{"id":4399,"date":"2022-02-24T19:35:36","date_gmt":"2022-02-24T19:35:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=4399"},"modified":"2022-02-24T19:35:36","modified_gmt":"2022-02-24T19:35:36","slug":"rusya-isgali-ya-da-ukraynada-tarihi-geriye-sarmak-russian-invasion-or-the-rewinding-history-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/rusya-isgali-ya-da-ukraynada-tarihi-geriye-sarmak-russian-invasion-or-the-rewinding-history-in-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusya i\u015fgali ya da Ukrayna\u2019da tarihi geriye sarmak \/ Russian invasion or the rewinding history in Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 24.02.2022<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn erken saatlerde Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal giri\u015fiminin, uluslararas\u0131 arenada yarg\u0131s\u0131z infaz olarak tarihe ge\u00e7ece\u011fine ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k \u201cgeliyorum\u201d diyen bu i\u015fgal giri\u015fiminin NATO, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve genel itibar\u0131yla Bat\u0131 siyasal ideolojisine y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirileri beraberinde getirdi\u011fi gibi, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan karars\u0131zl\u0131k\/belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda, \u00f6rne\u011fin Asya-Pasifik\u2019te Rusya benzeri te\u015febb\u00fcslerde bulunabilecek baz\u0131 \u00fclkelere gayrete getirip getirmeyece\u011fi de, \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmesi gereken bir konu.<\/p>\n

\u0130lk akla gelen husus hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde Tayvan sorunu\u2026 \u00c7in\u2019in bundan yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce Rusya ile \u2018dostluk antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019 imzalamas\u0131n\u0131, Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 ekseninde gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k bir ayr\u0131\u015fma olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir.<\/p>\n

Kald\u0131 ki, \u00c7in y\u00f6netimi bug\u00fcn Rusya\u2019n\u0131n giri\u015fiminin \u201cistila\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlamay\u0131 reddetmesi, olas\u0131 bir benzeri te\u015febb\u00fcs\u00fc kendi b\u00f6lgesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilmenin imk\u00e2n\u0131na g\u00f6nderme yapan bir y\u00f6nelim olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir.<\/p>\n

Provokat\u00f6r olan kim?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan Ba\u015fkan Biden, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ortada, herhangi a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u2018provokasyon olmadan\u2019 ve \u2018me\u015fruiyetten yoksun\u2019 geli\u015fme olarak nitelendirdi.<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda Vladimir Putin\u2019in daha \u00f6nceleri oldu\u011fu gibi g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n gerek\u00e7esi olarak NATO\u2019nun Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019daki eski SSCB b\u00fcnyesindeki\/uydu \u00fclkeler\/b\u00f6lgelere y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6ylem ve icraatlar\u0131n\u0131 hedef g\u00f6stermesini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a, bir \u00f6z-savunma niteli\u011finde g\u00f6rmek gerekir.<\/p>\n

Kald\u0131 ki, Putin yine ayn\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ulusal menfaatleri s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lacak bir konunu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla bunu peki\u015ftirmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Provakosyon olgusunun, benzer \u015fekilde \u0130ngiltere ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Borris Johnson, Alman \u015fans\u00f6lyesi Olaf Scholz ve NATO genel sekreteri Jens Stoltenberg taraf\u0131ndan da g\u00fcndeme getirilmesi, NATO\u2019da \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00fc\u00e7lerin ve isimlerin Putin\u2019in NATO\u2019yu hedef alarak, sald\u0131r\u0131ya me\u015fruiyet kazand\u0131rma aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7meyi hedeflediklerini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n

Kara g\u00fcn<\/strong><\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu bu sald\u0131r\u0131, 2. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019ndan sonra Avrupa s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7erisindeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck askeri operasyon niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131yla, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin ve de bu birli\u011fin ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lan de\u011ferlerin ne denli k\u0131r\u0131lgan hale geldi\u011finin bir g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n

Bu durum asl\u0131nda tam da, baz\u0131 liderlerin \u201cAvrupa\u2019n\u0131n kara g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d tan\u0131mlamas\u0131na tekab\u00fcl ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bat\u0131l\u0131 uluslar nezdinde, Ukrayna \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir ulus devlete y\u00f6nelik b\u00f6ylesi bir adaletsizce giri\u015fimin nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015fturulaca\u011f\u0131 konusu, \u015fimdilik me\u00e7hul olmakla birlikte, s\u00f6z konusu bu yarg\u0131s\u0131z infaz k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta, zaten var olan g\u00fcvensizlik ortam\u0131n\u0131 daha da derinle\u015ftirecektir.<\/p>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda Bat\u0131\u2019y\u0131 tek blok olarak ittifak g\u00fcc\u00fc ba\u011flam\u0131nda zikretse de, b\u00f6ylesi bir ittifak\u0131n etkinli\u011fi sorgulanmay\u0131 hak edecek zaafiyetler ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6ylesi bir sald\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7in herhangi bir mazereti g\u00fcndeme getirmesinin hi\u00e7bir \u015fekilde kabul edilemeyece\u011fine \u015f\u00fcphe yok.<\/p>\n

Ancak bug\u00fcn ya\u015fananlar\u0131n Bat\u0131 i\u00e7in iki a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. \u0130lki, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna istilas\u0131 ile ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerin kendi i\u00e7 anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131yla y\u00fczle\u015fmeleri gerekti\u011finin ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130kincisi, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ve demokratik bir devlet olarak Ukranya\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu durumdan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na acilen yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmalar\u0131d\u0131r. Birbirinden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ele al\u0131namayacak bu iki husus, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki Bat\u0131 siyasal ve ideolojik olarak y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn iki kat artmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

NATO kararl\u0131 (m\u0131?)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken saatlerde Putin\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131 emri a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, NATO\u2019nun s\u00f6ylem g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn Rusya \u00fczerinde etkisizli\u011fini kan\u0131tlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bununla birlikte, NATO\u2019dan ve NATO \u00fcyesi \u00fclkelerden yap\u0131lan ilk a\u00e7\u0131klamalara bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, iki farkl\u0131 cevab\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130lki, ABD ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019den gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnya kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde sorumlu tutulaca\u011f\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ekonomik boyutta s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fi vurgu yap\u0131yor. \u0130kincisi ise, NATO genel sekreteri Jens Stoltenberg\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ki, sanki NATO\u2019nun her an bir askeri giri\u015fime kap\u0131 aralayabilece\u011fi ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde akla getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Mevcut durumda, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kendi arzusuyla geri \u00e7ekilme ve masaya oturma karar\u0131 vermesi \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ihtimal olsa da, b\u00f6ylesi bir durum Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan geli\u015fmeleri farkl\u0131 y\u00f6ne d\u00f6nd\u00fcrebilir.<\/p>\n

Aksi halde, masum Ukraynal\u0131lar\u0131 korumak amac\u0131yla Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 ayn\u0131 tonda yani, askeri olarak bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilmemesi halinde, Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkelerin uluslararas\u0131 arenada hem, siyasal ideolojilerinin hem de, siyasal iktidarlar olarak inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde erozyona u\u011frayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylesi bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n olmamas\u0131n\u0131n Rusya a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan anlam\u0131 ise, benzer bir giri\u015fimi zamana yayarak di\u011fer eski Do\u011fu Bloku \u00fclkelerine do\u011fru geni\u015fletmesi imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131 bir moral g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak elde etmi\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

NATO\u2019nun bu meydan okumaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Rusya tehdidine maruz kalan \u00fclkelerin do\u011frudan NATO\u2019nun ana\/\u00e7ekirdek \u00fclkeleri olmamas\u0131nda g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, bug\u00fcn sald\u0131r\u0131ma maruz kalan Ukrayna\u2026 Ya da bu \u00fclkeyi \u00e7evreleyen Polanya, Moldova, Romanya, Slovakya, Macaristan gibi kom\u015fu \u00fclkeler\u2026<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, NATO\u2019nun \u00f6zellikle, kurucu \u00fcye \u00fclkeler ile bu \u00fclkelere yana\u015f\u0131k birincil \u00fclkelerin Ukrayna\u2019ya kom\u015fu olmamas\u0131n\u0131n meydana getirdi\u011fi bir teredd\u00fct ve dura\u011fanl\u0131ktan s\u00f6z etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Tarihi geriye saymak<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya kamuoyuna hat\u0131rlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir ger\u00e7ek Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kayda de\u011fer g\u00fc\u00e7 edinimidir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yle ki, 1989 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan SSCB\u2019nin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme s\u00fcrecinden sonra, Var\u015fova Pakt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn de facto<\/em> lideri konumundaki Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, aradan ge\u00e7en otuz y\u0131l\u0131n ard\u0131ndan mevcut ulus-devletler \u00fczerinde \u015fu veya bu \u015fekilde sa\u011flamay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc egemenlik s\u00fcre\u00e7leriyle d\u00fcnya kamuoyunun \u00f6n\u00fcndedir.<\/p>\n

Ukrayna i\u015fgali, Bat\u0131 merkezli ideolojik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya konu olan So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6neminin ard\u0131ndan, Do\u011fu Bloku\u2019nun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcl\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ve da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bitmedi\u011finin bir kan\u0131t\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, ABD \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, kendini siyasi ideolojik temelleriyle tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 liberal, demokratik de\u011ferlere kar\u015f\u0131n, bug\u00fcn\u00fcn Rusya\u2019n\u0131n hangi siyasal ideolojik temellere sahip oldu\u011fu sorgulanmay\u0131 hak etmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ancak \u015fu kadar var ki, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f yeti\u015ftirmesi Vladimir Putin\u2019in devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kom\u00fcnist de\u011ferler ve idealler etraf\u0131nda \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclenmemekle birlikte, bir siyasi y\u00f6netim bi\u00e7imi olarak neye tekab\u00fcl etti\u011fi belirsizli\u011fini korumaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019daki y\u00f6netimi salt \u201cotoriter\u201d (autocrat<\/em>) olarak nitelemek, olan biteni bize yeterince aktarm\u0131yor, aksine mu\u011flakl\u0131k derecesini daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Nihayetinde Bat\u0131l\u0131 liberal, demokratik ulus-devletlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen ABD\u2019de, 2016-2020 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ba\u015fkan Donald Trump i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ortaya koydu\u011fu siyasal y\u00f6netim anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 da, en az Putin\u2019ine atfedilen kadar otoriter olarak tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirecek boyuttayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde NATO\u2019nun sergiledi\u011fi s\u00f6ylem ile Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n bu evresinde beklenmeyen giri\u015fimi ak\u0131llara 20. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n So\u011fuk Sava\u015f y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Olumsuz addedilebilecek bu geli\u015fmenin en b\u00fcy\u00fck tesiri ise kendini Bat\u0131 Avrupa \u00fczerinde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine \u015f\u00fcphe yok.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 24.02.2022 Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bug\u00fcn erken saatlerde Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4400,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4399"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4399\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4401,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4399\/revisions\/4401"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4400"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}