{"id":4082,"date":"2021-09-27T16:40:23","date_gmt":"2021-09-27T16:40:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=4082"},"modified":"2021-09-27T16:40:23","modified_gmt":"2021-09-27T16:40:23","slug":"almanyada-sosyal-demokratlar-spd-ve-hiristiyan-demokratlar-cud-mucadelesi-political-contest-between-social-democrats-spd-and-christian-democrats-cud-in-germany","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/almanyada-sosyal-demokratlar-spd-ve-hiristiyan-demokratlar-cud-mucadelesi-political-contest-between-social-democrats-spd-and-christian-democrats-cud-in-germany\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya\u2019da Sosyal Demokratlar (SPD) ve H\u0131ristiyan Demokratlar (CUD) m\u00fccadelesi \/ Political contest between Social Democrats (SPD) and Christian Democrats (CUD) in Germany"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 27.09.2021<\/strong><\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7imler tamamland\u0131\u2026 Alman se\u00e7meni, ana ak\u0131m iki siyasi partiye neredeyse e\u015fit bir yakla\u015f\u0131k g\u00f6stererek yeni bir koalisyon d\u00f6neminin ba\u015flamas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Kampanya d\u00f6neminin iki \u00f6nemli belki de favori partisi Sosyal Demokratlar (SPD) y\u00fczde 25.7, iktidardaki H\u0131ristiyan Demokrat Parti (CDU) ve H\u0131ristiyan Sosyal Parti (CSU) koalisyon grubu ise y\u00fczde 24.1 oy ald\u0131. Yani arada sadece, y\u00fczde 1.7\u2019lik bir fark bulunuyor. Bununla birlikte, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan siyasi tablo hi\u00e7 de 1.7\u2019ye bakarak k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsenecek gibi de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imin \u2018b\u00fcy\u00fck\u2019 ve \u2018k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u2019 s\u00fcrprizleri<\/strong><\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im CDU i\u00e7in y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n kayb\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131rken, Sosyal Demokratlar uzun bir aradan sonra ulusal siyasette s\u00f6z sahibi olmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yorlar\u2026<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imde s\u00fcrpriz yapan partilerden Ye\u015filler % 14.8, \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc Liberal Demokratlar (FDP) y\u00fczde 11.5 oy ald\u0131. Bu iki partinin, iktidar\u0131n kesin orta\u011f\u0131 olma ger\u00e7e\u011fi kadar, bu tip se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi, koalisyon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin kilit partileri olacaklar\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bakmak gerekir.<\/p>\n

Angela Merkel\u2019in son d\u00f6nem ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck koalisyon (grand coalition<\/em>) olarak da an\u0131lan h\u00fck\u00fcmet yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, devam edip etmeyece\u011fini \u015fimdiden kestirmek g\u00fc\u00e7. Ancak b\u00f6yle bir ihtimal g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde kendini hissettiriyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada hem SPD ve hem de CDU liderlerinin, yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurma g\u00f6revinin kendilerinde oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilmesi i\u00e7in kesin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve ilk koalisyon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini beklemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

CDU\u2019ya y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n kayb\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

CDU\u2019nun ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7im kayb\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok\u2026 Buna ra\u011fmen, CDU\u2019nun sadece bu se\u00e7imi kaybetmedi\u011fi, aksine son yetmi\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n hezimetini ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fi ortada ciddi bir me\u015fruiyet sorununu da beraberinde getirmi\u015f bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, CDU i\u00e7inden bu geli\u015fmeyi y\u00fcksek sesle dile getiren olmamas\u0131 gayet ilgin\u00e7 bir durum. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Merkel\u2019in halefi Armin Laschet, istifa etme gibi bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi g\u00fcndeme getirmedi\u011fi gibi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir koalisyon i\u00e7in SDU\u2019yu d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakacak form\u00fcl aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olacaklar\u0131n\u0131 bile ileri s\u00fcrebiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, \u00fclkenin \u00f6nemli sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 -ki bu sorunlar geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke sorunlar\u0131 olarak tezah\u00fcr ediyor, ba\u015f edebilmenin yolunun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir iktidardan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Haddi zat\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke olman\u0131n getirdi\u011fi bir zorunluluk olarak, iktidar ayg\u0131t\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde i\u015fletilmesi ve ayn\u0131 zamanda toplumdan gele de\u011fi\u015fim taleplerinin de uygun bir \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131lanabilmesi\u2026<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, CDU, \u00c7evreciler ve \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc Liberal Demokratlar\u2019la iktidar\u0131 olu\u015fturman\u0131n hesaplar\u0131 pe\u015finde olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bir d\u00f6nem biterken<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu sonu\u00e7lar, 16. y\u0131ll\u0131k Angela Merkel ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki (\u015fans\u00f6lye\/kanzler<\/em>) CDU ve CSU iktidar\u0131n\u0131n sonu anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu durum, Alman siyasetinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde yeniden bir koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fart ko\u015fuyor. Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve kamuoyu beklentisi ise Sosyal Demokratlar liderli\u011finde bir olu\u015fuma i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Merkel iktidar\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6neminde koalisyon partilerini olu\u015fturan CDU\/CSU ve SPD yerine, SPD lideri Olaf Scholz\u2019un devam m\u0131 yoksa k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partilerle yeni bir ittifak giri\u015fiminde mi bulunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ise yak\u0131n zamanda g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n

Ancak ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemde koalisyon orta\u011f\u0131 ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 olarak Merkel ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki CDU\/CUS ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan Scholz\u2019un al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu koalisyon ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, eli g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek ve \u015fans\u00f6lye koltu\u011funa oturarak devam ettirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

CDU ve SDU aras\u0131ndaki oy fark\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck olmasa da, 16 y\u0131ll\u0131k H\u0131ristiyan Demokratlar iktidar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, sosyalistlerin olu\u015fturulacak koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir pozisyon alacaklar\u0131n\u0131 ve ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturacaklar\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Merkel\u2019in partisi CDU se\u00e7imlerde a\u011f\u0131r bir yara alsa da, Alman siyasetinde uzun bir aradan sonra belki de sosyalist partinin olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 koalisyon i\u00e7erisinde iktidarda pay sahibi olacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130deolojiler aras\u0131 e\u015fit da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m<\/strong><\/p>\n

Al\u0131nan se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Alman siyasetinde keskin ayr\u0131\u015fmalardan ziyade, Alman kamuoyunun sol ve sa\u011f siyasete neredeyse e\u015fit e\u011filimler sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc Liberal Parti\u2019nin oyunun y\u00fczde 11,5 olmas\u0131 ise, belki de Avrupa ve hatta Kuzey Amerika politikalar\u0131nda yeni bir geli\u015fme olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da d\u00fcnk\u00fc se\u00e7imlerde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7, \u00f6zellikle 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131ndan itibaren g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir e\u011filim olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sa\u011f\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f e\u011filimli h\u00fck\u00fcmetler d\u00f6neminin, Almanya \u00f6rne\u011finde a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ktidar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck orta\u011f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131lan SDU\u2019nun, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fta g\u00f6\u00e7 olmak \u00fczere d\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fikliklere gitmesinin ne kadar m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu ise \u015f\u00fcpheli.<\/p>\n

Nihayetinde g\u00f6\u00e7 olgusunun Avrupa nezdinde insan haklar\u0131 ba\u011flam\u0131nda ele al\u0131nman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde kamu g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, ekonomik refah, reform gibi pek \u00e7ok boyutu olmas\u0131, genel Alman kamuoyunun pek de kolay kolay kabul edebilece\u011fi olgular de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n, AB \u00fcyesi \u00fclkeler i\u00e7erisinde sosyalist partilerin benzer bir ba\u015far\u0131yla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6neme damga vurup vurmayacaklar\u0131 ise hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nem Avrupa siyasetinin konu\u015fulan belli ba\u015fl\u0131 konular\u0131 aras\u0131nda olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, olas\u0131 bir SDU h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin k\u0131sa vadede ortaya koyaca\u011f\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131n\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te gayet belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u00c7evre\u2019 fakt\u00f6r\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bat\u0131 Avrupa toplumsal ili\u015fkilerinde belirleyici fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn ekonomi kadar, ya\u015fam\u0131 \u00e7ekip \u00e7eviren post-modern durumda bireyin ve toplumsal gruplar\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlenen talepleri bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, moderniteye getirilen ele\u015ftiriler ad\u0131na post-modern denilen yeni siyaset alanlar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Bunun sadece, bu \u00f6rnekte oldu\u011fu \u00fczere Almanya ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan Avrupa K\u0131tas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011fa denk gelecek \u015fekilde iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u015feklinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da siyasetin merkezindeki yeni yap\u0131lanmada bug\u00fcn sosyalistler kadar, ayn\u0131\/benzer k\u00f6kten beslenen Ye\u015fillerin Kyoto Protokol\u00fc (1997), Paris \u0130klim S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi (2015) gibi ge\u00e7en y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda var\u0131lan ve k\u00fcresel toplumu yak\u0131ndan etkileyecek kararlar\u0131n uygulamaya ge\u00e7irilmesi noktas\u0131nda yeni a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar yapmas\u0131 muhtemel g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, bir yandan ABD\u2019de Joe Biden y\u00f6netimi ile do\u011frudan bir yak\u0131nla\u015fma anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, \u00c7in gibi s\u00f6z konusu s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerle ilgili tutumu farkl\u0131la\u015fan \u00fclkelere kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir koalisyonun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin, AB politikalar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesinde de \u00f6nemli etkileri olacakt\u0131r. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, bir yandan Atlantik yani ABD ile \u00f6te yandan, g\u00fcndemin belki en belirleyici konusu olarak Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde \u00c7in ve ASEAN ile ili\u015fkilerde, Merkel\u2019in ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yap\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k rol\u00fcnde devaml\u0131l\u0131k beklenebilir.<\/p>\n

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Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 27.09.2021 Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7imler tamamland\u0131\u2026 Alman se\u00e7meni, ana […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4083,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4082","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4082\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4083"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/indonesia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}