y\u00fcr\u00fcten Julie Chavez Rodriguez\u2019\u0131n, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada da ortaya konuldu. Rodriguez verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te: \u201c\u00d6yle anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda Joe Biden\u2019le yar\u0131\u015facak ki\u015fi, -ona kar\u015f\u0131 ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imleri kaybeden- Donald Trump olacak!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6te yandan, Iowa ve New Hampshire se\u00e7imlerini kaybeden ba\u015fkan aday adaylar\u0131ndan Nikki Haley\u2019in yar\u0131\u015ftan en az\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik \u00e7ekilme gibi bir niyetinin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da hesaba katmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6yle ki, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, kaybetmesine ra\u011fmen, ulusal se\u00e7mene seslenerek, \u201cTrump\u2019\u0131n bir kez daha Beyaz Saray\u2019da g\u00f6rev yapmas\u0131na engel olunmas\u0131\u201d \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Halley\u2019in, bu \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 ile Trump\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llarda olan bitene ve \u00f6zelikle de 2020 se\u00e7imlerinden hemen sonra se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na itiraz iddias\u0131yla Beyaz Saray\u2019da ve \u00e7evresinde ya\u015fanan kaos ve anar\u015fi ortam\u0131na g\u00f6nderme yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek gerekir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funda bulundu\u011fu 2016-2020 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki performans\u0131 hem i\u00e7 politika, hem de k\u00fcresel kamuoyu i\u00e7in \u00e7eli\u015fkilerle dolu y\u0131llar olarak an\u0131lsa da, ABD\u2019de ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimler yerine belki de, kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n h\u00fckmetti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n bir yandan Amerikan milliyet\u00e7ili\u011fi olarak okunan s\u00f6ylemleri, bu anlamda \u00f6zellikle, g\u00f6\u00e7men ve art\u0131r\u0131lan tariflerle i\u00e7e d\u00f6n\u00fck ekonomi politikalar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti i\u00e7erisindeki yerinde de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, son iki aday adayl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bat\u0131 siyasi ve entellekt\u00fcel \u00e7evrelerinin k\u00fcresel kamuoyuna liberal \u2013 demokratik de\u011ferleri \u00f6\u011freti \u015feklinde ba\u015flayan ve devam eden ele\u015ftirileri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, Trump\u2019\u0131n bir yandan, -yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere- ABD milliyet\u00e7isi \u00f6te yandan, Fundamentalist H\u0131ristiyanl\u0131k yani, Evanjelist \u00f6\u011fretileriyle hareket etmesini iyi anlamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu siyasal veya dini-politik s\u00f6ylem ve eylemler dizisine sadece ABD\u2019de de\u011fil, tarihsel ve toplumsal olarak bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, liberal-demokratik idealleri peki\u015ftirdi\u011fi iddia edilen Bat\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde de \u2018a\u015f\u0131r\u0131\/sa\u011f partilerin\u2019 iktidarlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden de ele almak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, Bat\u0131\u2019da monolitik bir demokratik \u2013 liberal idealin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ziyade, farkl\u0131 renk ve tonlar\u0131yla dinamik bir siyasal yap\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bat\u0131 \u00fclkelerini \u2018demokratik\u2019 yapan ve bu s\u00fcreci de bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l bir \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcbilmelerine olanak tan\u0131yan\u0131n da asl\u0131nda bu \u00e7ok renklilik i\u00e7erisinde rekabet edebilme becerisini g\u00f6sterebilmeleri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yoksa, demokratik-liberal ideallerin yukar\u0131dan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya hiyerar\u015fik bir \u015fekilde yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 tekil bir siyasal model olmamas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla birlikte, kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc politik s\u00f6ylemi ile dikkat \u00e7eken Trump\u2019\u0131n bu iki se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecinde de kendi partisinden di\u011fer aday\u0131 yani, Nikki Haley\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 dilin \u2018demokratik-liberal\u2019 geleneklerle mi yoksa, \u2018nefret diliyle mi\u2019 anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc zaferinin ard\u0131ndan, kendisini destekleyen G\u00fcney Carolian\u2019a senat\u00f6r\u00fc Tim Scott\u2019a se\u00e7im zaferi konu\u015fmas\u0131nda \u201cOndan (Halley) nefret etmelisin!\u201d s\u00f6ylemi a\u00e7\u0131k bir s\u00f6zl\u00fc sald\u0131r\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ayn\u0131 konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Trump, \u201cHaley\u2019e geceyi zehir ettik!\u201d c\u00fcmlesi de, onun ne t\u00fcr bir haleti ruhiye i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor. Rakibi Halley\u2019in kampanya ekibince de farkedilen bu durum kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, \u201cTrump kendinden bu kadar eminse, ni\u00e7in k\u0131zg\u0131n?\u201d sorusunu y\u00f6neltmesine neden oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019un se\u00e7imi gayet rahat kazanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n nefretinin neye dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 herhalde bir ba\u015fka bilim alan\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma sahas\u0131na giriyor…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eayet Donald Trump, b\u0131rak\u0131n Demokrat adaylara y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6ylemi, kendi partisinden bir adaya y\u00f6nelik b\u00f6ylesine ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131lay\u0131c\u0131 bir dili kullanmas\u0131n\u0131n onu ve de yar\u0131n, muhtemelen \u00fclkesini y\u00f6netecek partisinin ulusal bar\u0131\u015fa ve ayn\u0131 zamanda k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015fa ne t\u00fcr katk\u0131lar yapabilece\u011fine dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu konuda, hem Amerika bas\u0131n\u0131nda hem de k\u00fcresel bas\u0131nda benzer kayg\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcncellenmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zellikle, Covid-19 sonras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel finans ve ekonominin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131; k\u00fcresel iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi gibi \u00e7abalar\u0131n Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da \u00e7\u0131kan sava\u015f ortam\u0131; Ortado\u011fu\u2019da, \u0130srail\u2019in Filistin\u2019e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve bununla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak, Arab Denizi ve Yemen\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rayan \u015fiddet; G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi sorununun ciddiyetini korumas\u0131 gibi uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcndem maddelerinin, ABD\u2019de Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir y\u00f6nelik kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ya da, Trump\u2019\u0131n siyasal s\u00f6ylemini salt se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecine has \u2018ola\u011fan\u2019 s\u00f6ylemler olarak de\u011ferlendirenler ve yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekilen \u2018nefret dili\u2019nin k\u00f6t\u00fcmser bir alg\u0131n\u0131n esirli\u011finden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunanlar da olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Halk deste\u011fini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen Trump\u2019un benzer bir deste\u011fi partisinin siyasi eliti i\u00e7erisinde yeterli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde alamam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek pek\u00e2la m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                            27.01.2024 Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri\u2019nde (ABD), Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti aday adaylar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki rekabetin ikinci \u00f6nemli randevusu New Hampshire\u2019de yap\u0131ld\u0131. Aday adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde kritik bir \u00f6neme sahip olarak de\u011ferlendirilen, 1.3 milyon n\u00fcfuslu News Hampshire\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imi, sab\u0131k Ba\u015fkan Donad Trump\u2019\u0131n, rakibi ve G\u00fcney Caroline eski valisi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5056,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5055","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5055"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5055\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5058,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5055\/revisions\/5058"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5056"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5055"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5055"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5055"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}