{"id":3472,"date":"2020-09-26T19:39:20","date_gmt":"2020-09-26T19:39:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=3472"},"modified":"2020-09-26T19:39:20","modified_gmt":"2020-09-26T19:39:20","slug":"malezyada-iktidarin-sabah-secimleri-zaferi-ve-olasi-genel-secimler-the-ruling-governments-success-in-sabah-elections-and-possible-general-elections-in-malaysia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/malezyada-iktidarin-sabah-secimleri-zaferi-ve-olasi-genel-secimler-the-ruling-governments-success-in-sabah-elections-and-possible-general-elections-in-malaysia\/","title":{"rendered":"Malezya\u2019da iktidar\u0131n Sabah se\u00e7imleri zaferi ve olas\u0131 genel se\u00e7imler \/ The ruling government\u2019s success in Sabah elections and possible general elections in Malaysia"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 26.09.2020<\/strong><\/p>\n

Malezya\u2019da Sabah Eyaleti\u2019nde bug\u00fcn, yani 26 Eyl\u00fcl g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan eyalet se\u00e7imleri Sabah Halk Birli\u011fi\u2019nin (Gabungan Rakyat Sabah<\/em>-GRS) federal h\u00fck\u00fcmeti olu\u015fturan koalisyon yap\u0131s\u0131yla olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ittifak kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu koalisyon yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, Sabah Eyalet meclisindeki 73 sandalyeden 38\u2019ini almas\u0131 \u00fczerine eyalette yeni, ancak az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan eyalet y\u00f6netimini olu\u015fturan Shafie Apdal\u2019\u0131n bulundu\u011fu Sabah Miras\u0131 Partisi (Parti Warisan Sabah<\/em>-Warisan) ve Umut Koalisyonu (Pakatan Harapan<\/em>-PH) blo\u011fu ise 32 milletvekilinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu sonu\u00e7lar, Federal h\u00fck\u00fcmette ba\u015fbakan Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu Ulusal \u0130ttifak (Perikatan Nasional<\/em>-PN) koalisyonunun eyalet se\u00e7imlerinde parlamentoda asgari \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu olu\u015fturmak \u00fczere 1 milletvekili farkl\u0131 \u00f6nde bitirdi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

PN\u2019in ulusal siyasetteki yerini peki\u015ftirmesiyle dikkat \u00e7eken bu se\u00e7im sonucuna ra\u011fmen, eyalette h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurma g\u00f6revinin hangi partiye mensup milletvekiline verilece\u011fi ise hen\u00fcz kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yle ki, kazan\u0131lan 38 milletvekilli\u011fi koalisyon yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde PN\u2019in 17, BN\u2019in yani UMNO\u2019nun omurgas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu BN\u2019in 14, PBS\u2019nin ise 7 milletvekilli\u011fi kazanmas\u0131 liderlik noktas\u0131nda PN ve BN aras\u0131nda gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, PN koalisyonu, ba\u015fbakan Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019i ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu ve partinin Sabap Eyaleti ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcten Datuk Hajiji Noor\u2019u, BN ise Bung Moktar\u2019\u0131 aday g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi biliniyor.<\/p>\n

Sadece eyaletin de\u011fil, ulusal siyasette de kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc bir yeri bulunan Shafie Apdal\u2019\u0131n eyalet y\u00f6netimi kaybetmesi hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, \u00e7e\u015fitli y\u00f6nleriyle tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. \u00d6ncelikle, s\u00f6ylenmesi gereken, ad\u0131 daha \u00f6nce Dr. Mahathir Muhammed taraf\u0131ndan olas\u0131 bir yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurulmas\u0131 durumunda ad\u0131 ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 olarak zikredilen Shafie Apdal\u2019\u0131n art\u0131k b\u00f6yle bir \u015fans\u0131n\u0131n zora girdi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

PN h\u00fck\u00fcmeti me\u015fruiyeti ve olas\u0131 genel se\u00e7imler<\/strong><\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nce de dile getirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, Sabah Eyaleti se\u00e7imleri yerel bir se\u00e7im olman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde ulusal siyasete y\u00f6n verme g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip bir nitelik ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu sonu\u00e7, 24 \u015eubat 2020 tarihindeki sivil darbe sonras\u0131nda kurulan h\u00fck\u00fcmetin ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in, \u015fu ya da bu \u015fekilde, siyasi me\u015fruiyeti anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, ba\u015fbakan Muhyiddin Yasin, GRS\u2019in eyalet y\u00f6netimini kazanmas\u0131 halinde genel se\u00e7imlere gitmek i\u00e7in ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ge\u00e7en hafta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama dikkat \u00e7ekiciydi.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdi beklenti, Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in verdi\u011fi bu a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n arkas\u0131nda durup erken genel se\u00e7imlere gitme karar\u0131 almas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, se\u00e7imlerin do\u011frudan bir sonucu olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilecek bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fand\u0131. Ve Dr. Mahathir Muhammed, 15. genel se\u00e7imlerin zaman\u0131nda yani, 2023\u2019te yap\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde aday olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n

\u00d6te yandan, muhalefetin do\u011fal lideri konumundaki Halk\u0131n Adaleti Partisi (Partai Keadilan Rakyat<\/em>-PKR), genel ba\u015fkan\u0131 Enver \u0130brahim 23 Eyl\u00fcl \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcpriz bir bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131yla ulusal mecliste \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fun deste\u011fini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ba\u015fbakan olarak atanmak amac\u0131yla federal sultan\u2019dan randevu talep etti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Enver \u0130brahim\u2019in, Sabah eyalet se\u00e7imlerinden sadece birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, ulusal siyasete tabiri caizse bomba gibi d\u00fc\u015ferken, akla acaba Sabah eyalet se\u00e7imlerine dolayl\u0131 bir m\u00fcdahale mi sorusunu da ak\u0131llara getiriyordu.<\/p>\n

Enver \u0130brahim, PKR, Demokratik Eylem Partisi (Democratic Action Party<\/em>-DAP) ve Emanet Partisi\u2019nden (Partai Amanah) olu\u015fan Umut Koalisyonu\u2019nun toplam 91 milletvekilinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, en az\u0131ndan bir az\u0131nl\u0131k h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurabilmesi i\u00e7in toplum 222 sandalyeli federal mecliste,112 milletvekiline ula\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, d\u0131\u015fardan 21 milletvekilinin deste\u011fine ihtiya\u00e7 duyarken, yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bas\u0131n topland\u0131s\u0131nda s\u00f6z konusu deste\u011fin hangi partilere mensup milletvekillerinden geldi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki sorular\u0131 cevaps\u0131z b\u0131rakmas\u0131 spek\u00fclasyonlara yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak, Enver \u0130brahim\u2019in, federal sultanla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan bu y\u00f6nde bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmesinin siyasi team\u00fcllere uygun oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n

Sabah\u2019ta se\u00e7im detaylar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu PN ile bu olu\u015fumun en \u00f6nemli destek\u00e7isi olarak dikkat \u00e7eken Ulusal Cephe (Barisan Nasional<\/em>-BN) ve eyalet baz\u0131nda siyaset yapan di\u011fer ortaklar Sabah Birlik Partisi (Parti Bersatu Sabah<\/em>-PBS), Vatan Birli\u011fi Partisi (Parti Solidariti Tanah Airku<\/em>-STAR) kazan\u0131lan bu se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyalette y\u00f6netimi Sabah Halk Birli\u011fi\u2019ne (Gabungan Rakyat Sabah<\/em>-GRS) kazand\u0131rm\u0131\u015f oldular.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada ulusal d\u00fczeyde faaliyet g\u00f6steren partilerin, t\u0131pk\u0131 Sarawak Eyaleti\u2019nde oldu\u011fu gibi, Sabah Eyaleti\u2019nde de \u00f6nemli bir organizyon g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip olmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, eyalet d\u00fczeyinde faaliyet g\u00f6steren partilere eyalet y\u00f6netiminde \u00f6ncelik verilmektedir.<\/p>\n

PN koalisyonu, Sabah Eyalet meclisindeki 73 sandalyeden 38\u2019ini al\u0131rken, 2018\u2019den bu yana eyaleti y\u00f6neten Warisan ve koalisyon ortaklar\u0131 32 sandaye kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re, eyalet parlamentosunda h\u00fck\u00fcmeti olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in asgari 37 milletvekili \u015fart\u0131n\u0131 bir milletvekili fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile elde edilmi\u015f oldu. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zlar ise 3 milletvekili kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Shafie Apdal\u2019\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu ve eyalet baz\u0131nda siyaset yapan Warisan partisi, 2018 se\u00e7imlerine Umut Koalisyonu \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131nda girmi\u015f ve eyalet se\u00e7imlerinde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Sabah Eyaleti\u2019ndeki se\u00e7imlerde Warisan, Birle\u015fik \u0130lerlemeci Kinabalu Organizasyonu (United Progressive Kinabalu Organization<\/em>-UPKO) ile Umut Koalisyonunu olu\u015fturan PKR, DAP ve Amanah partileri birlikte hareket etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

1 milyon 100 bin se\u00e7menin kay\u0131tl\u0131 bulundu\u011fu eyalet\u2019te, kat\u0131l\u0131m y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde oldu. Yukar\u0131da da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi iki koalisyon grubuna mensup partilerden 447 aday ile ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z 56 aday\u0131n i\u015ftirak etti\u011fi eyalet se\u00e7imi temelde ulusal siyasetin bir yans\u0131mas\u0131 niteli\u011finde.<\/p>\n

Sarawak Eyaleti\u2019nden sonra eyaletler aras\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek se\u00e7men say\u0131s\u0131 noktas\u0131nda ikinci s\u0131rada bulunan Sabah\u2019taki bu geli\u015fmenin yak\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak ulusal siyaset i\u00e7in avantajl\u0131 ve dezavatajl\u0131 y\u00f6nleri bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, se\u00e7menin asl\u0131nda kaynayan siyaset kazan\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelere ve bu noktada mevcut siyaset yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na ilgi g\u00f6stermedi\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlanmaya a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, eyalet ve ulusal d\u00fczeyde siyaset yapan partilerin y\u00fczde 40\u2019l\u0131k se\u00e7mene ula\u015famam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 siyasetin g\u00fcc\u00fc ve eti\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir eksikli\u011fe tekab\u00fcl ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle, \u015fu anda ulusal siyasette muhalefet konumunda bulunan Umut Koalisyonu\u2019nun ve eyalet baz\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Warisan\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu y\u00fczde 40\u2019l\u0131k se\u00e7menin toplumsal yap\u0131da hangi kesimlerden olu\u015ftu\u011fu, talepleri, gelecek beklentileri gibi alanlarda \u00f6nemli bir alt yap\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yapmalar\u0131 gerekirdi.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn al\u0131nan sonu\u00e7 s\u00f6z konusu muhalefet yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bunu yap\/a\/mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyarken, yak\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak genel se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in bu y\u00f6nde acil \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n elzem oldu\u011funu da ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Peki bu sonu\u00e7lar ne ifade ediyor? Daha \u00f6nce de dile getirdi\u011fimiz \u00fczere, Sabah Eyaleti, Malezya\u2019n\u0131n Borneo Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki bir di\u011fer eyaleti Sarawak gibi son d\u00f6nemde ulusal se\u00e7imlerde belirleyici olmalar\u0131yla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle 2008 ve 2013 genel se\u00e7imlerinde UMNO\u2019nun omurgas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu Ulusal Cephe (BN) iktidar\u0131n\u0131n yakalanmas\u0131nda bu iki eyaletteki oylar belirleyici olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn, yani 26 Eyl\u00fcl Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan eyalet se\u00e7iminde federal iktidara aday iki koalisyon blo\u011fundan birinin di\u011feri \u00f6n\u00fcnde yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 bitirmi\u015f olmas\u0131, yak\u0131ndan yap\u0131lacak 15. genel se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in bir g\u00f6sterge kabul edilebilir.<\/p>\n

Ulusal d\u00fczeyde oldu\u011fu gibi ulusalararas\u0131 arenada da Malezya\u2019da siyasetin rotas\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l belirlenece\u011fi konusundaki beklenti devam ediyor. Sabah Eyalet se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan ba\u015fbakan Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in federal meclisi fesh ederek se\u00e7im karar\u0131 almas\u0131 yak\u0131n bir olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci alternatif, yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere Enver \u0130brahim\u2019in federal mecliste \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan federal sultan\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme talebini kabul ederek bu konuda yeni bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurma g\u00f6revini Enver \u0130brahim\u2019e vermesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Ancak Sabah se\u00e7imleri sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n federal Sultan\u2019da bu y\u00f6nde bir karar vermesine imkan tan\u0131mayaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Beklenmeyen, ancak olas\u0131l\u0131klar aras\u0131nda bulunan bir di\u011fer karar ise, Muhyiddin Yasin\u2019in mevcut iktidarla yoluna devam ederek, 15. genel se\u00e7imleri normal zaman\u0131nda yani 2023\u2019e kadar ertelemesi.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu durum, daha \u00f6nce de dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fimiz \u00fczere, Sabah eyalet se\u00e7im zaferinin etkisini k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra yitirmesinin ard\u0131ndan Muhyiddin Yasin h\u00fck\u00fcmetine y\u00f6nelik ulusal siyasette belirsizlik ve me\u015fruiyet sorununun yeniden n\u00fcksedece\u011fine ku\u015fku bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durumda, olas\u0131 bir erken se\u00e7im en istikrarl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olarak ortada duruyor. Bu durum, 24 \u015eubat 2020 sivil darbesinin ard\u0131ndan muhalefete d\u00fc\u015fen Umut Koalisyonu\u2019nun Enver \u0130brahim liderli\u011finde siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden ortaya koymas\u0131 i\u00e7in belki de son f\u0131rsat olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 26.09.2020 Malezya\u2019da Sabah Eyaleti\u2019nde bug\u00fcn, yani 26 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3473,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-malezya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3472","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3472"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3472\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3474,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3472\/revisions\/3474"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3473"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3472"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3472"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3472"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}