{"id":4392,"date":"2022-02-22T19:18:35","date_gmt":"2022-02-22T19:18:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=4392"},"modified":"2022-02-22T19:18:35","modified_gmt":"2022-02-22T19:18:35","slug":"dogu-avrupada-askeri-kriz-ve-asya-pasifik-bolgesine-etkisi-military-crisis-in-east-europe-and-its-impact-on-asia-pacific-region","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/dogu-avrupada-askeri-kriz-ve-asya-pasifik-bolgesine-etkisi-military-crisis-in-east-europe-and-its-impact-on-asia-pacific-region\/","title":{"rendered":"Do\u011fu Avrupa’da askeri kriz ve Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesine etkisi \/ Military crisis in East Europe and its impact on Asia-Pacific region"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 22.02.2022<\/strong><\/p>\n

Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da Ukrayna\u2019ya ba\u011fl\u0131 iki b\u00f6lgenin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 il\u00e2n\u0131 ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n verdi\u011fi destek, So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131 d\u00f6nemin en \u00f6nemli jeo-politik geli\u015fmesi olarak dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Meydana gelen s\u0131cak geli\u015fmeler, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde ekonomik \u00fcretimden mal ve hizmet tedari\u011fine, bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinden ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgede g\u00fcvenlik garantisine kadar \u00e7e\u015fitli alanlarda do\u011furabilece\u011fi \u00e7oklu etkisiyle g\u00fcndemde yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunda son birka\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr ya\u015fananlar ilk do\u011frudan etkisini, bug\u00fcn \u00f6\u011flen saatlerinde b\u00f6lge borsalar\u0131nda g\u00f6sterdi. B\u00f6ylece, piyasalar\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler hususundaki umutlu bekleyi\u015fi de, b\u00f6ylece sonu\u00e7suz kalm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Ancak bunun \u00f6tesinde, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusundaki iki b\u00f6lgenin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k karar\u0131yla ilgili geli\u015fme, Asya-Pasifik\u2019te baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde egemenlik haklar\u0131 ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k \u00e7abalar\u0131 ile ilgili geli\u015fmelerle kurulan benzerli\u011fiyle dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Son iki y\u0131ld\u0131r kovid-19\u2019un neden oldu\u011fu ekonomik durgunlu\u011fun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, b\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanabilecek olas\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm b\u00f6lgede do\u011frudan siyasal ve ekonomik tesirleri olaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fu Avrupa kaynakl\u0131 askeri ve ekonomik kriz<\/strong><\/p>\n

So\u011fuk Sava\u015f sonras\u0131nda Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n NATO ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00fcyeli\u011fi s\u00fcrecini kendisi ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in bir tehdit olarak alg\u0131layan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n, b\u00f6lgenin jeo-politik yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yeniden in\u015faya y\u00f6nelik giri\u015fimi \u015fimdilik istedi\u011fi \u015fekilde geli\u015fme g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunda Donetsk and Luhansk\u2019da Rusya\u2019n\u0131n destekledi\u011fi ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019dan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k il\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Rus devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin, bu iki b\u00f6lgede ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan siyasi yap\u0131y\u0131 tan\u0131yarak me\u015frula\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Ard\u0131ndan, Rus ordu birliklerinin bu b\u00f6lgelere girme karar\u0131 hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in ve \u00f6zellikle de, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Donetst ve Luhanks b\u00f6lgeleri, Kiev y\u00f6netiminden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 il\u00e2n etse de, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki kontrol\u00fc Rusya ve Ukrayna ordusu aras\u0131nda, her an bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, ilk akla gelen konu enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rler oluyor. Bu durum d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00fcretim merkezlerinin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde, \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6sterse de, do\u011fal gaz\u0131n elektrik \u00fcretimindeki kullan\u0131m oran\u0131, dikkatleri bir yandan tedarikin kesilmemesi \u00f6te yandan, fiyatlara nas\u0131l yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131na \u00e7evirmi\u015f durumda. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinde ya\u015fanan enflasyon art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te artma e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, bu geli\u015fmelerin geni\u015f toplum kesimlerinin g\u00fcnl\u00fck ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilecek boyuta varmas\u0131 endi\u015fesi \u015fimdiden hissedilmeye ba\u015fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da ba\u015fg\u00f6steren istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k ve So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 ortam\u0131n\u0131 aratmayacak olas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler, son iki y\u0131ld\u0131r kovid-19 nedeniyle gerileyen ekonomik geli\u015fmenin omicron<\/em> dalgas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u00fclke s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n insan ve mal dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131na giderek a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu olumlu geli\u015fmeye ket vurmas\u0131 endi\u015fesi bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fu Ukrayna \u2013 Tayvan benzerli\u011fi ne kadar do\u011fru?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunda iki b\u00f6lgenin yeni birer cumhuriyet olarak il\u00e2n\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n dolayl\u0131 ilh\u00e2k\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilirken, bunun Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde, en az\u0131ndan baz\u0131 \u00e7evrelerce, \u00c7in ve Tayvan aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan gerginlikle paralelli\u011finin g\u00fcndeme getirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir e\u011filimden bahsetmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Tayvan siyasi olarak tan\u0131nmamas\u0131na ve Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019de temsil edilmemesine ra\u011fmen, de facto<\/em> ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir \u00fclke olarak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, \u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti, Ada\u2019n\u0131n kendisine ba\u011fl\u0131 bir eyalet oldu\u011funu s\u00fcrekli g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.<\/p>\n

Pekin y\u00f6netiminin, \u2018zaman\u0131 geldi\u011finde Ada\u2019n\u0131n y\u00f6netimine hakim olacaklar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalara, Tayvan y\u00f6netiminden ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sert tepkiler geliyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu \u2018hakimiyetin\u2019 \u00f6zellikle ordu marifetiyle ortaya konmas\u0131 ihtimali kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, Tayvan y\u00f6netimi haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6zl\u00fc olarak dile getirdikleri gibi, fiili olarak da kan\u0131tlan\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, bu noktada ya\u015fanan son geli\u015fme, bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda ABD senatosunca Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik i\u00e7inde patriot <\/em>savunma sistemlerinin tedarik ve geli\u015ftirilmesi de olacak \u015fekilde, 100 milyon Dolarl\u0131k askeri yard\u0131m deste\u011finin onaylanmas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n

ABD y\u00f6netiminin Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bu ve benzeri deste\u011fi, Tayvan \u0130li\u015fkileri Yasas\u0131\u2019na dayan\u0131yor. ABD bir yandan \u2018Tek \u00c7in Politikas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 benimserken, ayn\u0131 zamanda Tayvan\u2019a gizli\/a\u00e7\u0131k deste\u011fi ile \u00c7in\u2019in tehditleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yaln\u0131z olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin bu politikas\u0131n\u0131n salt Tayvan\u2019\u0131 korumakla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aksine, bunun geni\u015f Hint-Pasifik politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, ortada bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olgusundan bahsetmekle birlikte var olan durumun, Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da olan bitenle b\u00f6ylesi bir benzerli\u011fin kurulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak bir rasyonaliteye sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmek gerekir.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, Rusya devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Putin\u2019in, \u201cUkrayna ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmu\u015f bir devlettir ve Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kuklas\u0131d\u0131r\u201d tan\u0131mlamas\u0131n\u0131 Tayvan i\u00e7in birebir \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar, Pekin y\u00f6netimi, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zellikle ABD ile olan baz\u0131 anla\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n deste\u011fini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a dile getirse de, Tayvan y\u00f6netiminin bir kukla h\u00fck\u00fcmet ve \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00fcstl\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z bir devlet olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gayet a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde ortada.<\/p>\n

Burada belki, \u00c7in siyasi \u00e7evrelerinden gelebilecek tepki, Tayvan\u2019da \u201c\u00c7in h\u00fck\u00fcmeti yanl\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d olabilir.<\/p>\n

Ancak, 1990\u2019lar\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ekonomik kalk\u0131nma s\u00fcre\u00e7leri ve buna paralel olarak geli\u015fme g\u00f6steren demokratikle\u015fme s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin, sadece Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde de\u011fil, b\u00f6lgeyi yak\u0131ndan takip eden d\u00fcnyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinde de g\u0131ptayla kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015f\u00fcphe yok.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn Rusya yanl\u0131s\u0131 ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k il\u00e2n\u0131na giden s\u00fcrecin 2014\u2019de K\u0131r\u0131m ilh\u00e2k\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan, 2015\u2019de Minsk Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yla b\u00f6lgede at\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lan bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n tesisi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ad\u0131mlar\u0131n hi\u00e7biri, \u00c7in-Tayvan aras\u0131ndaki anla\u015fmazl\u0131k olgusuyla benzerlik ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da ya\u015fanan s\u0131cak geli\u015fmelerin, k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve g\u00fcvenlik politikalar\u0131na olumsuz etkisine ku\u015fku bulunmuyor. Bu noktada, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde g\u00fc\u00e7 dengelerinin korunmas\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin \u00f6nemine ku\u015fku bulunmamakla birlikte, b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6rlerin rol\u00fcn\u00fc de k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsememek gerekiyor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 22.02.2022 Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019da Ukrayna\u2019ya ba\u011fl\u0131 iki b\u00f6lgenin […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4393,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4392","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4392"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4392\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4393"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4392"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4392"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4392"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}