{"id":5744,"date":"2025-03-06T15:11:09","date_gmt":"2025-03-06T15:11:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=5744"},"modified":"2025-03-06T15:11:15","modified_gmt":"2025-03-06T15:11:15","slug":"trump-kararlari-ve-kuresel-ticaret-savaslarinin-ayak-sesleri-trump-decisions-and-the-footsteps-of-global-trade-wars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/trump-kararlari-ve-kuresel-ticaret-savaslarinin-ayak-sesleri-trump-decisions-and-the-footsteps-of-global-trade-wars\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump decisions and the footsteps of global trade wars \/ Trump decisions and the footsteps of global trade wars"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Mehmet \u00d6zay 16.07.2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD y\u00f6netiminin, Meksika, Kanada ve \u00c7in\u2019i hedef alan ve 4 Mart\u2019tan itibaren uygulamaya konulan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131na, ilgili \u00fclkeler tepki vermekte gecikmedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n, Meksika ve Kanada\u2019ya tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ayl\u0131k uzatma s\u00fcresinin dolmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, her iki \u00fclkeye y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u00c7in\u2019e y\u00f6nelik olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131larak ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Anla\u015fma yok<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck iki ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 Meksika ve Kanada\u2019y\u0131 hedef alan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6yle anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki, verilen bir ayl\u0131k dondurma karar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, taraflar aras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde olumlu bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, \u00c7in\u2019e y\u00f6nelik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisine y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, bir y\u00fczde 10 daha eklenerek, y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lmas\u0131 ABD-\u00c7in ticaret ili\u015fkilerinde de olumlu anlamda yol kat edilemedi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bununla birlikte, \u00c7in\u2019li y\u00f6neticiler Trump y\u00f6netimiyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme imk\u00e2nlar\u0131 arad\u0131klar\u0131 ancak, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 tariflerin art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 nedeniyle uygun bir ortam\u0131n olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getiriyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oysa, her iki durumda da, ba\u015fkan Donald Trump \u00f6nceki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda, ilgili \u00fclke yetkilileriyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere referans yapmak suretiyle ikili ticaret ili\u015fkilerinin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fine vurgu yap\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NAFTA i\u015flevsiz<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>4 Mart karar\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019nin Kuzey Amerika Serbest Ticaret Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019na (<em>North American Free Trade Agreement<\/em>&#8211; NAFTA) taraf olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda, toplam bir trilyon dolara yakla\u015fan d\u0131\u015f ticaret hacmin geli\u015fmelerden etkilenece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Burada hemen \u015funu s\u00f6ylemekte yarar var ki, ABD\u2019de Trump y\u00f6netimi, fiili olarak NAFTA\u2019y\u0131 rafa kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmaya ba\u015flanmas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Kanada devleti ABD\u2019den ith\u00e2l edilen ve 30 milyar dolar\u2019a tekab\u00fcl eden, belirli \u00fcr\u00fcnlere y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 getirdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kanada\u2019n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m karar\u0131 bununla da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay il\u00e2n etti\u011fi bir ayl\u0131k dondurma karar\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde Kanada y\u00f6netimi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 21 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde, ABD\u2019nin bu tarif karar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7memesi halinde, il\u00e2ve 125 milyar dolarl\u0131k ith\u00e2lata da, benzer bir g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131 yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00fcm bunlar olurken, Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde borsalar\u0131n 4 Mart a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ya\u015fanmas\u0131, Washington\u2019da al\u0131nan karar\u0131n do\u011frudan yans\u0131mas\u0131 oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pekin\u2019de ise, yetkililer, Trump\u2019\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 karar\u0131n D\u00fcnya Ticaret \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (<em>World Trade Organization<\/em>-WTO) uygulamalar\u0131na muhalif oldu\u011funa vurgu yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, g\u00fcmr\u00fck tariflerine y\u00f6nelik ABD y\u00f6netiminin politika \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile, bu politikadan neyin hedeflendi\u011fi konusu aras\u0131nda kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6yle ki, Trump y\u00f6netimi t\u0131pk\u0131 \u015eubat ay\u0131nda \u00f6zellikle, Meksiya ve Kanada\u2019y\u0131 hedef alan s\u00f6ylemlerinde s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, uyu\u015fturucu ve ka\u00e7ak g\u00f6\u00e7men gibi unsurlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu s\u00f6ylem kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, \u00f6rne\u011fin, Pekin y\u00f6netimi, d\u00fcnyana uyu\u015fturucu politikalar\u0131 konusunda d\u00fcnyada en a\u011f\u0131r yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 uygulayan \u00fclkelerden biri oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, Trump y\u00f6netiminin bu iddias\u0131n\u0131 yalanl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bug\u00fcn, Meksika, Kanada ve \u00c7in\u2019i hedef alan yeni g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifi uygulamas\u0131nda da, ayn\u0131 s\u00f6ylem devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u0131radan insanlar\u0131n, ge\u00e7im ve ya\u015fam ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkileyece\u011fi konusunda ortak bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn olu\u015ftu\u011fu bir ortamda, ilgili \u00fclkeleri \u201ccezaland\u0131rmay\u0131\u201d ama\u00e7layan t\u00fcm bu g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan, hedefin i\u00e7 g\u00fcvenlik olgusu olmas\u0131, ABD yetkililerince a\u00e7\u0131klanmaya muhta\u00e7 bir durum arz ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Uyu\u015fturucu bahane mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Trump\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6ylemlerinde kendini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bir yandan, uyu\u015fturucu trafi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekerken \u00f6te yandan, y\u00fcksek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri sayesinde ABD\u2019de \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve Amerikan halk\u0131n\u0131n refah\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda heyecanl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler payla\u015f\u0131yor. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ekonomi de\u011ferleri \u00fczerinden de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde de, ABD\u2019de ba\u015fkan ve kabinesi bir kenara, ekonomi uzmanlar\u0131 uygulamaya konulan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi politikas\u0131n\u0131n ters tepece\u011fi konusunda neredeyse ayn\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fte bulu\u015fuyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunlar aras\u0131nda, \u201cefsanevi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131\u201d s\u0131fat\u0131yla an\u0131lan Warren Buffett\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bug\u00fcnlerde g\u00fcndemde&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffeet, Trump\u2019\u0131n ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131 olumsuzlarken, bu uygulaman\u0131n ABD\u2019de fiyatlara vergi olarak yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 bir ba\u015fka deyi\u015fle, fiyatlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131na neden olaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump y\u00f6netimi, \u201cyeniden Amerika\u2019y\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck yapma\u201d s\u00f6ylemi ve politikas\u0131nda karar s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin bu \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclke s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda da baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yeni hedefler!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu noktada, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki s\u00fcre\u00e7te, yeni \u00fclkeler ve yeni yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kap\u0131da oldu\u011funa ku\u015fku yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131kmalar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nacak olursa, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Nisan ay\u0131nda hedefe al\u0131nacak baz\u0131 yeni \u00fclkeler ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>20 Ocak\u2019ta ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturan Trump\u2019\u0131n, bug\u00fcne kadar ortaya koydu\u011fu performansa bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ikili ili\u015fkiler ve uluslararas\u0131 politika konusunda ortaya koydu\u011fu eylem pl\u00e2n\u0131nda iyi hesap edilmi\u015flik unsuru dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump y\u00f6netimi, ilgili konularda ilgili \u00fclkeleri do\u011frudan tahrik edici s\u00f6ylemlere girmek yerine, tedrici olarak politikalar\u0131n\u0131 uygulamay\u0131 se\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu politika bir anlamda, Trump ve kabinesinin hem, i\u00e7 kamuoyuna hem de, k\u00fcresel kamuoyuna ilgili taraflara, \u00fclkeler zaman tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve sorunlu alanlarda anla\u015fma \u00e7abas\u0131 sergiledi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir izlenim olu\u015fmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD\u2019nin, bu yeni politika karar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ilgili \u00fclkelerden an\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelmesi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli bir s\u00fcrecin ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mehmet \u00d6zay &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 03.06.2025 ABD y\u00f6netiminin, Meksika, Kanada ve \u00c7in\u2019i hedef alan ve 4 Mart\u2019tan itibaren uygulamaya konulan g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131na, ilgili \u00fclkeler tepki vermekte gecikmedi. Trump\u2019\u0131n, Meksika ve Kanada\u2019ya tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ayl\u0131k uzatma s\u00fcresinin dolmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, her iki \u00fclkeye y\u00f6nelik y\u00fczde 25\u2019lik g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131. Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u00c7in\u2019e y\u00f6nelik olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":5745,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asya-pasifik","category-gunluk-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5745"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}