{"id":6029,"date":"2025-08-02T15:29:41","date_gmt":"2025-08-02T15:29:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=6029"},"modified":"2025-08-02T15:29:44","modified_gmt":"2025-08-02T15:29:44","slug":"kuresel-ticarette-abd-istedigini-elde-etti-mi-the-u-s-has-gotten-what-it-wanted-in-global-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/kuresel-ticarette-abd-istedigini-elde-etti-mi-the-u-s-has-gotten-what-it-wanted-in-global-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel ticarette ABD istedi\u011fini elde etti (mi?) \/ The U.S. has gotten what it wanted in global trade (?)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay 16.07.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hafta i\u00e7i, k\u00fcresel ticaret ili\u015fkileri i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelere sahne oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6zler, \u00c7in-ABD aras\u0131nda Stokcholm\u2019de yap\u0131lan zirve niteli\u011finde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde, stat\u00fckonun \u00fc\u00e7 ay boyunca devam\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir karar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 olumlu de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6yle g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6yle ki, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump -her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi-, ifrat ya da tefrit y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan biriyle g\u00fcndemi belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00c7in ile yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerle ilgili olarak taraflar\u0131n \u201cadil\u201d FAIR bir anla\u015fmaya vard\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 dile getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm Sonbahar\u2019da!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, Stockholm\u2019deki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerle ilgili detaylar\u0131n d\u0131\u015far\u0131ya yans\u0131t\u0131lmamas\u0131 iki temel olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 akla getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130lki, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ve nihai karar\u0131n, -Sonbahar\u2019da yap\u0131lmas\u0131 tahmin edilen- \u015ei Chinping-Donald Trump zirvesine kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kincisi, \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in taraf\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019nin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda pes etmemesi nedeniyle, stat\u00fckonun yani, taraflar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 uygulamakta olduklar\u0131 y\u00fczde 24\u2019l\u00fck g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisine devam karar\u0131 verilmesi oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130lk durumu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir a\u00e7\u0131klamaya rastlamak en az\u0131ndan, \u015fimdilik m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin kilit isimleri ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent ile \u00c7in Ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 He Lifend, toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 herhangi bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmad\u0131lar…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konsens\u00fcs vurgusu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belki birka\u00e7 istisna…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, \u00c7in Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019na ba\u011fl\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 ticaret temsilcisi Li Chenggang yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201c… Genova ve Londra g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde belirlenen \u00e7er\u00e7eve ba\u011flam\u0131nda taraflar aras\u0131ndaki ekonomi politikalar\u0131 ve ticaret konular\u0131n\u0131n, samimi ve yap\u0131c\u0131 bir incelemeye tabi tutuldu\u011fu…\u201d y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6nemliydi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, ortada bir \u2018konsens\u00fcs\u2019e ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak, bunun detaylar\u0131 konusunda herhangi bir a\u00e7\u0131klama hen\u00fcz yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kincisi ise, ilki kadar iyimser de\u011fil. Bununla, ABD ticaret temsilcisi Jamieson Greer\u2019in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa a\u00e7\u0131klamaya vurgu yapmak istiyorum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Greer\u2019in \u201c\u00c7in son derece pragmatik\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a etkilenmi\u015f ve hatta b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u015fa\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131k ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f intiba\u0131 edinmek g\u00fc\u00e7 de\u011fil…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla birlikte, Stockholm g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin y\u00f6nelimine dair Greer, \u201ci\u015fi anla\u015fmaya var\u0131p varmayaca\u011f\u0131ndan emin de\u011filim\u201d anlam\u0131na gelecek ifadesini bir kenara not etmekte yarar var.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in ve sa\u011fduyu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evet, \u00c7in y\u00f6netimi, 20 Ocak\u2019tan bu yana sergiledi\u011fi tutumla, ekonomi alan\u0131ndaki rakibi ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sa\u011fduyulu tutumuyla dikkat \u00e7ekiyor…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in\u2019in, ABD\u2019nin hen\u00fcz anlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ekonomi politik tav\u0131r sergiledi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zellikle Trump\u2019\u0131n, bl\u00f6fle a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m bulan ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00fczerinde geli\u015ftirmeyi arzulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan engellendi\u011fi a\u015fik\u00e2r…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belirsizlik<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler \u00f6ncesi s\u00fcre\u00e7ler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kesin bir sonuca ula\u015f\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc vard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ve bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fine, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc tan\u0131k olduk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nihayetinde, iki \u00fclke ticaret ili\u015fkilerinde normalle\u015fmeye dair az da olan beklentiye ra\u011fmen, gelinen noktada, anormal durumun uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir karar al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durum, bize, mevcut stat\u00fckonun \u00fc\u00e7 ay boyunca devam\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fumuzu a\u00e7\u0131k se\u00e7ik ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 aya dair beklentiler, \u00c7in devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping ile ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n zirve toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

20 Ocak\u2019tan bu yana k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndemi belirleyen ve 2 Nisan\u2019dan itibaren yeni bir ivme kazanan ABD\u2019nin, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen-gelmeyen d\u00fczinelerce ulus-devletiyle aras\u0131ndaki ticaret kararlar\u0131 belirlemeye y\u00f6nelik \u00e7abalarda, \u00c7in\u2019i di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden farkl\u0131 bir yere koymak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bug\u00fcne kadar ya\u015fanan s\u00fcre\u00e7ler de zaten \u00c7in haricindeki di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin, ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir diretme \u015fans\u0131 bulunmuyor…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

20 Ocak \u00f6ncesinde dile getirdi\u011fim \u00fczere, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump\u2019la ayn\u0131 kamp\u0131 payla\u015fmaman\u0131n do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131 zararlar pek de alt\u0131ndan kalk\u0131labilir olmayacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aradan ge\u00e7en sekiz ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ba\u011flam\u0131nda ya\u015fananlar, aralar\u0131nda Kanada, Japonya, Meksika ile ABD gibi baz\u0131 ulus-devletler ve birliklerin itiraza varan yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n bug\u00fcn, g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme trafiklerinden ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump istedi\u011fini alm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yine daha \u00f6nce dile getirdi\u011fim \u00fczere, ticari ili\u015fkilerde bl\u00f6f y\u00f6ntemini kullanan Trump\u2019\u0131n -\u015fayet bunu bir politika y\u00f6ntemi kabul edeceksek-, istesek de istemesek de, \u015fu veya bu \u015fekilde ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu ortada…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, \u00c7in\u2019le olan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere s\u0131ra geldi\u011finde, ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana \u00c7in\u2019in sergiledi\u011fi tutumun \u2018a\u011f\u0131rba\u015fl\u0131\u2019, hesapl\u0131 kitapl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir izlenim var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in\u2019in, bu e\u011filimini Stockholm\u2019deki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde de sergiledi\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durumda, hem, iki \u00fclke y\u00f6netimlerini ve toplumlar\u0131n\u0131 hem de, k\u00fcresel kamuoyunun iyimser olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak \u015fekilde, t\u00fcnelin ucunda bir \u0131\u015f\u0131lt\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifadesi kadar, \u2018\u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcreyi bekleyelim ve g\u00f6relim\u2019 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 daha temkinli olaca\u011f\u0131na ku\u015fku yok…<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                                  02.08.2025 Hafta i\u00e7i, k\u00fcresel ticaret ili\u015fkileri i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelere sahne oldu. G\u00f6zler, \u00c7in-ABD aras\u0131nda Stokcholm\u2019de yap\u0131lan zirve niteli\u011finde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde, stat\u00fckonun \u00fc\u00e7 ay boyunca devam\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir karar\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 olumlu de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc? ABD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6yle g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor! \u00d6yle ki, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump -her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi-, ifrat […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":6030,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6029","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6029"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6029\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6030"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6029"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6029"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6029"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}