{"id":2078,"date":"2017-07-26T14:43:48","date_gmt":"2017-07-26T14:43:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=2078"},"modified":"2017-07-26T14:43:48","modified_gmt":"2017-07-26T14:43:48","slug":"cin-hindistan-sinirinda-statuko-gerilimi-tension-of-status-quo-in-the-border-of-china-and-india","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/cin-hindistan-sinirinda-statuko-gerilimi-tension-of-status-quo-in-the-border-of-china-and-india\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in Hindistan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda \u2018stat\u00fcko\u2019 gerilimi \/ Tension of \u2018status quo\u2019 in the border of China and India"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a026.07.2017<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in kom\u015fular\u0131yla olan anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 denizlerden sonra \u015fimdi karada da n\u00fcksetti. Himalayalarda \u00c7in, Hindistan ve Bhutan\u2019\u0131n \u00e7evreledi\u011fi stratejik dar bir bo\u011fazda ba\u015flayan gerginlik, \u00f6zellikle Pekin y\u00f6netiminin tehditleriyle devam ediyor. Son geli\u015fmeye sebep,\u00a0 \u00c7in ordusunun, b\u00f6lgenin kendi halinde \u00fclkesi Bhutan\u2019\u0131n da taraf oldu\u011fu s\u0131n\u0131r b\u00f6lgesinde, Haziran ay\u0131 ba\u015flar\u0131nda yol in\u015fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na ba\u015flamas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n

Hindistan y\u00f6netimiyse, \u00c7in\u2019in Doklam platosundaki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir uzant\u0131s\u0131 olarak s\u00f6z konusu b\u00f6lgedeki in\u015fa faaliyetini, Hindistan ile Bhutan\u2019\u0131 birbirine ba\u011flayan Siliguri koridorunu kesmeye matuf bir giri\u015fim olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Ve Hindistan taraf\u0131, bu seferki anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6ncekilerden fark\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerek, \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00f6lgede \u2018kabullenilmi\u015f\u2019 stat\u00fckonun aleyhine giri\u015fimde bulundu\u011fu iddias\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Himalayalarda ulusal g\u00fcvenlik ve tehdit<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00dczerinde anla\u015fma tesis edilemeyen bu geni\u015f s\u0131n\u0131r boyunun k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck orta\u011f\u0131 Bhutan ise, kritik bir konumda bulunuyor. Bhutan y\u00f6netimi, \u00c7in\u2019le herhangi bir siyasi ili\u015fkisi bulunmazken, s\u00f6z hakk\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenlik konusunu Hindistan\u2019a devretmi\u015f durumda. \u00d6yle ki, Haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda \u00c7in ordusunun Bhutan\u2019la s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131na konu olan b\u00f6lgede ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yol in\u015faas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, Hindistan y\u00f6netimi ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011finin tehdit edildi\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle, bir grup askerini \u00c7in taraf\u0131na ge\u00e7irerek bu geli\u015fmeyi engellemek istiyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Pekin y\u00f6netimi Hindistan askerlerinin \u00c7in s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na girmesini \u2018istil\u00e2\u2019 olarak adland\u0131r\u0131rken, tehdit i\u00e7erikli a\u00e7\u0131klamalar birbiri ard\u0131na geldi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri ve savunma bakanl\u0131klar\u0131, Hindistan\u2019\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 ihl\u00e2l etti\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle uyar\u0131rken, Hindistan birliklerinin bir an \u00f6nce s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n \u00f6te yakas\u0131na ge\u00e7mesi konusunda \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulundu. \u00c7in ordusundan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klama s\u0131radan bir \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 olman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, derhal birliklerin \u00e7ekilmemesi halinde, \u00c7in\u2019in teritoryal egemenlik sahas\u0131n\u0131 kullanmak i\u00e7in her yola ba\u015fvurulaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki\u00a0 tehditvari \u00fcslub dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in ordusu sars\u0131l\/a\/maz!<\/strong><\/p>\n

Savunma bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc Wu Qian bu \u00fcslubu daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme ad\u0131na, \u201c\u00c7in ordusunu sarsmak, bir da\u011f\u0131 sarsmaktan daha zordur\u201d diyerek, Hindistan taraf\u0131na niyetin gayet net ifade etti. \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131na matuf ba\u011flam\u0131 y\u00fcksek bu uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131nda, salt Hindistan\u2019la modern d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yatm\u0131yor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, 1 A\u011fustos\u2019da doksan\u0131nc\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 kutlayacak olan \u00c7in ordusu ad\u0131na t\u00f6renler \u00f6ncesinde bir t\u00fcr g\u00f6vde g\u00f6sterisi olarak yorumlamak da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ancak, b\u00f6lgedeki \u00c7in birliklerinin ger\u00e7ek mermilerle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi tatbikat, Pekin y\u00f6netiminin bu ifadelerinden geri atmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir kan\u0131t\u0131 h\u00fckm\u00fcnde. \u00d6yle ki, bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 bir sava\u015f s\u00f6ylemi i\u00e7erdi\u011fine \u015f\u00fcphe yok.<\/p>\n

Yeni jeo-politik alg\u0131lar<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ancak Hindistan ordusunun da \u015fu ana kadar geri ad\u0131m atmaya yana\u015fmamas\u0131, sadece gerginli\u011fin devam\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. Tabii bu geli\u015fme ba\u011flam\u0131nda tehditk\u00e2r tavr\u0131n Hindistan\u2019dan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlenimi uyanabilir. Bu noktada, dev s\u0131n\u0131r b\u00f6lgesinde herhangi bir beliryelicili\u011fin olmamas\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n her an i\u00e7in ne denli ciddi sorunlara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011finin alt yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu temel sorun, t\u0131pk\u0131 bug\u00fcn oldu\u011fu \u00fczere, iki \u00fclkeyi zaman zaman kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya getirirken, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda imzalanan taraflar aras\u0131nda \u2018g\u00fcven art\u0131rmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan\u2019 anla\u015fman\u0131n da, son birka\u00e7 y\u0131ldaki geli\u015fmeler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde arzu edilen amaca hizmet edip etmedi\u011fini sorgulat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Geni\u015f s\u0131n\u0131r boyu, Himalayalar gibi zorlu co\u011frafi ko\u015fullar ve bunlara il\u00e2ve olarak yeni geli\u015fen jeo-stratejik e\u011filimler ve ulusal g\u00fcvenlik alg\u0131s\u0131ndaki farkl\u0131la\u015fmalar, iki \u00fclkenin s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda giderek keskin s\u00f6ylemlerin g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bu durum, bug\u00fcne kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlemlenen stat\u00fckonun devam\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar reel temeller \u00fczerine dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunu \u015f\u00fcpheli hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn \u00c7in-Hindistan s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131na konu olan b\u00f6lge, 1962 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 veya yenilgi olarak da addedilebilecek \u015fekilde sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekilen \u00c7in d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri ve savunma bakanl\u0131klar\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve \u00c7in medyas\u0131 i\u015fte bu 1962 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na at\u0131fta bulunarak, Hindistan i\u00e7in sonucun \u00e7ok daha a\u011f\u0131r olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda ihtar ediyor. Ancak bug\u00fcn farkl\u0131 jeo-politik ve stratejik kayg\u0131lar\u0131n hakim oldu\u011funu ve Himalayalar\u2019daki s\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilece\u011fini hesap etmek gerekir.<\/p>\n

S\u0131n\u0131r anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, d\u00f6nemsel farkl\u0131la\u015fmalar<\/strong><\/p>\n

Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda g\u00fcndeme gelen s\u0131n\u0131r ihlali, asl\u0131nda 2. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 bin be\u015f y\u00fcz kilometre uzunlu\u011fundaki s\u0131n\u0131r \u00fczerindeki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131nda yeni bir geli\u015fmeye i\u015faret ediyor. 1962 ve 1967 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki s\u0131cak kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmalar yerini mevcut sorunlar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fe ertelenmesiyle, yani bir \u015fekilde stat\u00fckonun korunmas\u0131 karar\u0131yla bug\u00fcnlere gelindi.<\/p>\n

Ancak bu son geli\u015fme \u00f6yle g\u00f6steriyor ki, Pekin y\u00f6netimi, G\u00fcney \u00c7in Deniz\u2019inden sonra \u015fimdi de Himalayalar\u2019da in\u015fa faaliyetine giri\u015ferek, b\u00f6lgede stat\u00fckonun de\u011fi\u015fmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ad\u0131m at\u0131yor. En az\u0131ndan Hindistan y\u00f6netimi in\u015fa faaliyetini bu \u015fekilde yorumlayarak m\u00fcdahale ihtiyac\u0131 hissediyor.<\/p>\n

Tabii, bu geli\u015fmeyi sadece \u00c7in ve Hindistan aras\u0131nda tarihsel bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma olarak yorumlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Bu ay i\u00e7erisinde Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ABD ve Japonya ile Hint Okyanusu sular\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi deniz tatbikat\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019in k\u00fcresel a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kritik su yollar\u0131nda \u2018g\u00fcvenli seyir\u2019 ve \u2018uluslararas\u0131 kabulleri\u2019 sa\u011flamaya matuf bir y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u00e7eriyor. Hindistan y\u00f6netimini bug\u00fcn Himalayalar\u0131n bir k\u00f6\u015fesinde bir bak\u0131ma \u00f6nleyici tedbir almaya iten de, \u00c7in\u2019in G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019nde sergiledi\u011fi ve \u015fu ana kadar da geri ad\u0131m atma niyetinde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sivil ve askeri yap\u0131lanma gayretleri.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu bu kriz, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, bu hafta \u00c7in\u2019de yap\u0131lacak BRISC \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yap\u0131lacak g\u00fcvenlik birimleri toplant\u0131s\u0131nda ele al\u0131nabilece\u011fi belirtilse de, bunun i\u00e7in \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6n ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fi Hindistan\u2019\u0131n harekete ge\u00e7mesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/aa.com.tr\/tr\/analiz-haber\/cin-hindistan-sinirinda-statuko-gerilimi\/869873<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a026.07.2017 \u00c7in\u2019in kom\u015fular\u0131yla olan anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 denizlerden sonra […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2079,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2078"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2078\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2080,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2078\/revisions\/2080"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2079"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/tr_tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}