{"id":2192,"date":"2017-11-27T08:49:45","date_gmt":"2017-11-27T08:49:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/?p=2192"},"modified":"2017-11-27T08:49:45","modified_gmt":"2017-11-27T08:49:45","slug":"malezyada-secim-kararsizligi-uncertainty-about-elections-in-malaysia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/malezyada-secim-kararsizligi-uncertainty-about-elections-in-malaysia\/","title":{"rendered":"Malezya\u2019da Se\u00e7im Karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \/ Uncertainty about elections in Malaysia"},"content":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 27.11.2017<\/strong><\/p>\n

Malezya\u2019da genel se\u00e7imler muammas\u0131 ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 ve i\u00e7i\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Ahmed Zahid Hamidi\u2019nin \u00fcst \u00fcste yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Oysa, se\u00e7im konusu bu y\u0131l\u0131n bahar aylar\u0131ndan bu yana Malezya g\u00fcndeminde belirleyici olmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dclke g\u00fcndemini a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak belirleyen ve altm\u0131\u015f y\u0131ld\u0131r iktidar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmeyen y\u00fcz\u00fc Ulusal Birle\u015fik Malay Organizasyonu (UMNO) bir se\u00e7imi daha g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcslemek amac\u0131yla kamuoyu olu\u015fturuyordu. Bu haz\u0131rl\u0131klar, se\u00e7imlerin musonlar \u00f6ncesinde, yani Eyl\u00fcl veya Ekim ay\u0131 i\u00e7erisinde yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyordu.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nceki g\u00f6zlemlerden de yola \u00e7\u0131karak s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, UMNO i\u00e7in se\u00e7imleri kazanman\u0131n en iyi yolu, ulusal, dini g\u00fcn ve tatilleri her t\u00fcrl\u00fc imk\u00e2n ve olas\u0131l\u0131kta propaganda mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irmek \u015feklinde tezah\u00fcr ediyor. Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen yan etkenlerden biri hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphe yok ki, \u00fclkedeki iklim ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve tatil d\u00f6nemleri. Bu anlamda, se\u00e7imden en iyi sonucu alman\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131 co\u011frafi ve tatil d\u00f6nemleri g\u00fcndeme getirilirken, \u00f6zellikle muson ya\u011fmurlar\u0131 ve \u00c7in yeni y\u0131l kutlamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilece\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im ne zaman?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ancak bakan Ahmet Zahidi 13 Kas\u0131m\u2019daki a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, se\u00e7imlerin 180 g\u00fcn, yani alt\u0131 ay i\u00e7erisinde yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesi bunun yak\u0131n bir tarihte de\u011fil, aksine 2018 bahar veya yaz ba\u015f\u0131na tekab\u00fcl etti\u011fi yolunda yorumlara neden olmu\u015ftu. Alt\u0131 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerden sonra, omurgas\u0131n\u0131 UMNO\u2019nun olu\u015fturdu\u011fu ulusal ittifak h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin 24 Haziran 2018\u2019de g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresinin bitmesiyle de ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131. Ancak ayn\u0131 bakan, 26 Kas\u0131m\u2019da yani d\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada ise, se\u00e7imin 16 \u015eubat\u2019a denk gelen \u00c7in yeni y\u0131l\u0131 sonras\u0131nda yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkenin se\u00e7im atmosferi sadece siyasi partilerin se\u00e7imlere haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 anlam\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor. Bunun \u00f6tesinde, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131ktan bu yana iktidar\u0131 elinde tutan UMNO i\u00e7in bu s\u00fcrecin nas\u0131l devam ettirilebilece\u011fi konusunda \u2018gelenekselle\u015fmi\u015f\u2019 ve bir o kadar da se\u00e7menler taraf\u0131ndan al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f yol ve y\u00f6ntemlerin uygulamaya ge\u00e7irilmesi s\u00f6z konusu.<\/p>\n

Siyasette yenilik talebi <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ancak son iki se\u00e7im, yani 2008 ve 2013 se\u00e7imleri UMNO\u2019nun ulusal mecliste \u00fc\u00e7te ikilik \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu yitirmesine neden olmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, giderek daha \u00e7ok k\u0131r merkezli siyasete s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. \u00dclkedeki resmi kurumlar ve \u00fcniversitelerin pek \u00e7ok projelerini \u2018inovatif\u2019 kelimesiyle sunma modas\u0131 ve e\u011filimlerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k merkez siyasette \u2018inovatif\u2019 kelimesinin i\u00e7eri\u011fine tekab\u00fcl edecek bir yenilenme ortaya konulam\u0131yor. Bu nedenledir ki, UMNO sadece ulusal mecliste \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu kaybetmekle kalmad\u0131, 2013\u2019de pop\u00fcler oylar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun muhalefete gitmesine de mani olamad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, \u00fclkenin do\u011fusunda Borneo Adas\u0131\u2019ndaki Sabah ve Sarawak Eyalet y\u00f6netimlerinin daha \u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ekonomik gelirden pay alma talepleri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, gelen kamuoyunun veya yerel y\u00f6netimlerin talepleri ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmayan aksine, UMNO\u2019nun iktidar\u0131 kazan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek \u00f6neme haiz. \u00d6zellikle, bu iki eyaleti kendine oy deposu bellemi\u015f olan UMNO, muhalefetin bu b\u00f6lgelerde serbest \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nleyecek mekanizmalar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmekten de geri durmuyor. Malay Yar\u0131madas\u0131\u2019nda ise siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki erimeyi Malezya \u0130slam Partisi (PAS) ile yak\u0131nla\u015farak \u00f6zellikle Selangor, Cohor, Negeri Sembilan, Kedah gibi eyaletlerde \u2018umut koalisyonu\u2019 ad\u0131yla birle\u015fen muhalefete kar\u015f\u0131 koyma hedefini g\u00fcd\u00fcyor. Ad\u0131 konulmam\u0131\u015f bu ittifak olu\u015fumunda hedef par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015f \u2018M\u00fcsl\u00fcman\u2019 Malay oylar\u0131n\u0131 en az\u0131ndan belli b\u00f6lgelerde birle\u015ftirmek.<\/p>\n

Tsunami tekrarlanmas\u0131n!<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Ahmed Zahid Hamid\u2019in se\u00e7im tarihiyle ilgili yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 iki a\u00e7\u0131klamada se\u00e7ti\u011fi mek\u00e2nlar sembolik anlam ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130lkinde iktidar ortaklar\u0131ndan ve bir d\u00f6nem gayet ciddi bir oy potansiyeli olan etnik \u00c7in partilerinden Gerakan\u2019\u0131n (\u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck) y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, ikincisin de ise, bir \u00c7in mabedinin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f t\u00f6reninde se\u00e7im konusunu g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Bakan\u0131n bu iki mek\u00e2n\u0131 yani, \u00c7inlilerin bulundu\u011fu ortam\u0131 se\u00e7mesi bir tesad\u00fcf de\u011fildi. 2013 se\u00e7imlerinin hemen akabinde ba\u015fbakan Necib bin Rezzak\u2019\u0131n \u2018\u00c7in tsunamisi\u2019 s\u00f6ylemi aradan ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrede \u00c7inli se\u00e7men olmadan UMNO ve ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n iktidar\u0131 elde etmesinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Ancak bakan\u0131n s\u00f6yleminde yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fim \u2018inovatif\u2019 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kan\u0131tlarcas\u0131na, se\u00e7meni hedef alan ve ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imdeki \u2018ma\u011flubiyeti\u2019 onlara \u00e7\u0131kan s\u00f6ylemi tekrarl\u0131yordu. \u00dcst\u00fc kapal\u0131 bir tehdit i\u00e7eren bu s\u00f6ylemi yani \u201c\u015eayet se\u00e7menler daha \u00f6nce hata yapt\u0131larsa, ba\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131yorum. Ancak bu hatay\u0131 bir dahaki sefere tekrarlamay\u0131n\u201d anlam\u0131na gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7inli se\u00e7menler \u00f6n\u00fcnde dile getirmesi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir handikap olsa gerek.<\/p>\n

1MDB se\u00e7imi belirleyecek (mi?)<\/strong><\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, se\u00e7im tarihleri \u00fczerinde b\u00f6ylesine b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fikliklere i\u015faret eden g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 se\u00e7ime karar verecek olan UMNO i\u00e7erisindeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde ba\u015fbakan Necib bin Rezzak ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere partinin \u00f6nemli isimleri, son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131la damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran 1 Malezya Kalk\u0131nma Fonu (1MDB) ile ilgili ulusal ve uluslararas\u0131 \u00e7evrelerden gelen iddialar\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirmekle me\u015fguld\u00fcler. Bir yandan Singapur\u2019da s\u00fcren ve baz\u0131 hapis cezalar\u0131yla sonu\u00e7lanan davalar, \u00f6te yandan ABD\u2019de s\u00fcren davalar, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a zikredilmese bile ba\u015fbakan\u2019a i\u015faret eden ifadeler muhalefetin konuyu g\u00fcndemde tutmas\u0131nda ba\u015fat bir rol oynuyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu s\u00fcreci ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana Sarawak Report adl\u0131 kurulu\u015fun 1MDB ile ilgili belgeleri g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131, iktidar \u00e7evrelerince bir d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahale olarak lanse ettiriliyor(du). \u00d6yle ki, Sarawak Report\u2019un internet sitesi eri\u015fime kapat\u0131lmasa da, dolayl\u0131 yollardan Malezya kamuoyuna bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 devam ediyor. Potansiyel olarak bu geli\u015fmeye bir d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahale g\u00fcndemi olarak bakmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnse de, 1MDB ile ilgili g\u00f6zlem ve incelemelerin daha kuruldu\u011fu 2009 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren muhalefet milletvekillerince yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 da ortada. Kald\u0131 ki, 1MDB konusunda uluslararas\u0131 finans kurumlar\u0131 devreye sokularak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi\u011fi ifade edilen para transferlerinin sorunlu y\u00fcz\u00fc sadece Sarawak Report\u2019un g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131klar\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil. Bunun pratikteki ve\u00e7hesinde be\u015f \u00fclkede ilgili kurumlarca s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclen soru\u015fturmalar bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130maj ve Se\u00e7im<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ba\u015fbakan Necib bin Rezzak\u2019\u0131n 1MDB konusunda Malezya kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde kendini hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kartma \u00e7abas\u0131 ba\u011flam\u0131nda, en az\u0131ndan iki uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeyi ortaya koymak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bunlardan biri Suudi Arabistan kral\u0131 Selman\u2019\u0131n \u015eubat ay\u0131nda Kuala Lumpur\u2019a yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 resmi ziyaret ve imzalanan milyarlarca dolarl\u0131k anla\u015fmalar oldu. \u0130kincisi ise, ba\u015fbakan\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda BM toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde ABD\u2019de ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesiydi. Ba\u015fbakan, 1MDB konusunda taraf oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen bu iki \u00fclke lideriyle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyi, kendisinin uluslararas\u0131 tan\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir teyidi olarak yorumlayarak Malezya kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. Hi\u00e7 ku\u015fku yok ki, ba\u015fbakan\u0131n bu konu \u00fczerinde \u00f6zenle durmas\u0131, sadece kendi me\u015fruiyeti i\u00e7in de\u011fil, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte UMNO\u2019nun siyasi varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n veya iktidar g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn devam edip etmemesiyle ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu a\u015fik\u00e2r.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fbakan, yukar\u0131da zikredilen iki \u00f6nemli g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ve \u00f6ncesinde 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ba\u015f\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 45 milyar dolarl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131m anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7 politikada 1MDB eksenli olarak g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yordu. Ve Ba\u015fbakan, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ve anla\u015fmalar\u0131, gerek parti i\u00e7erisinde gerekse geni\u015f kamuoyunda 1MDB konusunda kendisinin bir m\u00fcdahalesinin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na kan\u0131t olarak sunuyordu. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, ba\u015fbakan kamuoyundan olumlu tepkiler alm\u0131\u015f olmal\u0131 ki, 14. Genel se\u00e7imlerin Eyl\u00fcl ve Ekim\u2019de yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ima eden a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla se\u00e7im atmosferini daha da hareketlendiriyor ve kamuoyunda elde etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu olumlu imajla bir \u2018zafere\u2019 daha imza atmak istiyordu. Kendisiyle Ekim ay\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm Malezyal\u0131 bir akademisyenin, her an se\u00e7im il\u00e2n\u0131 verilebilir demesi \u00fclke g\u00fcndeminin se\u00e7ime endeksli oldu\u011funun bir ba\u015fka g\u00f6stergesiydi.<\/p>\n

Oysa, bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada se\u00e7imlerin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yap\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131 kesinle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. B\u00fct\u00fcn bir y\u0131l\u0131 se\u00e7ime endeksli ge\u00e7iren UMNO\u2019nun \u00f6yle anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ki se\u00e7im haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 bitmi\u015f de\u011fil. Yukar\u0131da dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere, son y\u0131llara damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran 1MDB sorununun hallinde uluslararas\u0131 destek de al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na \u00a0ra\u011fmen, acaba ne t\u00fcrden bir haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131zl\u0131k olabilir?<\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mehmet \u00d6zay\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 27.11.2017 Malezya\u2019da genel se\u00e7imler muammas\u0131 ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2193,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gunluk-yazilar","category-malezya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2192","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2192"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2192\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2192"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2192"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/guneydoguasyacalismalari.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2192"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}