{"id":6013,"date":"2025-07-29T15:11:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T15:11:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6013"},"modified":"2025-07-29T15:11:19","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T15:11:19","slug":"cin-abd-ticaret-iliskilerinde-cozum-arayisi-looking-for-a-resolution-in-the-trade-affairs-between-china-and-the-u-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/cin-abd-ticaret-iliskilerinde-cozum-arayisi-looking-for-a-resolution-in-the-trade-affairs-between-china-and-the-u-s\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in-ABD ticaret ili\u015fkilerinde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 \/ Looking for a resolution in the trade affairs between China and the U.S."},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;29.07.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c7in ve ABD aras\u0131nda, ikili ticaret s\u00fcre\u00e7lerini y\u00f6netebilme konusunda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana yap\u0131lan kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonucu olu\u015fan koca d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmek \u00fczere mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flayan \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in Stockholm \u015fehrinde ba\u015flayan zirve, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 ama\u00e7lan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu \u00e7aba, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifleri s\u00fcrecinde ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrenin 12 A\u011fustos\u2019da dolacak olmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00f6z konusu zirveden olumlu bir sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u00e7\u0131kmamas\u0131n\u0131n sadece, iki \u00fclkeyi etkilemeyece\u011fi kesin&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Benzer bir durumun, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131na var\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde de, iki \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda etkileri olaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bununla s\u00f6ylemek istedi\u011fimiz, k\u00fcresel ekonominin ilk iki ismi olan ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019in ikili ticaret ili\u015fkilerinin her hal\u00fck\u00e2rda, k\u00fcresel yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir sonu\u00e7la kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Diktac\u0131 ekonomi<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bununla birlikte, 20 Ocak ve ard\u0131ndan, 2 Nisan s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde ABD, genelde k\u00fcresel ticaret ve \u00f6zelde, \u00c7in\u2019le olan ticari ili\u015fkilerde bask\u0131c\u0131 ve diktac\u0131 bir tutum tak\u0131nmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu durum, ba\u015fta Dolar olmak \u00fczere, ABD ekonomisi ve finans\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel anlamda halen, kayda de\u011fer bir a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bir ba\u015fka ifadeyle s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, ABD\u2019yi k\u00fcresel toplumu ve \u00f6zelde \u00c7in\u2019i dikkate alabilecek ve bu anlamda, dostane olarak adland\u0131r\u0131labilecek bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergilenmedi\u011fi a\u015fik\u00e2r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ancak, \u00c7in \u00f6rne\u011finde oldu\u011fu gibi, benzer bir durumun ba\u015fka bir \u00fclkede g\u00fcndeme gelmesine tahamm\u00fcl\u00fc olmamas\u0131 da, eko-politi\u011fin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu zihinsel yakla\u015f\u0131mdan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu noktada, ABD ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu eko-politik ko\u015fullar\u0131n kendisine bug\u00fcne kadar sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu egemen ko\u015fullara dayanmak suretiyle, \u00e7\u0131karc\u0131 ve pragmatik yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m \u00c7in\u2019den<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6te tarafdan, \u00c7in, s\u00fcrecin ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana, yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00fclkelerden ba\u015flayarak, k\u00fcresel ba\u011flamda kendisine \u00e7ok yak\u0131n veya orta mesafadeki \u00fclkelerle, yeni ticaret ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirme egzersizleri yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu s\u00fcrece tan\u0131k olan tek tek ulus devletler bir yandan, ABD\u2019nin ticari bask\u0131lar\u0131na boyun e\u011fme ile ulus-devlet egemenli\u011finin vazge\u00e7ilmez unsuru olan kendi normlar\u0131 ve ilkelerine ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131k ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca \u2018kafa tutma\u2019 aras\u0131nda bir konumda seyreltilmi\u015f bir yakla\u015f\u0131m ve tutum tak\u0131nmak durumunda kal\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6te yandan, ayn\u0131 \u00fclkeler \u00c7in\u2019in a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 ve imk\u00e2nlar\u0131ndan yararlanman\u0131n pe\u015findeler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu iki temel yakla\u015f\u0131m aras\u0131nda karar verebilme yeterlili\u011fi ve kabiliyetine sahip olabilen ulus-devlet say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n gayet nadir oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu durumu salt, k\u00fcreselle\u015fmenin veya kapitalizmin k\u00fcreselle\u015fmesinin (<em>globalization of capitalism<\/em>) etkisiyle a\u00e7\u0131klamak kafi ve m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor. Ancak, bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n konusu bu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bu hususa burada de\u011finmeyece\u011fim&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tuhafl\u0131k bu ya, yukar\u0131da dile getirdi\u011fim \u00fczere, ABD i\u00e7e kapanma karar\u0131yla k\u00fcresel sistemi yeniden d\u00fczenleme (<em>regulation<\/em>) siyasetini diktac\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sergilerken, \u00c7in\u2019in ba\u015fta siyasal rejimi olmak \u00fczere muhalifi olabilecek \u00fclkelerle bile ticaret ve ekonomi ili\u015fkilerinde yak\u0131nla\u015fma sergilemesine kar\u015f\u0131n Trump g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc saatlerde, \u201cUmar\u0131m, \u00c7in kap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnyaya a\u00e7ar!\u201d diyerek, ne denli anlaml\u0131 oldu\u011fu sorgulanmaya de\u011fer bir a\u00e7\u0131klama ile g\u00fcndemi belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Kapanan Amerika<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Son on y\u0131ld\u0131r ABD ba\u011flam\u0131nda Trump\u2019la ilgili yaz\u0131larda \u00fc\u00e7 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 be\u015f yukar\u0131 benzer \u015fekilde dile getirdi\u011fim \u00fczere, korumac\u0131 politikalarla ve 20 Ocak\u2019dan bu yana, giderek artan bir \u015fekilde \u2018\u00d6nce Amerika\u2019 siyasetini uygulamay\u0131 kendine temel ilke edinmi\u015f Trump\u2019\u0131n bizatihi kendisi ABD\u2019yi, ba\u015fta G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya ve ard\u0131ndan, ekonomik faaliyetlerle k\u00fcrenin dengesini belirleyen Avrupa Birli\u011fi gibi b\u00f6lgelerle ili\u015fkileri sorunlula\u015ft\u0131rma e\u011filimini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stockholm\u2019deki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015fan baz\u0131 uzmanlar, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 olas\u0131 bulmuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bununla birlikte, \u00c7in\u2019i g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme masas\u0131na \u00e7ekebilme ad\u0131na taviz verenin ABD oldu\u011funa dair sat\u0131r aralar\u0131nda baz\u0131 ifadeleri g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bunda da belirleyici olan\u0131n, \u00c7in\u2019in pazarl\u0131k masas\u0131nda elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren \u00f6rne\u011fin, nadir madenler gibi de\u011ferlere sahip olmas\u0131 yat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden beklenen iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda tarif politikas\u0131n\u0131n doksan g\u00fcn s\u00fcreyle yeniden uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki e\u011filim a\u011f\u0131r bas\u0131yor. \u015eayet b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00f6z konusu bu doksan g\u00fcn i\u00e7erisinde topun Trump ve \u015ei Cinping\u2019e at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 ve bir iki ay i\u00e7erisinde, olas\u0131 bir zirvenin hesaplar\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131yor&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu noktada, durup, acaba Trump\u2019\u0131n di\u011fer g\u00f6steri\u015fli s\u00f6ylemlerle k\u00fcresel nizam\u0131 yeniden tesis etme konusunda politikalar\u0131n kayda de\u011fer boyutlarda geri tepmesi gibi, \u00c7in\u2019le olan ticari g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde de kaybeden en az\u0131ndan, kazanan\u0131 olmayan bir s\u00fcrecin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmakta oldu\u011funu ve bu anlamda, en \u00f6nemli yaray\u0131 ABD\u2019nin alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;29.07.2025 \u00c7in ve ABD aras\u0131nda, ikili ticaret s\u00fcre\u00e7lerini y\u00f6netebilme konusunda ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana yap\u0131lan kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonucu olu\u015fan koca d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmek \u00fczere mi? Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flayan \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in Stockholm \u015fehrinde ba\u015flayan zirve, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 ama\u00e7lan\u0131yor. Bu \u00e7aba, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifleri s\u00fcrecinde ABD\u2019nin \u00c7in\u2019e tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6014,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6013"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6013\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}