{"id":2510,"date":"2018-08-29T13:32:51","date_gmt":"2018-08-29T13:32:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=2510"},"modified":"2018-08-29T13:32:51","modified_gmt":"2018-08-29T13:32:51","slug":"shinzo-abe-ve-yeni-japonya-shinzo-abe-and-new-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/shinzo-abe-ve-yeni-japonya-shinzo-abe-and-new-japan\/","title":{"rendered":"Shinzo Abe ve Yeni Japonya \/ Shinzo Abe and New Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay 23.06.2018<\/strong><\/p>\n

Japonya\u2019da siyasi liderlik olgusu Shinzo Abe y\u00f6netimiyle birlikte, son d\u00f6nem k\u00fcresel politikada \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan uzun d\u00f6nemli liderlik profiline uygun bir yap\u0131 arz ediyor. Yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00c7in\u2019de \u015ei Cinping, Almanya\u2019da Angela Merkel, Hindistan\u2019da Narendra Modi, Malezya\u2019daki son geli\u015fmeleri do\u011fru okumak kayd\u0131yla Dr. Mahathir Muhammed \u00fclkelerinde uzun erimli y\u00f6netimlere imza atarken, Japonya da Shinzo Abe ile bu listede yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

2017 y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz erken se\u00e7imle, Abe iktidar\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirme arzusunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. Abe\u2019nin ba\u015f\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu Liberal Demokrat Parti (LDP) ile k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ortak\u0131\u011f\u0131 Komeito<\/em> partisi 465 sandalyeli mecliste 311 sandalye kazanarak \u00fc\u00e7te ikilik \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde etti.<\/p>\n

Kamuyounda Abe kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6ylemlere ve ele\u015ftirilere ra\u011fmen, LDP\u2019nin t\u0131pk\u0131 2012\u2019dekine benzer bir siyasi zafer elde etmesi, Abe\u2019nin ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 eko-politikan\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu zaferler, Abe, ba\u015fbakanl\u0131kta \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00f6neminde, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar iktidarda kalmas\u0131 en az\u0131ndan bug\u00fcnk\u00fc \u015fartlarda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fme, \u00a0belirsizlikler \u00e7a\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve istikrarl\u0131 bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunan Abe\u2019nin elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeydi. Bu siyasi zafer, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da de\u011finece\u011fim \u00fczere Abe\u2019nin anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi gibi \u00f6nemli s\u00fcre\u00e7leri kolayl\u0131kla y\u00f6netebilece\u011finin de i\u015faretidir.<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc lider g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fclke<\/strong><\/p>\n

Japonya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Shinzo Abe\u2019nin \u00fclke y\u00f6netiminde 2012 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana sergiledi\u011fi liderli\u011fini \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6neme ta\u015f\u0131ma arzusunda. Abe\u2019nin bu y\u00f6nde bir karar\u0131 oldu\u011fu biliniyordu ve bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, LDP t\u00fcz\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l yap\u0131lan de\u011fi\u015fiklikle iki d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkanl\u0131k kural\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00fcrecin onun lehine i\u015fledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131kta devam i\u00e7in Abe\u2019nin \u00f6ncelikle parti i\u00e7inde liderlik m\u00fccadelesinden yeniden zaferle \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Abe bu y\u00f6nde ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 atarak 26 A\u011fustos\u2019da parti ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu ba\u011flamda, 20 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yap\u0131lacak parti se\u00e7imleri, Abe\u2019nin hem parti i\u00e7i hem de ulusal iktidar m\u00fccadelesinde \u00f6nemli bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Abe\u2019nin parti liderli\u011fini yeniden \u00fcstlenmesi onu, 2. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131n\u0131n en uzun s\u00fcreli iktidarda kalan ba\u015fbakan\u0131 k\u0131lacak. Parlamentoda \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu olu\u015fturan LDP, bir kez daha Abe\u2019yi ba\u015fbakan olarak atayacak.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomik m\u00fccadele<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu sadece Japonya i\u00e7 politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in de\u011fil, k\u00fcresel politika i\u00e7in de \u00f6nem arz ediyor. 2000\u2019li y\u0131llarda k\u00fcresel ekonomi s\u0131ralamas\u0131ndaki ikincilik yerini kaybeden ve \u015fu an ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019nin ard\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada bulunan Japonya hem ekonomik anlamda kalk\u0131nm\u0131\u015fl\u0131ktaki eski g\u00fcnlerini ar\u0131yor, hem de Do\u011fu Asya\u2019dan ba\u015flayarak k\u00fcresel siyasette bir g\u00fc\u00e7 oda\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlama u\u011fra\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde.<\/p>\n

Abe, 2012\u2019de ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturdu\u011fundan itibaren, sadece \u00fclke ekonomisini eski g\u00fcnlerine d\u00f6nd\u00fcrme \u00e7abas\u0131yla de\u011fil, \u00c7in ve Kuzey Kore gibi iki \u00f6nemli kom\u015fu \u00fclkenin do\u011frudan ve\/ya dolayl\u0131 tehditk\u00e2r tutumlar\u0131na maruz kald\u0131. Bu ikinci geli\u015fme, hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, Japon liderin hem uzun s\u00fcreli liderlik profilini geli\u015ftirmesine neden oldu, hem de bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00fclkenin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak yeni politikalar ve vizyonlar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131na olanak tan\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi alan\u0131nda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, Barack Obama d\u00f6neminin en \u00f6nemli k\u00fcresel ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 olarak g\u00fcndeme getirilen Trans Pasifick \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019yd\u0131 (TPPA). Bu anlamda, Abe\u2019yi TPPA g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin s\u00fcrekli \u00f6nc\u00fc ismi ve destek\u00e7isi olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fck.<\/p>\n

Amerikan y\u00f6netiminde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimin ard\u0131ndan Donald Trump\u2019un Amerikan orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme \u00e7abas\u0131na endeksli olarak i\u00e7e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ve korumac\u0131 politikalar\u0131 nedeniyle TPPA\u2019dan \u00e7ekilmesine kar\u015f\u0131n Singapur\u2019la beraber Japonya b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda Amerikas\u0131z TPPA ve\/ya alternatif bir ekonomi birli\u011fi olu\u015fturma \u00e7abalar\u0131nda \u00f6n ald\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yle ki, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Abe, Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ilk g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme yapan lider olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, ABD\u2019yi daha do\u011frusu Trump\u2019\u0131 ikna etme anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Ancak alternatif bir ekonomi blo\u011fu olarak 16 \u00fcye \u00fclkeli Kapsaml\u0131 B\u00f6lgesel Ekonomi Birli\u011fi (RCEP) anla\u015fmas\u0131nda sona yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ku\u015fkusuz ki, Abe\u2019nin ekonomi politikalar\u0131nda \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak bir geli\u015fme olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6lgesel tehditten k\u00fcresel a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131ma <\/strong><\/p>\n

Tabii, bu ziyaretin bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli konusu ise, o d\u00f6nem neredeyse d\u00fcnya g\u00fcndeminde tehditler ba\u011flam\u0131nda ilk s\u0131ray\u0131 te\u015fkil eden Kore Yar\u0131madas\u0131\u2019daki n\u00fckleer sava\u015f tehdidiydi. Kuzey Kore lideri Kim-Jong-Un\u2019un birbiri ard\u0131 s\u0131ra ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi f\u00fcze denemelerinde f\u00fczelerin Japon Adalar\u0131\u2019na ula\u015fma ve \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00fcstl\u00fck n\u00fckleer ba\u015fl\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131ma kabiliyeti, Japonya\u2019y\u0131, ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki en \u00f6nemli m\u00fcttefik konusunda olmas\u0131 nedeniyle birincil tehdit haline getiriyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 Japon anayasas\u0131nda ulusal ordu yap\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen me\u015fhur 9. Madde\u2019nin revizyonu g\u00fcndeme geldi. 2. D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131n\u0131n Amerika \u00f6nderli\u011finde yaz\u0131lan anayasan\u0131n Japon ordusunun hareket kabiliyetini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131ran bu madde, belki de arzu edilmeyen bir sonu\u00e7 olarak Japonlar\u0131n \u2018bar\u0131\u015fsever bir ulus\u2019 olduklar\u0131 imaj\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fmas\u0131na ve geli\u015fmesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Ancak bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada, bar\u0131\u015fseverli\u011fin, \u00fclke g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit eden geli\u015fmeler kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir model olu\u015fturulabilece\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Abe y\u00f6netimini ordunun yeniden yap\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6neltmi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Abe, her ne kadar bu maddenin kald\u0131r\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yeni bir madde eklenerek Japon savunma g\u00fcc\u00fcne anayasal bir nitelik kazand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylese de, nihayetinde hedefte ordunun modernizasyonu ve \u00fclke s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hareket kabiliyetinin geli\u015ftirilmesi hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n

Tabii, bu politikay\u0131 salt Japon i\u00e7 politikas\u0131, gelecek vizyonu ile anlamland\u0131rmak kendi i\u00e7inde bir s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor. Gerek Abe\u2019nin gerekse bu y\u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olan Japon siyaset\u00e7ilerinin ABD ile bu konuyu ele almad\u0131klar\u0131 s\u00f6ylenemez. Bu konunun bir ba\u015fka vecheden ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 bize bu y\u00f6nde bir fikir vermektedir. \u00d6yle ki, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturdu\u011fu g\u00fcnlerde Do\u011fu Asya\u2019daki m\u00fcttefiklerinin ittifak ili\u015fkilerinde salt ABD\u2019ye dayanma politikalar\u0131n\u0131 ele\u015ftirmi\u015f ve bir anlamda Japonya\u2019n\u0131n savunma kabiliyet ve kapasitesinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu politikaya, i\u00e7 politikada ve kamuoyunda kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenemez. Ancak, ge\u00e7en birka\u00e7 y\u0131l boyunca yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda beliren tehditlerin ve bunlar\u0131n potansiyel olarak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ortamda Abe y\u00f6netiminin, i\u015fler yolunda gitmesi halinde, bu anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini 2020\u2019de y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe koymas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fmeye Japonya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fcnden bug\u00fcne bir de\u011fi\u015fimi olarak bakmamak gerekir. \u00d6zellikle 1989\u2019dan sonra yani So\u011fuk Sava\u015f y\u0131llar\u0131n\u0131n sona ermesiyle yeni d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada, \u00c7in\u2019in sadece ekonomik kalk\u0131nm\u0131\u015fl\u0131k noktas\u0131nda g\u00f6z kama\u015ft\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda bu kapitalistik geli\u015fmenin do\u011fal bir sonucu olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan askeri yap\u0131lanmas\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n da ortaya koydu\u011fu hedef geni\u015flemesinin de neden oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a029.08.2018 Japonya\u2019da siyasi liderlik olgusu Shinzo Abe […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-japonya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2510"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2510\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}