{"id":2173,"date":"2017-11-04T17:02:14","date_gmt":"2017-11-04T17:02:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=2173"},"modified":"2017-11-04T17:02:39","modified_gmt":"2017-11-04T17:02:39","slug":"trump-asyada-trump-in-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/trump-asyada-trump-in-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Asya\u2019da \/ Trump in Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 04.11.2017<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Asya \u00fclkelerini kapsayan resmi ziyaretlerine ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n be\u015f \u00fclkeyi kapsayan ve on iki g\u00fcn s\u00fcrecek ziyareti, \u00a0son \u00e7eyrek as\u0131rda ABD ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi en uzun s\u00fcreli ziyaret olma \u00f6zelli\u011fi olmas\u0131yla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131l\u0131yor. Tabii burada, yine bir yanl\u0131\u015f anla\u015f\u0131lmay\u0131 \u00f6nceden haber vermekte fayda var.<\/p>\n

Bir \u00f6nceki ba\u015fkan Barack Obama d\u00f6neminden ba\u015flayarak ABD y\u00f6netiminin Asya K\u0131tas\u0131\u2019ndan kast\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn bir Asya olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, aksine kalk\u0131nmac\u0131 ekonomilere ev sahipli\u011fi yapan Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekmek gerekiyor. Bu iki b\u00f6lge, \u00f6rne\u011fin Ortado\u011fu\u2019da ve K\u00f6rfez B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki demokrasi, liberal de\u011ferler ve toplumsal de\u011fi\u015fim gibi Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n vazge\u00e7medi\u011fi ve hatta belli \u00fclkeler \u00fczerinde dayatmac\u0131 politikalar\u0131na konu olan ilke ve s\u00f6ylemleriyle herhangi bir ili\u015fkisi ve ba\u011f\u0131 olmayan, aksine siyasal yap\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 petrol gelirine endeksli olu\u015fan sermaye \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren toplumsal a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 ise k\u0131s\u0131tlayan s\u00f6zde geleneksel ve dini de\u011ferlerini ya\u015fatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddias\u0131ndaki devletlerden farkl\u0131l\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Trump 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131l Asya \u00c7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yor (mu?)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu ziyaret takvimi, kadim k\u0131ta Asya\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitli b\u00f6lgelerindeki \u00fclkeleri kapsarken, daha \u00e7ok k\u00fcresel olarak 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131l Asya \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 olgusuyla dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilir. Bir \u00f6nceki ba\u015fkan Barack Obama ve yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Hillary Clinton\u2019un y\u00fcksek sesle g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131makla kalmay\u0131p, 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131l Asya \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 olgusunu yap\u0131land\u0131rma konusundaki politik \u00e7abalar\u0131yla da bu s\u00fcrece a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a destek verdiklerini hat\u0131rlamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Obama, ABD d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131na yeni bir rota \u00e7izerken Ortado\u011fu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine verilen a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 durdurup yerine Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya \u00fczerinde yeniden yap\u0131lanmaya giderken bunu hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, ekonomik boyutuyla Trans Pasifik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla (TPPA) k\u00fcresel ekonomik d\u00fczene yeni bir soluk getirme \u00e7abas\u0131nda g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019un bu ziyaretle, Obama d\u00f6nemi k\u00fcresel politika yap\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n en bariz \u00f6rne\u011fi olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan Asya \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylemini peki\u015ftirici olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 merak konusu. Trump y\u00f6netiminin bug\u00fcne kadar \u00e7izdi\u011fi performansa bak\u0131l\u0131rsa, bir tak\u0131m etkile\u015fimine rastland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek zor. Aksine, Trump \u00f6zelinde, ortada tek ve h\u0131rsl\u0131 bir oyuncu olma arzusuyla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir ba\u015fkan profili g\u00f6zlemleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu ziyaret neyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n ziyaret \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde g\u00fcndeminde \u00c7in, Japonya, G\u00fcney Kore, Filipinler ve Vietnam bulunuyor. Tek ba\u015f\u0131na ele al\u0131nmay\u0131 hak eden \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, yirminci y\u00fczy\u0131l boyunca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ittifak kurdu\u011fu Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore ile bu sefer Kuzey Kore\u2019nin n\u00fckleer tehdidi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacak. Bu tehditin peki\u015ftirdi\u011fi bir y\u00f6nelimle Japonya\u2019n\u0131n kendi savunma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturma ve askeri hareket kabiliyetini geli\u015ftirme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ABD ile yeni askeri anla\u015fma zeminine ta\u015f\u0131nabilir. Trump, seyahatinden k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce bas\u0131na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada Japonya\u2019n\u0131n sava\u015f\u00e7\u0131 bir ulus oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, bununla \u00c7in\u2019e bir mesaj yollamas\u0131 da \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fmenin arefesinde olundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Asl\u0131nda bu mesaj, Japonlar\u0131n bu \u00f6zelli\u011fini 1890\u2019l\u0131 ve 1930\u2019lu y\u0131llardaki askeri giri\u015fimlerden iyi bilen \u00c7inlilerin psikolojisini etkilemeye matuf bir y\u00f6n\u00fc oldu\u011fu a\u015fik\u00e2r. \u00c7in\u2019in bug\u00fcne kadarki agresif ekonomik kalk\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerinden biri de, Do\u011fu Asya\u2019da ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fananlard\u0131r. Kuzey Kore konusu, ayn\u0131 zamanda Asya Ekonomi Zirvesi\u2019ne kat\u0131lacak olan Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019le yap\u0131lacak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmenin de ilk maddesini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Ziyaretin ilgi \u00e7eken bir di\u011fer boyutu Filipinlere olacak\u2026 Ma\u00e7o politikac\u0131 s\u0131fat\u0131n\u0131 hak eden ve ABD ile geleneksel ittifak ili\u015fkilerini bozma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde s\u00f6ylemiyle dikkat \u00e7eken Filipinler devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Rodrigo Duterte ile yap\u0131lacak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde Filipinleri yeniden ABD ittifak blo\u011funa kazand\u0131rman\u0131n yollar\u0131 aranacakt\u0131r. Trump\u2019\u0131n Duterte\u2019yi \u2018Marawi zaferinden\u2019 dolay\u0131 tebri\u011fi iki \u00fclkeyi yeniden daha kapsaml\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fine sevk edecek bir s\u00fcrecin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n

Ziyaretin di\u011fer aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan Vietnam ise belki de en rahat ve verimli ili\u015fkilere konu olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Yine Obama d\u00f6nemi politikalar\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131 hanesine yaz\u0131lan Vietnamla ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi bug\u00fcn \u00c7in\u2019in giderek aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yere sa\u011flam basan bir y\u00f6netime sahip olmas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, Trump y\u00f6netiminin de vazge\u00e7emeyece\u011fi bir s\u00fcrece i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

ABD b\u00f6lgede yap\u0131c\u0131 olabilir mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu noktada, mevcut ABD y\u00f6netiminin, neredeyse her a\u00e7\u0131dan dinamik olan bir b\u00f6lgeyi yakla\u015f\u0131k bir y\u0131ll\u0131k zaman zarf\u0131nda, ne \u015fekilde ele alabildi\u011fi ve yak\u0131n gelecek i\u00e7in ne t\u00fcrden politikalar geli\u015ftirebilece\u011fi, mevcut ve potansiyel tehdit alanlar\u0131na yap\u0131c\u0131 ve s\u00fcreklilik arz eden bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergileyip sergileyemeyece\u011fi de sorulmas\u0131 gereken sorular aras\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemine kadar ge\u00e7en politikalara g\u00f6z at\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin Kuzey Kore politikas\u0131 dahil olmak \u00fczere kararl\u0131 ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir politika sergiledi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek zor. Bu ziyaret \u00f6ncesindeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalara da bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Trump\u2019un temel hedeflerinin ba\u015f\u0131nda Kuzey Kore kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, ba\u015fta \u00c7in olmak \u00fczere b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin deste\u011fini sa\u011flamaya matuf bir y\u00f6n\u00fc bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Kuzey Kore konusunda bug\u00fcne kadar ABD\u2019nin elini kolunu ba\u011flayan belki de yeg\u00e2ne \u00f6nemli unsur \u00c7in\u2019in ayak direyen yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yd\u0131. Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda ba\u015fkan \u015ei Cinping\u2019in partide elde etti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc liderlik, bug\u00fcn \u00c7in\u2019in sadece i\u00e7 politikada de\u011fil, b\u00f6lgesinde ve de k\u00fcresel olarak daha da \u00e7ok s\u00f6z sahibi oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu durumda, \u00c7in y\u00f6netimi, Kuzey Kore\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik herhangi bir askeri giri\u015fimi bug\u00fcne kadar tasvip etmedi\u011fi gibi, bundan sonra da Kuzey Kore\u2019den do\u011frudan bir tehdit has\u0131l olmad\u0131k\u00e7a bu y\u00f6nde bir ad\u0131m atmaya niyeti olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir lider stat\u00fcs\u00fcyle devletin zirvesinde yer edinmesi, ABD y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 ba\u011flamlarda bir istikrar s\u00fcrecine i\u015faret ederken, yine di\u011fer ba\u011flamlar noktas\u0131nda yeni ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir m\u00fccadelenin gelmekte oldu\u011funu da ortaya koyuyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n ziyaretini bu minvalde iyi okumak gerekiyor. Yani ortada, sadece bir Kuzey Kore sorunundan ziyade k\u00fcresel liderlik alan\u0131na has bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n da ortaya konmas\u0131 veya en az\u0131ndan bu s\u00fcrece evrilecek bir politik zeminin has\u0131l olmas\u0131 konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n 2016 se\u00e7imleri sonras\u0131nda b\u00f6lgeye g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi Savunma bakan\u0131 James Mattis ve D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Rex W. Tillerson\u2019un ziyaretlerinde de kan\u0131tland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere Trump y\u00f6netiminin, se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesindeki b\u00f6lgeyi kendi kaderiyle ba\u015fba\u015fa b\u0131rakabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fi \u00e7oktan anla\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu ba\u011flamda, Trump daha o d\u00f6nem bu t\u00fcrden s\u00f6ylemleri dile getirirken, kimi uzmanlar\u0131n dile getirdi\u011fi, \u2018Trump alt\u0131 ayda d\u0131\u015f politikay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frenir\u2019 iddias\u0131n\u0131n da b\u00f6ylece do\u011fruluk kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 04.11.2017 ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Asya \u00fclkelerini […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2173"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2176,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2173\/revisions\/2176"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2174"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2173"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2173"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2173"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}