{"id":3841,"date":"2021-05-11T22:08:59","date_gmt":"2021-05-11T22:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=3841"},"modified":"2021-05-12T12:49:37","modified_gmt":"2021-05-12T12:49:37","slug":"singapurda-shangri-laya-devam-hint-pasifik-guvenlik-ve-baris-shangri-la-dialogue-in-singapore-indo-pacific-security-and-peace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/singapurda-shangri-laya-devam-hint-pasifik-guvenlik-ve-baris-shangri-la-dialogue-in-singapore-indo-pacific-security-and-peace\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapur\u2019da Shangri-La\u2019ya devam: Hint-Pasifik, g\u00fcvenlik ve bar\u0131\u015f \/ Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore: Indo-Pacific, security and peace"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 11.05.2021<\/strong><\/p>\n

Singapur, Haziran ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak Shangri-La g\u00fcvenlik ve bar\u0131\u015f temal\u0131 toplant\u0131ya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

4-5 Haziran g\u00fcnlerinde yap\u0131lacak toplant\u0131lara 40\u2019a yak\u0131n \u00fclkeden \u00a0de\u011fi\u015fik d\u00fczeyde kat\u0131l\u0131m beklenirken, bu y\u0131lki ana temay\u0131 Hint-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesini \u00e7evreleyen suyollar\u0131nda serbest dola\u015f\u0131m konusu olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00f6nemin Japonya ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Shinzo Abe\u2019nin ilk defa g\u00fcndeme getirdi\u011fi, ard\u0131ndan \u00f6zellikle ABD\u2019nin taraf\u0131ndan sahiplenilerek sab\u0131k devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump d\u00f6neminde, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir strateji belgesi haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclen Hint-Pasifik konusu olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Toplant\u0131larda ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenen di\u011fer konular aras\u0131nda \u00e7evre, yapay zek\u00e2 ve yeni teknolojiler gibi alanlar bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Kovid-19 engeli<\/strong><\/p>\n

4-5 Haziran g\u00fcnlerinde Ada devleti Singapur\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek olan, geleneksel Shangri-La savunma toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde kovid-19 nedeniyle, b\u00f6lgede gergin bir durum ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l, kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 nedeniyle ilk defa ertelenen toplant\u0131n\u0131n, bu y\u0131l kovid-19\u2019un yeniden neden oldu\u011fu fiziki \u015fartlar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klama ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Ocak ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Son haftalarda \u00f6zellikle, Hindistan\u2019a en \u00fcst d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131kan kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131, etkisini G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya\u2019da da yeniden hissettirirken, Singapur\u2019da h\u00fck\u00fcmet geli\u015fmeleri yak\u0131ndan takip etti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, daha \u00f6nce pl\u00e2nland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, Shangri-La toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n en az\u0131ndan \u015fu anki durum itibar\u0131yla iptali s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemde Kuzey Avrupa, Brezilya ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ard\u0131ndan G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya\u2019da da y\u00fckselme e\u011filimi sergileyen kovid-19 sorununun g\u00f6lgesinde kalm\u0131\u015f olsa da, b\u00f6lge g\u00fcvenlik konular\u0131n\u0131n, bu toplant\u0131yla yeniden g\u00fcndemde ilk s\u0131ray\u0131 almas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131 Suga\u2019dan<\/strong><\/p>\n

Her y\u0131l b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinden birinin devlet veya h\u00fck\u00fcmet ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131larda bu y\u0131l Japonya ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Yoshihide Suga bu g\u00f6revi \u00fcstlenecek.<\/p>\n

Suga\u2019n\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n, Do\u011fu \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nden ba\u015flayarak Hint Okyanusu\u2019na uzanan geni\u015f suyollar\u0131 \u00fczerinde serbest dola\u015f\u0131m hakk\u0131 \u00fczerinde olaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Suga\u2019n\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131, ge\u00e7en Mart ay\u0131nda ABD, Avustralya, Hindistan ve Japonya\u2019n\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve devlet ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla sanal ortamda yap\u0131lan ve \u2018D\u00f6rtl\u00fc Yap\u0131\u2019 (Quad<\/em>) olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan Hint-Pasifik\u2019te yeni bir ittifak olu\u015fumunun y\u00fcksek sesle dile getirilmesi anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Japon ba\u015fbakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Nisan ay\u0131 ortalar\u0131nda ABD\u2019ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 resmi ziyarette ele al\u0131nan konular\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda da, \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00f6lge g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit eden yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ortak politikalar geli\u015ftirilmesi bulunuyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Suga\u2019n\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fman\u0131n alt yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yukar\u0131da zikredilen iki geli\u015fme ile belirlendi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, ABD savunma bakan\u0131 Lloyd J. Austin de \u201cABD\u2019nin Hint-Pasifik Stratejisi\u2019nin Geli\u015ftirilmesi\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir konu\u015fma yapmas\u0131 kesinle\u015fmi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden\u2019in Amerikan Kongresi\u2019nde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, NATO\u2019yu \u00f6rnek g\u00f6stererek, Hint-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde \u201c\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemek amac\u0131yla askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irebileceklerini\u201d s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Biden\u2019in bu s\u00f6yleminin savunma bakan\u0131 Austin taraf\u0131ndan detayl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde g\u00fcndeme getirilmesi muhtemel.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in b\u00f6lgede paradigma de\u011fi\u015fimi pe\u015finde<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6zellikle 2012 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana, devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Chinping ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u00c7inli \u00fcst d\u00fczey siyasi elitin y\u00fcksek sesle dile getirdikleri ve \u00e7e\u015fitli politik ad\u0131mlarla g\u00fcncelledikleri G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi teritoryal egemenlik iddias\u0131, b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere yukar\u0131da zikredilen d\u00f6rt \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan da b\u00f6lgede stat\u00fckonun de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7abas\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zda da dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz \u00fczere, \u015ei Chinping, deniz ve kara deniz \u0130pek Yollar\u0131; Tek Yol Tek Ku\u015fak (One Belt-One Road<\/em>) projelerini g\u00fcndeme getirmesinde oldu\u011fu gibi, ayn\u0131 zamanda G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nin y\u00fczde doksan\u0131na ula\u015facak d\u00fczeyde, teritoryal hak iddias\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in ve \u015ei Cinping bu iddias\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7medi\u011fi gibi aksine, \u0131srarla G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019ndeki egemenlik iddias\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirmeye devam noktas\u0131nda, askeri ve sivil yap\u0131la\u015fmalar ile bal\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 tekneleri \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131nda bu denizde boy g\u00f6stermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz 22 Ocak\u2019ta ulusal halk kongresinde ilgili komitede al\u0131nan ve 1 \u015eubat 2021\u2019de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giren kararla \u00c7in, sahil g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerine G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde hak iddia etti\u011fi b\u00f6lgelerde di\u011fer \u00fclke gemilerine ate\u015f a\u00e7ma hakk\u0131 tan\u0131yan yasas\u0131, bu konuda s\u00fcrecin tehlikeli bir boyuta do\u011fru evrildi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

ASEAN\u2019\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, ASEAN ve Asya-Pasifik olgular\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte g\u00fcndeme getirilen Hint-Pasifik yap\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle, b\u00f6lgenin di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri taraf\u0131ndan nas\u0131l alg\u0131lanaca\u011f\u0131 ve bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ne t\u00fcr rol \u00fcstlenecekleri meselesi ise \u015fu an i\u00e7in belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fkan Joe Biden\u2019in konu\u015fmas\u0131na at\u0131fla yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekilen Hint-Pasifik\u2019te NATO benzeri olu\u015fuma ASEAN\u2019\u0131n kurulu\u015f temelleri dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kolay kolay \u2018evet\u2019 denmeyece\u011fini ileri s\u00fcrebiliriz.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, Shangri-La toplant\u0131lar\u0131na ev sahibi yapacak olan Singapur\u2019un da \u00fcyesi oldu\u011fu G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi\u2019nin (Association of Southeast Asian Nations<\/em>-ASEAN), ABD\u2019nin bu yeni b\u00f6lgesel tan\u0131mlama ve kavramsalla\u015ft\u0131rma s\u00fcrecine nas\u0131l bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da daha net olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, b\u00f6lgesel bir birlik olarak ASEAN\u2019\u0131n Shangri-La toplant\u0131s\u0131nda ortak bir karar a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131p a\u00e7\u0131klamayaca\u011f\u0131 da merak konusu.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de \u015fahin politikac\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00f6lgede ABD\u2019nin askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7abalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, ortada her ne kadar \u00c7in tehdidinden bahsedilebilse de, ASEAN farkl\u0131 mekanizmalarla bu tehdidin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn al\u0131nmas\u0131ndan yana. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, ASEAN\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nceli\u011finin b\u00f6lgenin silahland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 veya olas\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Genel itibar\u0131yla ve tarihsel olarak ASEAN\u2019\u0131n g\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k bu politika \u00fcye \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda benzer d\u00fczeyde talep g\u00f6r\u00fcp g\u00f6rmedi\u011fi de tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle \u00c7in\u2019in kendisine yak\u0131n hissetti\u011fi ve \u00e7e\u015fitli yat\u0131r\u0131mlarla destekledi\u011fi Laos ve Kambo\u00e7ya, her ne kadar g\u00f6rece b\u00f6lgenin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00fclkeleri olsalar da, ASEAN ortak kararlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemeye yetecek g\u00fc\u00e7leri bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Tarihe referanslar ve uluslararas\u0131 politika<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hint-Pasifik yap\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131nda \u2018Hint\u2019 vurgusu, akla Hindistan\u2019\u0131 ve tabii ki ba\u015fbakan Narendra Modi\u2019yi getirirken, bu yap\u0131la\u015fmada s\u00f6z hakk\u0131n\u0131n Hindistan\u2019dan ziyade daha \u00e7ok ABD\u2019de oldu\u011fu ortada.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, Hint-Pasifik kavram\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel olarak ilk defa g\u00fcndeme gelmedi\u011fini burada ifade etmekte yarar var. Shinzo Abe\u2019nin 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda Hindistan\u2019\u0131 ziyareti s\u0131ras\u0131nda Yeni Delhi\u2019ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada zikretti\u011fi \u2018Hint-Pasifik\u2019 olgusu veya kavram\u0131 17. y\u00fczy\u0131l ortalar\u0131nda bir Mogul prensinin kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir kitapta kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu tarihsel bilginin \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etmekte yarar var.<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere, \u00c7in\u2019in G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde teritoryal hak iddias\u0131n\u0131 da \u201c… Be\u015f y\u00fczy\u0131l \u00f6nce de bizim bal\u0131k\u00e7\u0131 teknelerimiz buradayd\u0131\u201d s\u00f6ylemiyle tarihe referans yaparak me\u015fruiyet kazand\u0131rma pe\u015finde.<\/p>\n

Kalk\u0131nmac\u0131 ekonomi politikalarla \u00f6nce \u00e7\u0131kan Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya b\u00f6lgesinde \u00c7in\u2019in yerle\u015fik g\u00fc\u00e7 parametrelerine y\u00f6nelik \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri kadar, ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere Bat\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan dikkatle izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, bug\u00fcne kadar ASEAN, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesel birlikleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ele al\u0131nan jeo-stratejik geli\u015fmeler Hint-Pasifik kavramsalla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131yla yeni bir safhaya evriliyor. Konu her ne kadar kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ikinci pl\u00e2na d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olsa da, Haziran ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Singapur\u2019da yap\u0131lacak olan toplant\u0131larda g\u00fcndemde yeniden ilk s\u0131ray\u0131 alacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

2002 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana her y\u0131l, Uluslararas\u0131 Stratejik \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019nce (IISS) organize edilen ve her y\u0131l Singapur\u2019da Shangri-La otelinde yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131ya Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesindeki \u00fclkelerin savunma bakanlar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere, \u00f6nemli say\u0131da siyaset\u00e7i, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, gazeteci kat\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 11.05.2021 Singapur, Haziran ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak Shangri-La […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3847,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3841"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3841\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3843,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3841\/revisions\/3843"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3847"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}