{"id":4522,"date":"2022-04-26T20:53:30","date_gmt":"2022-04-26T20:53:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=4522"},"modified":"2022-04-26T20:53:30","modified_gmt":"2022-04-26T20:53:30","slug":"fransada-emanuel-macronun-secim-zaferi-ve-kuresel-iliskiler-emanuel-macrons-victory-of-election-and-global-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/fransada-emanuel-macronun-secim-zaferi-ve-kuresel-iliskiler-emanuel-macrons-victory-of-election-and-global-relations\/","title":{"rendered":"Fransa\u2019da Emanuel Macron\u2019un se\u00e7im zaferi ve k\u00fcresel ili\u015fkiler \/ Emanuel Macron\u2019s victory of election and global relations"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a026.04.2022<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ikinci kez g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcsleyen Emanuel Macron sadece Fransa\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fil, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin de (European Union<\/em>) umudu olma yolunda \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015far\u0131 elde etti.<\/p>\n

Macron\u2019un zaferi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti aday\u0131 Macron, se\u00e7imlerde rakibi a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n temsilcisi Marine Le Pen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 58 oyla ikinci kez ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ildi.<\/p>\n

2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i oylar y\u00fczde 66\u2019dan y\u00fczde 58.55\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferken, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f oylar y\u00fczde 33.9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 41\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Cumhuriyet\u00e7i oylar y\u00fczde 8 azal\u0131rken, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i oylar y\u00fczde 7 oran\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, Le Pen 2017 se\u00e7imlerine g\u00f6re 2.9 milyon fazla oy al\u0131rken, Macron 2 milyon oy kaybetti.<\/p>\n

Macron\u2019un bu se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, son on y\u0131l\u0131n iki ana ak\u0131m partisinin son birka\u00e7 se\u00e7imde birbirine tezat te\u015fkil eden oy oranlar\u0131 asl\u0131nda, Fransa\u2019daki siyasal e\u011filimlerin nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini ve belirlenmekte oldu\u011funu da ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Tam bu noktada, se\u00e7imle ilgili bir ba\u015fka veriye yani, se\u00e7ime kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekmekte yarar var.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7menin y\u00fczde 72\u2019sinin se\u00e7im sand\u0131\u011f\u0131na gitti\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Macron\u2019un ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemine y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirilerini sadece, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i Ulusal Y\u00fcr\u00fcy\u00fc\u015f Partisi\u2019ne (National Rally<\/em>) kayan tepki oylar\u0131 ile de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00e7ekimser kalarak da g\u00f6sterildi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f Fransa ya da siyasetin do\u011fas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fransa ve genel itibar\u0131yla AB y\u00f6netim \u00e7evrelerinde, Frans\u0131z a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 elde edilen bu se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu mutluluktan bahsetmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, asl\u0131nda tam da bu nedenle yani, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n oylar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin oylar\u0131n\u0131n ise d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle son d\u00f6nemde, neredeyse belli ba\u015fl\u0131 t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde tan\u0131k olundu\u011fu \u00fczere, Fransa\u2019da da siyasal olarak kutupla\u015fm\u0131\u015f bir kamuoyu olu\u015ftu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, s\u00f6z konusu \u2018kutupla\u015fmay\u0131\u2019 siyasetin do\u011fas\u0131 kabul ederek rekabet olgusu i\u00e7erisinde anlamakla, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 bir boyutta temsil etti\u011fini iddia etmek aras\u0131nda bir fark oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rmamak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, \u00f6zellikle uluslararas\u0131 medyan\u0131n pop\u00fclist e\u011filimlerle ulus-devletlerin siyaset d\u00fcnyalar\u0131 konusundaki kanaatlerini dikkate al\u0131rken, totalci bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sergilenmesinin yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fini ak\u0131lda tutmakta yarar var.<\/p>\n

Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f oylar\u0131n asimetrik geli\u015fimine ra\u011fmen, ortada bir t\u00fcr belirsizlikten de bahsetmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bunun nedeni, her iki lidere ve ortaya koyduklar\u0131 politikalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7mende has\u0131l olan tepkiselli\u011fin oldu\u011fudur.<\/p>\n

Bir yandan, Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler\u2019e gidebilecek oylar, bir k\u0131s\u0131m se\u00e7menin se\u00e7menin \u00e7ekimser kalmas\u0131 di\u011fer bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn oylar\u0131n\u0131 Le Pen i\u00e7in kullanmas\u0131yla engellenmi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, Le Pen\u2019in oylar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 41\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kartmas\u0131n\u0131n, Fransa ve AB\u2019de tedirginli\u011fe yol a\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyecek olan ise, bu lidere oy verenlerin t\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i kanada mensup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aksine, Macron ve politikalar\u0131na tepki g\u00f6stermelerinden kaynaklanmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

AB\u2019de umut havas\u0131 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Macron\u2019un se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, Fransa\u2019da yerle\u015fik siyasetin devam\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Macron\u2019un se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 konu\u015fmas\u0131nda, yeni d\u00f6nemde \u201cg\u00f6rev duygusuyla hareket edece\u011fi\u201d vurgusu, t\u00fcm Fransa\u2019y\u0131 kucaklayacak politikalar olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu anlamda, yeni bir d\u00f6neme girilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019daki bu siyasal geli\u015fmeyi \u00e7ok daha anlaml\u0131 k\u0131lan ise, AB b\u00fcnyesinde -di\u011fer \u00fclkelerle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda-, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n liderli\u011fine duyulan ihtiya\u00e7t\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Birli\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesine \u015f\u00fcpheli yakla\u015fan Le Pen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Macron\u2019un se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131 Birlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini motive etti\u011fi gibi, olas\u0131 reform \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n da hayata ge\u00e7irilmesine imk\u00e2n tan\u0131yacakt\u0131r<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131nda, AB \u00e7evrelerinden gelen gayet olumlu tepkiler, sanki AB\u2019nin \u00e7ok\u00e7a ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu yeniden dirili\u015fin ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fine dair umutlar\u0131n ye\u015ferdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, bir yandan Do\u011fu Avrupa krizi, \u00f6te yandan Do\u011fu Avrupa ve Kuzey Avrupa\u2019daki baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla AB\u2019nin geni\u015flemesi ile \u00c7in ile ili\u015fkiler Fransa\u2019n\u0131n liderli\u011fine g\u00f6nderme yap\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7arken, Bel\u00e7ikal\u0131 bir siyaset\u00e7inin ifadesiyle, \u201cBirlik i\u00e7erisindeki savunmadan sa\u011fl\u0131\u011fa, enerjiden demokrasiye kadar\u201d Fransa\u2019n\u0131n rol\u00fcn\u00fcn katlanarak artabilece\u011fini akla getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019n\u0131n AB temsiliyeti<\/strong><\/p>\n

Elde edilen se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, Macron\u2019u yeniden ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131rken, bu se\u00e7im zaferinin ulusal d\u00fczeyde ve AB ba\u011flam\u0131nda \u00f6nemli siyasal bir geli\u015fme oldu\u011fu konusunda neredeyse herkes hem fikir g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019daki se\u00e7imlerin, k\u00fcresel olarak ekonomik ve siyasal a\u00e7\u0131dan sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n yo\u011fun olarak ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, AB a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bunun \u00f6nemine ise ku\u015fku bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Elde edilen bu sonu\u00e7, Avrupa de\u011ferlerini temsil eden bir siyaset anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Fransa\u2019da yeniden iktidar olmas\u0131 veya iktidar olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek olmas\u0131, bu \u00fclkenin AB i\u00e7erisinde liderlik g\u00fcc\u00fcyle do\u011frudan ili\u015fkilidir.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, bir yandan AB i\u00e7erisinde \u00f6te yandan k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmeler noktas\u0131nda Fransa\u2019da Cumhuriyet\u00e7i iktidar\u0131n yenilenmesinin ne anlama geldi\u011fine, en az\u0131ndan ba\u015fl\u0131klar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan k\u0131saca bakmakta yarar var.<\/p>\n

AB b\u00fcnyesindeki liderlik rekabetinde rakip \u00fclke Almanya\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Sonbahar\u2019da H\u0131ristiyan Demokratlar\u0131n se\u00e7imi kaybetmesinin ard\u0131ndan, sosyalist e\u011filimli bir siyasi yap\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden olan iktidar de\u011fi\u015fimi; yine Almanya\u2019daki \u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi burnunda sol-\u00e7evreci koalisyon iktidar\u0131n\u0131n Do\u011fu Avrupa kriz kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, bir anlamda haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z yakalanmas\u0131; ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerinin AB-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerine etkileri gibi son d\u00f6nemde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan sorunlu alanlarda sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 politikalar\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclebilmesi tecr\u00fcbeli ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc liderlik profili ile Macron\u2019un yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na imk\u00e2n tan\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131na duyulan g\u00fcvendir.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, s\u00f6z konusu bu se\u00e7imin Fransa ve AB i\u00e7 ili\u015fkileri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda k\u00fcresel etkilerini Do\u011fu Avrupa krizinden, AB\u2019nin \u00c7in ve ABD ile ili\u015fkilere de\u011fin \u00f6nemli etkileri olaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, \u00c7in devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Marcon\u2019a g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi mesajla se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kutlarken, son be\u015f y\u0131lda iki \u00fclke ili\u015fkilerindeki sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 geli\u015fmenin devam\u0131 konusundaki olumlu niyetinin, Macron\u2019un AB liderli\u011fini \u00fcstlenmesiyle AB-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerine de yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 akla getiriyor.<\/p>\n

AB-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerini, genel itibar\u0131yla ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanmakta olan gerilimin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ele almak i\u00e7in gayet \u00f6nemli nedenler bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130stikrars\u0131z bir d\u00f6nemin ya\u015fanmakta oldu\u011fu ABD siyasetinde, Donald Trump hayaletinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, gelecek se\u00e7imleri kazanma ihtimali, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemde Atlantik ili\u015fkilerine so\u011fuk du\u015f etkisi yapan politikalar\u0131 ve en son NATO ile ilgili s\u00f6zleri hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda AB y\u00f6netiminin ABD\u2019den ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z politikalara acilen ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, t\u00fcm ele\u015ftirilere ra\u011fmen, k\u00fcresel ekonominin ikinci g\u00fcc\u00fc konumundaki \u00c7in enerjiden, im\u00e2lat sanayiine, lojistikten, dev t\u00fcketim g\u00fcc\u00fcne AB i\u00e7in son derece \u00f6nemli bir stratejik partnerdir.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019daki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri ulusal siyaset a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu gibi, son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel \u00f6nemiyle de dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Bu durum, hem AB i\u00e7erisinde hem de ABD\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019e kadar farkl\u0131 \u00fclke liderlerinin verdikleri tepkilerde kendini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Fransa devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Emanuel Macron\u2019u yak\u0131n gelecekte Haziran ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak parlamento se\u00e7imleri kadar, yak\u0131nda yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklenen Almanya ziyaretinin ard\u0131ndan, muhtemel bir Ukrayna ve gayet \u00f6nemli bir \u00c7in ziyaretinin bekledi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a026.04.2022 Fransa\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4523,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4522\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}