{"id":3047,"date":"2019-11-15T07:06:15","date_gmt":"2019-11-15T07:06:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=3047"},"modified":"2019-11-15T15:28:24","modified_gmt":"2019-11-15T15:28:24","slug":"tayvan-genel-secimlere-hazir-taiwan-ready-for-general-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/tayvan-genel-secimlere-hazir-taiwan-ready-for-general-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Tayvan genel se\u00e7imlere haz\u0131r \/ Taiwan ready for general elections"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 15.11.2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tayvan yeni y\u0131l\u0131n hemen ba\u015f\u0131nda, 11 Ocak\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak genel se\u00e7imlere haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Genel se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in partiler adaylar\u0131n\u0131 belirleme s\u00fcrecini d\u00fcn tamamlarken, iktidardaki Geli\u015fimci Demokratik Parti (Democratic People\u2019s Party<\/em>-DPP), ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ba\u015flar\u0131nda yap\u0131lan yerel se\u00e7imlerdeki kayb\u0131n\u0131 tel\u00e2fi etmek istiyor. Yerel se\u00e7imlerin kaybedilmesinin ard\u0131ndan ba\u015fkan Tsai Ing-wen\u2019in istifa etmemi\u015f olmas\u0131, halen parti i\u00e7erisindeki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Muhalefetteki Milliyet\u00e7i \u00c7in Partisi\u2019nin (KMT) ise yerel se\u00e7imlerdeki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131na ra\u011fmen, gen\u00e7 se\u00e7mene hitap etmeyen ve aralar\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019le birle\u015fme yanl\u0131s\u0131 siyasilerle se\u00e7ime girecek olmas\u0131 bir dezavantaj olarak yorumlan\u0131yor. Bu duruma KMT i\u00e7inden de ele\u015ftiriler gelmesi ve de\u011fi\u015fik fakt\u00f6rlerin de etkisiyle ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, DPP\u2019nin \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran bir unsur olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, ayn\u0131 zamanda yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekilen Hong Kong sorunu ile birlikte de\u011ferlendirilebilecek bir husus. Ada\u2019da i\u00e7 siyasette, yine \u00c7in\u2019le olan ili\u015fkilerin belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclse de, bu sefer Hong Kong\u2019daki g\u00f6sterilerin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda kimsenin \u015f\u00fcphesi yok.<\/p>\n

KMT\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6nerdi\u011fi \u2018tek devlet iki sistem\u2019 politikas\u0131n\u0131 benimsememi\u015f olsa da, Hong Kong\u2019daki sorun kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc tam ortaya koymamas\u0131 se\u00e7menler nezdinde nas\u0131l de\u011ferlendirilece\u011fini se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6sterecek.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yle ki, Hong Kong\u2019da Pekin rejimine kar\u015f\u0131 duru\u015fun \u00f6nc\u00fc konumundaki kitlenin gen\u00e7ler oldu\u011fu hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, benzer bir alt yap\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131lan Tayvan\u2019da da benzer bir durum ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n

Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n hemen ba\u015f\u0131nda ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak genel se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in Tayvan\u2019da geri say\u0131m ba\u015flarken, se\u00e7imlerde yerel ve ulusal geli\u015fmelerden ziyade b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerin kayda de\u011fer rol oynayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, Tayvan-\u00c7in ili\u015fkileri ile Hong-Kong\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin Tayvanl\u0131 se\u00e7menlerin kararlar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol\u00fc olacakt\u0131r. ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede giderek zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlenimi veren politikalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zel konumundan \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc ortaya koymakta oldu\u011fu icraatlar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Tayvan se\u00e7imlerine \u015fu veya bu \u015fekilde taraf olmas\u0131 ise s\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

ABD-Tayvan ili\u015fkisi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde etkinli\u011fi giderek azalan ve \u00e7eli\u015fkili tutumu ile dikkat \u00e7eken ABD\u2019nin Tayvan se\u00e7imlerine taraf olmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Tayvan\u2019daki se\u00e7imler, bir yandan \u00c7in ile ya\u015fanan ticaret sava\u015f\u0131, \u00f6te yandan Hong Kong\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek bir imk\u00e2n olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. ABD y\u00f6netiminin donanmas\u0131 ile Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu sefer se\u00e7imlerle iktidardaki DPP\u2019den yana koyarak devam ettirmek istiyor.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve \u00e7evresinde taraflar\u0131n hava ve deniz sahas\u0131 ihl\u00e2lleri kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 restle\u015fmelere neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Bir yandan, ABD donanmas\u0131n\u0131n Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda zaman zaman ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00f6te yandan \u00c7in hava kuvvetlerinin, \u00f6rne\u011fin ge\u00e7en Nisan ay\u0131nda Tayvan hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 ihl\u00e2li g\u00fcndeme geldi. \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 ABD\u2019yi yan\u0131nda g\u00f6ren Tayvan ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Tsai Ing-wen \u00c7in\u2019in bu ihlallerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k olarak orduya, \u201ctekrar edilmesi halinde gere\u011fini yap\u0131n\u201d emri, iki taraf aras\u0131nda gerginli\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ve hatta giderek artmakta oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyordu.<\/p>\n

ABD-Tayvan aras\u0131ndaki askeri i\u015fbirli\u011fi ve silah sat\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00c7in y\u00f6netiminin tepkisini \u00e7ekerken ba\u015fkan \u015ei Cinping, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ilan\u0131 halinde do\u011frudan g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanma tehdidinde bulunmaktan geri durmuyordu.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fe ve hatta b\u00f6lgede m\u00fcttefiki olan \u00fclkelerin g\u00fcvelik askeri harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 kendilerinin sa\u011flamas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki arg\u00fcman\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Tayvan, ABD y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir konuma gelmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Tayvan\u2019\u0131 do\u011frudan \u00c7in\u2019in tehdidi alt\u0131nda g\u00f6ren ABD bir yandan \u00c7in\u2019le ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ticaret sava\u015f\u0131nda Tayvan\u2019\u0131 koz olarak kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortada. Hatta kimi g\u00f6zlemciler, yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere, ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lge ile ili\u015fkilerindeki istikrars\u0131z tutumunu ileri s\u00fcrerek, zaman\u0131 geldi\u011finde ABD\u2019nin Tayvan\u2019a verdi\u011fi s\u00f6zleri yerine getirmeyece\u011fini yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, bu ay ba\u015f\u0131nda Bangkok\u2019da yap\u0131lan 35. ASEAN zirvesine ba\u015fkan Donald Trump kat\u0131lmazken, onu temsil eden yetkililer, ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgeyle ili\u015fkilerine \u00f6nem verdi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 ABD\u2019nin bir yandan iki farkl\u0131 tutumunu devam ettirdi\u011finin bir ba\u015fka ifadesi olarak g\u00fcndeme geldi.<\/p>\n

Hong Kong fakt\u00f6r\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00f6lgede tansiyonu y\u00fckselten geli\u015fmeler olarak de\u011ferlendirilen bu askeri te\u015febb\u00fcsler, Haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren yerini Hong Kong sorununa b\u0131rakmas\u0131, Tayvan se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in yeni bir belirleyici merkezin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmakta oldu\u011funun habercisiydi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in d\u00fcne kadar uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyuna \u2018tek devlet iki sistem\u2019 olarak tan\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Hong Kong\u2019daki kendi siyasi rejimi alt\u0131nda, ancak \u00f6zerk bir y\u00f6netim olan Hong Kong\u2019daki siyasi ve toplumsal tepkiler hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, Tayvan\u2019da siyasiler ve geni\u015f halk kitleleri taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Hong Kong\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin Tayvan\u2019\u0131 ilgilendirmesi, \u00c7in y\u00f6netiminin Tayvan\u2019la birle\u015fmede benzer bir siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yani, \u2018tek devlet iki sistem\u2019 \u00f6nerisi g\u00fcndeme getiriliyordu.<\/p>\n

Bir s\u00fcredir Hong Kong\u2019da ya\u015fanan toplumsal ve siyasal sorunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc konusunda, \u015fu an i\u00e7in taraflardan kayda de\u011fer bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6nerisi g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015f de\u011fil. Bu durum, \u00c7in\u2019in Tayvan\u2019la birle\u015fme s\u00fcreci i\u00e7in \u00f6nerdi\u011fi \u2018tek devlet iki sistem\u2019 \u00fczerinde kayg\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rmaktan \u00f6te bir etkisinin olmayaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin Tayvan\u2019\u0131 kendi teritoryal sahas\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde kabul eden siyasi yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Tayvan kendini \u2018\u00c7in Cumhuriyeti\u2019 (Republic of China<\/em>) olarak ifade etmek suretiyle, ayr\u0131 bir siyasi yap\u0131 ve hatta devlet olarak tan\u0131mlama e\u011filiminde. Tayvan y\u00f6netiminin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 resmi olarak il\u00e2n etmemesi, mevcut k\u00fcresel sistem i\u00e7erisinde \u00c7in ve Tayvan aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkinin kendine has k\u0131lan bir nitelik ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Demokrasi ve stat\u00fcko<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in kendine ait bir eyalet olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve zaman\u0131 geldi\u011finde birle\u015fmeyi \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Tayvan\u2019da \u00f6zellikle DPP ve geni\u015f halk kesimlerinin \u00c7in\u2019le birle\u015fme konusunda ayn\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte de\u011fil. Liberal demokratik siyasi ortam\u0131n ve sivil haklar\u0131n tan\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a il\u00e2n etmese de, kendini egemen bir devlet olarak g\u00f6ren Tayvan\u2019\u0131n Hong Kong gibi bir sorunun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00c7in\u2019e yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Tayvan\u2019da KMT\u2019nin iktidarda oldu\u011fu son d\u00f6nem dikkate al\u0131narak s\u00f6ylenecek olursa, \u00f6rne\u011fin 2008 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren Pekin y\u00f6netimiyle giderek yak\u0131nla\u015fma e\u011filimi 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lan genel se\u00e7imlerde muhalefetteki ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flere sahip olan DPP\u2019yi iktidara ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Se\u00e7menin verdi\u011fi bu karar\u0131n ard\u0131nda, Kuomintang\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019le yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n Taiwan\u2019\u0131n \u015fu anki de facto<\/em> egemenli\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir tehdidi d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi endi\u015fesi bulunuyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, Tayvan\u2019da iki temel toplumsal ve siyayal kesimin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne\u00a0 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130lki, \u00c7in kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Tayvanl\u0131l\u0131k kimli\u011fi ile \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan kesimler. \u0130kincisi ise, \u00c7in\u2019le birle\u015fmekten ziyade mevcut siyasi farkl\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu stat\u00fckonun devam\u0131ndan yana olan geni\u015f \u00e7evreler.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, \u00fclke siyasal ya\u015fam\u0131nda iki parti \u00f6zelinde ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla demokratik se\u00e7imlerde iktidar g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn olu\u015fumunu sa\u011flayan ba\u015fat fakt\u00f6r\u00fc olu\u015fturuyor. \u00d6yle ki, son d\u00f6nemdeki se\u00e7imler, \u00f6rne\u011fin 2016 Ocak ay\u0131ndaki genel se\u00e7imler ve 2018 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki yerel se\u00e7imler, bunun en iyi g\u00f6stergesi.<\/p>\n

Genel itibar\u0131yla bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Tayvan halk\u0131n\u0131n Pekin y\u00f6netiminin siyasi idaresi alt\u0131na girmek gibi bir niyeti yok. Bununla birlikte, tam ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k il\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de istikrarl\u0131 bir siyasi bilin\u00e7 sergilemiyor. \u00c7in\u2019le ili\u015fkilerde stat\u00fckonun devam\u0131ndan yana bir siyasi karar\u0131 ortaya koyan bu duru\u015f, bir t\u00fcr arada kalm\u0131\u015fl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi olarak alg\u0131lansa da, i\u015fler yolunda gitti\u011fi m\u00fcddet\u00e7e, Tayvan\u2019daki bu iki farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f \u00e7evrelerinin memnun oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n

Ocak ay\u0131ndaki se\u00e7imlerin yerel ve ulusal sorunlar\u0131n \u00f6tesinde Hong Kong\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin rol oynayacak olmas\u0131, KMT\u2019nin adaylar konusundaki yanl\u0131\u015f se\u00e7imi DPP\u2019nin \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran unsurlar olarak dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 15.11.2019 Tayvan yeni y\u0131l\u0131n hemen ba\u015f\u0131nda, 11 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-tayvan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3047"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3050,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3047\/revisions\/3050"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}