{"id":5783,"date":"2025-04-01T15:16:39","date_gmt":"2025-04-01T15:16:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5783"},"modified":"2025-04-01T15:16:45","modified_gmt":"2025-04-01T15:16:45","slug":"dogu-asya-ekonomilerinden-kuresel-belirsizlige-cevap-east-asian-economies-respond-to-global-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/dogu-asya-ekonomilerinden-kuresel-belirsizlige-cevap-east-asian-economies-respond-to-global-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"Do\u011fu Asya ekonomilerinden k\u00fcresel belirsizli\u011fe cevap \/ East Asian economies respond to global uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay 16.07.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 olgusu, son aylarda giderek y\u00fckselme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterirken, bug\u00fcnlerde Do\u011fu Asya\u2019da ola\u011fand\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fan\u0131yor…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Seul\u2019de \u00c7in, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan \u00fcst d\u00fczey g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda var olan serbest ticaretin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u00fcresel belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve giderek yayg\u0131nla\u015fma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi bir ortamda, sadece birbiriyleriyle rekabetleriyle de\u011fil, ABD ile ili\u015fkileri noktas\u0131nda da ciddi ayr\u0131l\u0131klar olan \u00c7in ile Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen s\u00f6z konusu bu geli\u015fmeyi, alternatif bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak de\u011ferlendirmek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seul\u2019den alternatif<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7e\u015fitli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda ortaya konuldu\u011fu \u00fczere, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz k\u00fcresel toplumunu tan\u0131mlamada, \u2018belirsizlik\u2019 en \u00e7ok ba\u015fvurulan bir kavram oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zellikle, ABD\u2019de ikinci Trump y\u00f6netiminin, Amerika-merkezli siyaset ve ticaret s\u00fcrecini ortaya koydu\u011fu ve bu anlamda, k\u00fcresel hegomonik bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sergiledi\u011fi son iki ayda, belki de kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan ilk \u00f6nemli ve alternatif geli\u015fme Seul\u2019den geldi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

30 Mart g\u00fcn\u00fc, G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin ba\u015fkenti Seul\u2019de G\u00fcney Kore End\u00fcstri ve Enerji Bakan\u0131 Ahn Duk-geun, Japonya End\u00fcstri Bakan\u0131 Yoji Muto ile \u00c7in End\u00fcstri Bakan\u0131 Wang Wentao\u2019nun kat\u0131m\u0131l\u0131yla yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131da, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015ftirilmesi ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede \u201c\u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131n\u0131n yarat\u0131lmas\u0131\u201dkonusunda anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do\u011fu Asya\u2019n\u0131n kalk\u0131nm\u0131\u015f ekonomilerini temsil eden bu \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda, son be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmesi olarak dikkat \u00e7ekilen bu toplant\u0131, k\u00fcresel belirsizli\u011fe Do\u011fu\u2019dan bir cevap olarak an\u0131lmay\u0131 hak ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD\u2019ye muhalefet (mi?)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seul\u2019deki toplant\u0131n\u0131n, \u00c7in gibi ABD\u2019nin en \u00fcst d\u00fczeyde k\u00fcresel rakibi ile Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore gibi ABD\u2019nin Asya-Pasifik\u2019de iki \u00f6nemli siyasi ve ekonomik m\u00fcttefiki aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini yak\u0131ndan takip etmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toplant\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde G\u00fcney Kore End\u00fcstri ve Enerji Bakan\u0131 Ahn Duk-geun, k\u00fcresel ekonomide ya\u015fanan ciddi k\u0131r\u0131lmalara dikkat \u00e7ekerek, \u201c… \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke, kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lan k\u00fcresel meydan okumalara kar\u015f\u0131 ortak hareket etmeli\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme olarak de\u011ferlendirmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zellikle, ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinden geli\u015fme g\u00f6steren ve \u00f6zellikle, ABD y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan jeo-politik boyutlar\u0131 da i\u00e7inde olacak \u015fekilde \u00f6nemli ekonomik kararlar\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131, alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 da beraberinde getirmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6yle ki, yeni bir tehdit olgusu olmakla kalmayan, ayn\u0131 zamanda gayet ciddi anlamda bir sava\u015f nedeni olarak dikkat \u00e7eken \u2018ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131\u2019 ve bu s\u00fcrecin dinamiklerinin tetiklemesiyle yeni savunma s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerinde alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da kendini hissettiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore aras\u0131nda mevcut serbest ticaret anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi ve k\u00fcresel belirsizliklere birlikte kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verilmesi karar\u0131n\u0131 bu anlamda de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in\u2019i sindirme<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD ile \u00c7in aras\u0131nda geli\u015fme g\u00f6stermekle birlikte, s\u00fcrecin bug\u00fcn \u00e7ok daha net bir \u015fekilde anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere ABD\u2019nin sadece, \u00c7in\u2019le olan ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6yle ki, ABD\u2019de ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, 20 Ocak\u2019tan bu yana ortaya koydu\u011fu politik a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlar ve kararlarla \u00c7in\u2019den \u00f6nce yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki iki kom\u015fusu, yani Meksika ve Kanada\u2019y\u0131 hedef alan ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifelerinin yeniden ve art\u0131r\u0131larak d\u00fczenmeleriyle g\u00fcndemi belirlemektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in\u2019in ikincil konumda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 intiba\u0131n\u0131 veren bu s\u00fcreci do\u011fru de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir. Buna dair baz\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerimi ge\u00e7en bir iki ay i\u00e7erisinde ortaya koymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcm bu s\u00fcre\u00e7lerin \u00c7in\u2019i, -biraz abart\u0131yla da olsa, kendi ulusal s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7ine hapsetmeyi, \u00f6z g\u00fcvenini yitirmeyi hedefleyen bir t\u00fcr ekonomik ve psikolojik m\u00fccadele halini geldi\u011fine ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son k\u0131rk y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik kalk\u0131nma ve modernle\u015fme s\u00fcre\u00e7leriyle, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi haline gelen \u00c7in\u2019in, Washington\u2019da al\u0131nan kararlarla, bir g\u00fcnde veya k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede diz \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fcr\u00fclebilecek bir yap\u0131 da olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu y\u00f6nde \u00c7in\u2019den gelen ilk i\u015faretler, gayet temkinli ve olan biteni anlay\u0131p rasyonel politikalar geli\u015ftirmeye matuf oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunun belki de, b\u00f6lgesel anlamda ilk a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 Do\u011fu Asya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli \u00fclkesi, \u00c7in, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore aras\u0131nda 30 Mart\u2019ta yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke ticaret bakan\u0131 serbest ticaretin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi konusunda anla\u015fmaya vard\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Umut \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin ba\u015fkenti Seul\u2019de yap\u0131lan \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke ticaret bakan\u0131n\u0131n i\u015ftirak etti\u011fi toplant\u0131, bu anlamda, son birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r k\u00fcresel belirsizlik ve tehditler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelen bir umut \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak an\u0131lmay\u0131 hak ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu ifadede, bir abart\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmek isterim. \u2018Umut \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan kas\u0131t, ABD\u2019nin ticari ve ekonomik ili\u015fkilerde son iki ayd\u0131r sergilemekte oldu\u011fu ve vazge\u00e7mek e\u011filiminden \u00f6te, giderek daha da derinle\u015ftirme hedefine sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steren geli\u015fmeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Do\u011fu Asya\u2019n\u0131n kalk\u0131nm\u0131\u015f \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkesinin ortaya koydu\u011fu yakla\u015f\u0131md\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu noktada, Pekin y\u00f6netiminin tarihsel ve geleneksel olarak -kelimenin en hafif ifadesiyle \u2018rakip\u2019 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Japonya ve yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kom\u015fusu G\u00fcney Kore ile ticari ili\u015fkilerin geli\u015ftirilmesi konusunda vard\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015fma tarihi bir \u00f6nem arz ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belki de, pek \u00e7ok kesim taraf\u0131ndan \u00c7in\u2019den beklenmeyecek ya da Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore gibi ABD ittifak\u0131 iki \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminden beklenmeyecek bir hamle olarak okunmas\u0131 ve de\u011ferlendirilmesi gereken bu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, do\u011fru de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, bu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 takip eden hem, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde ve hem de, farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde benzeri a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fimizi de s\u00f6ylemek b\u00fcy\u00fck bir iddia olmayacakt\u0131r. <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay                                                                                                             01.04.2025 Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 olgusu, son aylarda giderek y\u00fckselme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterirken, bug\u00fcnlerde Do\u011fu Asya\u2019da ola\u011fand\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fan\u0131yor… Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Seul\u2019de \u00c7in, Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan \u00fcst d\u00fczey g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonras\u0131nda, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda var olan serbest ticaretin g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. K\u00fcresel belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve giderek yayg\u0131nla\u015fma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi bir […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5784,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5783"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5783\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}