{"id":6345,"date":"2026-03-01T08:42:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T08:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6345"},"modified":"2026-03-01T08:42:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T08:42:09","slug":"irana-saldiri-surpriz-degil-attack-on-iran-not-a-surprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/irana-saldiri-surpriz-degil-attack-on-iran-not-a-surprise\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131: S\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil! \/ Attack on Iran: Not a surprise!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;01.03.2026<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 beklendi\u011fi \u00fczere ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bug\u00fcn, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu geli\u015fmeyi s\u00fcrpriz olarak kabul edenler, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yan\u0131lg\u0131 i\u00e7erisindeler&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu yan\u0131lg\u0131, Ortado\u011fu siyasal ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini, ABD gibi bug\u00fcn k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 olman\u0131n ne anlama geldi\u011fi konusunda \u00f6nemli icraatlar\u0131yla ortaya koymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir devleti ve de ba\u015fkan\u0131, Donald Trump\u2019\u0131 anlayamamakla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elbette, ortada \u0130srail\u2019in yap\u0131sal varl\u0131\u011f\u0131; geni\u015f Ortado\u011fu\u2019da yer alan baz\u0131 Arap \u00fclkeleriyle yak\u0131n i\u015fbirli\u011finin; s\u00f6z konusu Arap \u00fclkelerinin bu i\u015fbirli\u011finin siyasal ve askeri boyutu kadar \u0130ran\u2019la tarihsel ve geleneksel olarak ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 teolojik ayr\u0131\u015fma gibi farkl\u0131 boyutlar\u0131 oldu\u011funu da unutmamak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran, d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bu geli\u015fmelerin bug\u00fcn sava\u015f ortam\u0131na yol a\u00e7arken acaba, \u0130ran\u2019daki siyasal, dini yap\u0131la\u015fmalar\u0131n, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7teki rol\u00fc ve katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ne olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da hesaba katmakta fayda var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bar\u0131\u015fa giderken&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oysa, daha birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6ncesine kadar, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump, Amerikal\u0131 ve \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer aras\u0131nda s\u00fcren g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere i\u015faret ederek, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n gayet olumlu ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131ndan \u015fa\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131kla bahsediyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bununla birlikte, geli\u015fmeleri yak\u0131ndan takip eden g\u00f6zlemciler, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te anahtar\u0131n Trump\u2019\u0131n elinde oldu\u011funa vurgu yaparak, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n attt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu olumlu ad\u0131mlar\u0131n, Trump taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilip edilmeyece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sadece, \u0130ran\u2019la yap\u0131lan m\u00fczakereler de\u011fil, ABD i\u00e7 politikas\u0131 yakla\u015fmakta olan ara se\u00e7im, ABD halk\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik vars\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131nda devam eden k\u0131r\u0131lmalar vb. gibi konular, ABD halk\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f istemedi\u011fi ve olas\u0131 bir sava\u015f\u0131n, ABD se\u00e7imlerinde Trump ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aleyhine olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00dcst\u00fcne \u00fcstl\u00fck kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131nda Trump\u2019a destek verenlerin oran\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir d\u00f6nemde&#8230; Trump, sald\u0131r\u0131 karar\u0131 almaktan \u00e7ekinmedi&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ortado\u011fu zaman dilimiyle, d\u00fcn sabah ba\u015flayan sald\u0131r\u0131lar, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la yap\u0131lan n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerdeki geli\u015fmelerden g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrde memnun olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc irade!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Temel olarak, Steve Witkoff ve Jared Kushner ikilisinin y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u0130ranla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 al\u0131nmam\u0131\u015fken, Trump ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Birlik Konu\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 hedefe alan s\u00f6ylemiyle dikkat \u00e7ekerken, g\u00f6zlerin m\u00fczakere masas\u0131ndan yeniden Basra K\u00f6rfezi \u00e7evresindeki Amerikan askeri hareketlili\u011fine \u00e7evrilmesine neden oluyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oysa, Cenova\u2019da s\u00fcren g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sona ererken, taraflar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan umuda dair ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 bulunuyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Taraflar\u0131 anla\u015fmaya y\u00f6neldi\u011fine dair yakla\u015f\u0131m \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmlar\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 5\u2019lik kotay\u0131 a\u015fmamas\u0131 ve program\u0131n sivil ama\u00e7l\u0131 olarak y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesi gibi can al\u0131c\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc bulunuyordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, Trump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc konu\u015fmas\u0131nda, Witkoff\u2019dan gelen mesaj yerine, sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelleyen \u2018\u015fahinler\u2019 grubunun s\u00f6ylemlerini dikkate alm\u0131\u015f olmal\u0131 ki, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n balistik f\u00fcze \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda Avrupa s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131na ula\u015facak d\u00fczeye geldi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 olduk\u00e7a dikkat \u00e7ekiciydi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, bu a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda mesela, \u0130srail s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil de, -\u0130ran f\u00fczelerinin \u0130srail\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinmesine ra\u011fmen, Avrupa s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etmesi gayet anlaml\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu durum, sadece Amerikan kamuoyunu de\u011fil, neredeyse b\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcyle Bat\u0131 kamuoyuna y\u00f6nelik bir a\u00e7\u0131klamayd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n ikinci arg\u00fcman\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah geli\u015ftirmeme konusunda s\u00f6z vermedi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oysa, \u0130ran d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghachi, Cenova g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri sonras\u0131nda, \u201c\u0130ran n\u00fckleer silah geli\u015ftirmeyece\u011fini bas\u0131nla payla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylemindeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc referans ise ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Haziran ay\u0131nda, \u0130ran\u2019da n\u00fckleer tesislerin bombalanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeniden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalara ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ve Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u201csinsi h\u0131rs\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik askeri giri\u015fimini salt \u0130srail nedenli olarak ele almak ve anlamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2018Alt\u0131n d\u00f6nem\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n Kongre mensuplar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018Birlik Konu\u015fmas\u0131\u2019, ABD\u2019nin kurulu\u015funun 250. y\u0131l\u0131na denk gelmesiyle de \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tarihi geli\u015fme g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek bir \u00f6neme sahip&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Belki de, tarihi bir \u015fans olarak bug\u00fcn bu \u00f6nem gelip, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne konmu\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>250. y\u0131l\u0131n \u00f6nemi ile ABD\u2019nin yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fc\u00e7 olma hedefi aras\u0131nda kolayca kurulabilecek bir ba\u011flant\u0131, Trump taraf\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019yi yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck yapman\u0131n yollar\u0131n\u0131n sadece, Amerikan orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n\u0131n yeniden kendi ayaklar\u0131 \u00fczerinde durmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamakla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir i\u00e7 politika s\u00fcreci olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, Trump\u2019\u0131n 2024 se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturmas\u0131ndan bug\u00fcne kadar ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrede kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, sadece s\u00f6z konusu orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131 yeniden \u015fekillendirmek, ABD\u2019yi bir ulus olarak yeniden vars\u0131l hale getirmekle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan, hadd\u0131 zat\u0131nda bunun \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7en emelleriyle, k\u00fcresel toplum nezdinde \u015fa\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131klara ve \u015foklara neden olan icraatlar\u0131yla bug\u00fcne kadar geldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, ABD\u2019nin 250. y\u0131l\u0131nda, yeni bir d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u015fekillenmesinin ipu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, ABD taraf\u0131ndan uygulanmaya konulan salt g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri tarifelerindeki \u00e7alkalanmalar; yak\u0131n ve uzak Bat\u0131 siyasal ve ekonomi sistemine entegrede sorunlu olan \u00fclkelere ya da bug\u00fcn ABD\u2019nin var olan siyasal iradesine muhalif olan \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik do\u011frudan siyasal, ekonomik ve hatta askeri giri\u015fimler; t\u00fcm eksikliklerine ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel olarak kabul mer\u015fuiyetleri devam eden kurumlar yerine, gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k ABD merkezli yeni \u2018g\u00fcvenlik kurumlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n tesisi gibi s\u00fcre\u00e7ler ile ortaya konuluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00fcrecin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak \u0130ran, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, dikkate al\u0131nmay\u0131 gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Bat\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle de ABD i\u00e7in, bir tehdit unsuru olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131, son birka\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k geli\u015fmelerle de\u011fil, \u0130ran\u2019da rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi 1979\u2019dan itibaren \u00f6nemsemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bat\u0131 veya ABD sadece, Ortado\u011fu\u2019yu kontrol etme ad\u0131na de\u011fil, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ve ili\u015fkilerinin k\u00fcresel boyutunu hesaba katarak bug\u00fcnk\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130ran bir hedeftir&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak, \u0130ran, Bat\u0131 veya ABD i\u00e7in son hedef de\u011fildir&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD veya ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump nezdinde, kurulacak yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninde icraata ge\u00e7irilmesi gereken eylemler i\u00e7erisindeki yeri bug\u00fcn \u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131 yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ve bu sald\u0131r\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz de\u011fil&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;01.03.2026 \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 beklendi\u011fi \u00fczere ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti&#8230; Bug\u00fcn, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu geli\u015fmeyi s\u00fcrpriz olarak kabul edenler, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yan\u0131lg\u0131 i\u00e7erisindeler&#8230; Bu yan\u0131lg\u0131, Ortado\u011fu siyasal ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini, ABD gibi bug\u00fcn k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 olman\u0131n ne anlama geldi\u011fi konusunda \u00f6nemli icraatlar\u0131yla ortaya koymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bir devleti ve de ba\u015fkan\u0131, Donald Trump\u2019\u0131 anlayamamakla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Elbette, ortada [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6346,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6345","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-ortadogu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6345","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6345"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6345\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6346"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6345"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6345"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6345"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}