{"id":2685,"date":"2018-12-08T19:06:48","date_gmt":"2018-12-08T19:06:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=2685"},"modified":"2018-12-08T19:06:48","modified_gmt":"2018-12-08T19:06:48","slug":"g-20de-abd-cin-ticaret-ateskesi-trade-truce-between-the-u-s-and-china-at-g-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/g-20de-abd-cin-ticaret-ateskesi-trade-truce-between-the-u-s-and-china-at-g-20\/","title":{"rendered":"G-20\u2019de ABD-\u00c7in ticaret ate\u015fkesi \/ Trade truce between the U.S. and China at G-20"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 08.12.2018<\/strong><\/p>\n

Arjantin\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen G-20 zirvesi, ad\u0131na yara\u015f\u0131r bir s\u00fcrece konu olmaktan ziyade, iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeye konu olmas\u0131yla dikkat \u00e7ekiyordu.<\/p>\n

Bunlardan ilki, ABD-\u00c7in ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 engellemeye matuf olmak \u00fczere, Trump-\u015einping \u00f6nderli\u011finde iki \u00fclke \u00fcst d\u00fczey temsilcileri aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen toplant\u0131yd\u0131. \u0130kincisi ise, yine bu ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 olarak, \u00c7in\u2019in Latin Amerika\u2019da yeni i\u015fbirliklerinin kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralama \u00e7abas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Neredeyse b\u00fct\u00fcn bir y\u0131l boyunca k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndemi belirleyen ABD \u2013 \u00c7in ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sadece bu iki \u00fclke ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan etkileri, zaten istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine konu olan k\u00fcresel ekonominin daha da belirsizliklerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu s\u00fcrecin dolayl\u0131 ve dolays\u0131z etkiledi\u011fi birlikler ve tekil \u00fclkeler tepkilerini \u00e7e\u015fitli \u015fekillerde ortaya koyarken, belki de en \u00f6nemli tepki Asya-Pasifik \u00fclkelerinden geliyordu.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en ay yap\u0131lan, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00dclkeleri Birli\u011fi (ASEAN) ve Asya-Pasifik Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi (APEC) zirveleri bunun en \u00f6nemli g\u00f6stergeleri olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u00d6nce Amerika\u2019 projesi hala ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturmas\u0131ndan bu yana dile getirmekte oldu\u011fu ABD-\u00c7in ticari ili\u015fkilerinde ABD aleyhine olan durumu de\u011fi\u015ftirme s\u00f6ylemi, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki \u2018\u00d6nce Amerika\u2019 projesinin do\u011fal bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 olarak dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klarla y\u00fckl\u00fc politikalar\u0131na tan\u0131kl\u0131kla ge\u00e7en iki y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrede, \u00c7in\u2019i hedef alan ticaret sava\u015f\u0131nda temelde hedef bu \u00fclke olsa da, k\u00fcresel ekonominin bu geli\u015fmeden etkilenmekte oldu\u011fu da a\u015fik\u00e2r.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donalp Trump ile \u00c7in devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen zirvede, mevcut ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 dondurmaya y\u00f6nelik karar s\u00fcrpriz olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131nda, Trump\u2019\u0131n kendinden emin ve zafer dolu bir edayla, \u201cABD ve \u00c7in i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z imk\u00e2nlar sunan \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 ve verimli bir toplant\u0131 oldu\u201d yollu s\u00f6yleminin \u00f6tesinde, toplant\u0131n\u0131n detaylar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, iki taraf\u0131n ortak bir anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan ziyade, ABD\u2019nin istedi\u011fi y\u00f6nde bir karar al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131na 90 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ara<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130ki \u00fclkenin kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak belirli mallara y\u00f6nelik olarak g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifelerini art\u0131rmalar\u0131 ve halen uygulanmakta olan bu durumun bir sonraki a\u015famaya ta\u015f\u0131nmamas\u0131, aksine \u015fimdilik kayd\u0131yla dondurulmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in belki de y\u0131l\u0131n en \u00f6nemli karar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ABD, \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00c7in mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olarak y\u00fczde 10 il\u00e2 25 oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u00c7in yine \u00e7e\u015fitli ABD mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131 devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

ABD y\u00f6netimi \u00c7in\u2019den gelen 50 milyar Dolar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcnlere y\u00fczde 25, 200 milyar Dolar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcnlere ise y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00c7in de 110 milyar Dolara tekab\u00fcl eden Amerikan \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcne y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fczeyinde g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesi uyguluyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda 1 Ocak 2019 tarihinden ba\u015flamak \u00fczere, toplam de\u011feri 267 milyar Dolar\u0131 bulan di\u011fer ba\u015fka \u00fcr\u00fcnlere uygulanan y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifesinin y\u00fczde 25\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131 karar\u0131 dondurulmu\u015f bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019den beklentilerinin yinelendi\u011fi ve \u00c7in\u2019in bu beklentileri yerine getirmek i\u00e7in 90 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir s\u00fcre verildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yani, ABD\u2019nin talep etti\u011fini elde etme konusunda yeni bir s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomi yeni y\u0131la umutla giriliyor!<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130ki lider aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7en s\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme, y\u0131l ortas\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019in kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermesiyle devam eden \u00e7e\u015fitli mallara y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yeni g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na \u015fimdilik kap\u0131n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede al\u0131nan karar, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gerginlik i\u00e7inde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131 taraflar aras\u0131nda yeni bir g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve 2019\u2019a en az\u0131ndan umutlu bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 imk\u00e2n\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Halen uygulamada olan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin her iki \u00fclkede \u00e7e\u015fitli sekt\u00f6rleri vurdu\u011funu da unutmamak gerekir. \u00d6te yandan, tam da bu durumla \u00e7eli\u015fkili olacak \u015fekilde \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fclkeler bu geli\u015fmeden kendilerine yeni bir ekonomik imk\u00e2n olarak de\u011ferlendirme yoluna gittikleri de g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ticaret sava\u015f\u0131nda alternatif arayanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in ABD\u2019den ithal etti\u011fi soya \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc yeti\u015ftiricilerini y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle zor durumda b\u0131rak\u0131rken, Arjantin gibi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli soya i\u015fleticisi ve \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeyi hem ABD hem \u00c7in ile ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirmesine olanak tan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

ABD soya \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin uygulanan y\u00fcksek tarife nedeniyle \u00c7in pazar\u0131na giremeyi\u015fi, \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 15 civar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesi daha fazla kay\u0131plar\u0131 \u00f6nleme ad\u0131na Arjantin pazar\u0131n\u0131n alternatif olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131, bir anda Arjantin\u2019in ABD\u2019den soya ithalat\u0131 yapan \u00fclkeler s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda ilk s\u0131raya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu yolla ABD\u2019den do\u011frudan \u00c7in\u2019e ula\u015famayan soya \u00fcr\u00fcnleri Arjantin \u00fczerinden \u00c7in\u2019in yolunu tutuyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, \u00c7in-Arjantin aras\u0131nda yeni ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131 ile soyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn t\u00fcrleri halinde \u00c7in\u2019e giri\u015fine olanak tan\u0131mas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bir y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ticaret d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc anlamak i\u00e7in di\u011fer ba\u015fka rakamlara bakmakta fayda var. \u00d6rne\u011fin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ABD\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019e toplam 282 kargo gemisiyle soya \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131rken, Arjantin\u2019e tek bir gemi y\u00fck\u00fc dahi ula\u015fm\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 bir yandan k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi olumsuz olarak etkilerken, Arjantin \u00f6rne\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler bu geli\u015fmeyi kendi lehlerine \u00e7evirmesiyle baz\u0131 alternatifleri de i\u00e7inde bar\u0131nd\u0131rmas\u0131yla dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, k\u00fcresel akt\u00f6rlerin eylemlerinin istenmedik sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olarak \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ikili ili\u015fkilerin ve k\u00fcresel ba\u011fam\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmas\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 08.12.2018 Arjantin\u2019de ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen G-20 zirvesi, ad\u0131na yara\u015f\u0131r […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2686,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2685"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2685\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2687,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2685\/revisions\/2687"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}